J.M. Smucker Company (SJM)

* After "playing" the rally off of the March lows (with plenty of longs) I have recently (again) gotten net short of exposure To summarize some my recent activity: * I took off numerous investment longs (for profits) into the rally -- including , , ...

Yesterday, Tim "Not Judy or Phil" Collins looked constructively towards Kraft Heinz on a technical basis. I remain optimistic on the fundamentals of KHC and other packaged foods stocks (e.g., and ).

Something feels "wrong" about this market.  Mr. Market is remarkably bifurcated, there is insane speculation in worthless securities and the breadth seems "shaky" -- among many other issues. I ended the day much shorter than I started the day. Jay P...

With the exception of a short and an elimination of my holdings - I have done little this morning. * Breadth is still a strong 3.5:1. * Ss (S&P) over Ns (Nasdaq), again, and despite strong gains in Tesla and Amazon . * Bonds are quiet. (I covered my...

I have been adding to J.M. Schmucker  on recent weakness. The shares sold down to below $107 on May 26th but have rebounded to $116 (+$2/share) today. Not sure why the "whoosh" last week but I have gotten my cost way down.

We are now in one of those times, like 52 years ago in 1968, that we and our children will always remember. Many of us have spent the weekend watching America burning in despair. As I write this missive, an extended portion of I-95 (in Palm Beach) h...

* I have liquidated a lot of my long positions and have been averaging into Index shorts lately * I worship at the altar of fundamentals and not of price momentum * Monday I will present a more lengthy analysis of my concerns over the balance of 202...

I added to J. M. Smucker in the late morning.

Danielle DiMartino Booth on Food Storage Capacity (and by inference, the attraction of packaged food stocks -- such as Kraft Heinz , J. M. Smucker and TreeHouse Foods ): The April core CPI's decline of 0.4% was the largest ever, while the headline d...

* Breadth still nasty at 10-1 negative. * No real stability, yet. * Oil down two bits. * Gold +$9. * Bond yields down three to four basis points. * Energy, retail, financials, real estate, gaming, industrials broadly lower. * The only green on my ma...

I placed J.M. Smucker on my Best Ideas List on April 21. This morning I gave a push again to packaged foods stocks. SJM is trading +$2.20 today to over $119. The company is set to report on June 4.

* Big picture changes loom on the investment horizon * Many of these paradigm shifts are disruptive and market unfriendly * There will be some industry winners (healthcare/biotech, internet, packaged foods) but many industry losers (hotels, airlines...

Long, fun lunch! And the drinking might continue for a while tonite! The markets closed near the highs of the day and S&P futures are about 10 handles higher than the closing price. I am putting out more on the short side at $293.40 in the after hou...

* My revised levels I don't want there to be any ambiguity about the size of my positions or about my buy and short levels as I strive for as much transparency as possible. "When the time comes to buy, you won't want to." --Walter Deemer "When the t...

I recently endorsed the packaged foods goods sector and have purchased more Kraft Heinz , TreeHouse Foods and J. M. Smucker . (All three are on my Best Ideas List.) The stocks did quite well yesterday. Credit Suisse chimed in bullishly this morning ...

* This month I learned that being long can be fun. * Breadth has been stuck at 4-1 (positive) for several hours. * Again, we could be seeing a powerful pivot away from growth and towards value. (I am hopeful that this is the start of such a transiti...

Today we see the pivot with some clarity: * A profound reversal in Amazon , which I discussed earlier in the day. The shares were +$35 and are now down by -$43 * Two areas of value - financials (money centers and brokerages) and packaged foods (e.g....

We are a tad off the day's high, good market breadth. Nice move in which I put on my Best Ideas List yesterday.  +7% and up a beaner. Energy stocks strong with leading with a +8% gain. and +.  up another +$3 to $72.50! By contrast, financials are we...

* From my perch, upside reward vs. downside risk turned more positive yesterday "You say yes, I say no You say stop and I say go go go, oh no You say goodbye and I say hello Hello hello I don't know why you say goodbye, I say hello Hello hello I don...

I am putting J. M. Smucker  on my Best Ideas List (long) at $117.60 now.

I paid $118.1 for - I like this price and moved to medium-sized.

* Structural shifts in demand for packaged goods are beginning to emerge from the Covid-19 crisis * A greater propensity for stay at home eating is at the core of my optimism * After 3-5 years of disappointing sales, a better than consensus secular ...

Tomorrow I will present a summary of why I turned bullish last week on packaged goods stocks. I am long , and , among others.