Unilever NV (UN)

Though the Indices eeked out some gains, I would observe the strength of consumer staples ( , , , ) and lower bond yields (by one to two basis points) today. This strength might be construed as risk off and indicative of slowing domestic economic gr...

I am talking Unilever off of my Best Ideas List. I initially shorted UN in late August, 2017 at $59.76. The shares are currently trading at $56.12.

As you probably already know, Campbell Soup announced Friday that CEO Denise Morrison is abruptly retiring. I wrote recently in It Is Time for the Dorrance Family To Consider Selling Campbell Soup that it's time for the company to sell itself to War...

It is time for Campbell Soup's  controlling shareholders, the Dorrance family, to recognize that a sale of the company is in their interests and the interests of Campbell's shareholders. The competitive pressures facing consumer packaged goods compa...

Given the expected rotation back into consumer non durables coupled with the stocks' drubbings over the last year I have covered the balance of my small and shorts this morning. I placed PG on my Best Ideas List (short) at $92.56 in late August, 201...

This morning UBS upgraded their rating on to buy. With bond yields dropping and FANG losing its leadership - a return and rotation back to consumer non durables seems possible. I have added to , which should be a beneficiary of that possible rotatio...

"In economics, a monopsony (from Ancient Greek µ¿¿¿¿ (mónos) "single" + ¿¿¿¿¿a (opsonía) "purchase") is a market structure in which only one buyer interacts with many would-be sellers of a particular product. In microeconomic theory of monopsony, a ...

The markets broke out of my 2725-2750 (S&P) price target on Friday. The apparent reason for the impressive Friday ramp (on the ninth anniversary of The Generational Bottom) was the reaction to a much better than expected jobs number coupled with sti...

Broadly speaking (not all inclusive!) my portfolio looks like this: * Short Large Spyders ( ) * Short Large Bonds ( ) * Long Large Gold ( ) * Long Large Pot ( ) - Speculative! * Short Retail ( , , ) * Long Large Selected Individual Equities ( , , ) ...

Piper has lowered its rating on Campbell Soup -- reducing its price target from $53 to $45. "Multiple expansion is unlikely and execution risk remains, expecting +1% to +1.5% fiscal year 2019 EPS grown reflecting higher interest rates and lower than...

Core investment short Unilever is down by nearly 4% today (-$1.75). I don't see any news to account for the drop. This might just be bond market induced weakness. If anyone sees news please put it in the Comments Section. Thanks.

I will try to reconstruct my Campbell Soup  analysis (lost in the internet) -- at some time in the near future but not today as I am just too pissed! In early September, 2017 I wrote a critical review of consumer packaged goods companies (and I init...

* But on Valentine's Day I Am Falling Out of Love (Again) * Took SPY Long Profit and Went Short SPY Near the Close after a 600 Point Intraday Move In the DJIA Pretty good. Pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty, good. I wanted to briefly review and comment ...

Tactically (besides my large SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust and iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF shorts) I have placed greater emphasis on a number of relatively low beta individual stock shorts in the last week -- like Starbuck's , Unilever , Pr...

I am moving my Procter & Gamble and Unilever NV shorts from medium sized to small sized now. Since shorting these stocks -- and placing them on my Best Ideas List -- on 8/31/2017, the shares of PG have fallen from $92.56 to about $90 and the shares ...

My portfolio is now very light in about 20 individual securities (both long and short). SPDR Gold ETF , Campbell Soup and Time Warner are still large sized. Hartford Financial Group is medium sized. My SPDR S&P 500 ETF short remains very large sized...

I have been negative on the consumer packaged goods companies for a while. (See my analysis in, "Buyer Beware of Consumer Staples Sellers Amid the Emerging Retail Monopsony") In the space I am long Campbell Soup (based on the recent business changin...

I missed very little and was better served at my "liquid" lunch meeting. Bitcoin was being bitcoin (+17%) with prices contrasting wildly by Exchanges -- a signpost that volatility will be with this commodity for some time. I have a double dose of Bo...

Not So Mmm Mmm Good -- That's What Campbell Soup Is  Fiscal 2018 Guidance: "For the full fiscal year, Campbell still expects the year-over-year change in net sales to be -2 to 0 percent. Campbell has lowered its earnings outlook and now expects adju...

"She said, "My boy, I think someday You'll find a way To make your natural tendencies pay You'll be a dentist..." -- Little Shop of Horrors, The Dentist Song (Steve Martin)  * In a normal backdrop I would observe that this week represents almost cla...

In terms of sector price movement today: * FANGs continue to extend recent gains.  * Retail has picked up a bid late in the day. Walmart Dillard's and Foot Locker are upside features. * Big Pharma stronger -- led by Merck ,Bristol-Myers Squibb , Lil...

"If you work for a living, why do you kill yourself working?" -- Tuco, The Ugly: "The Good, the Bad and the Ugly" There was plenty of sector rotation today (but little overall movement), so let's move to the abbreviated Monarch Notes form of "Takeaw...

Here's a quick look at three of my shorts:  * Apple AAPL: Reported better-than-expected top and bottom lines and robust lines ("say hello to the future" email communique in my box now) for the iPhone X as its market cap leaps to $900 billion. I adde...

I concluded yesterday with the following: Suffice to say, Mr. Market continued to show the sort of resiliency it has had for many months -- rallying from a 12-handle drop in the S&P Index to even at day's end. However, I did have one of my best shor...