A 'hot' August CPI will raise the level of skepticism of Fed progress. However, of the last six CPI 'misses' (hot), equities gained four of six times.
The economy is roaring, 'they' say. You sure? Certainly not at the household level.
Can we finally get a nice whoosh and some panic into that much anticipated oversold condition? I'd like to see it.
In what may or may not be a key development, Nvidia stock experienced a downside piercing of both its 50-day SMA and long-term trendline of support.
It's hard to get too excited about stocks when risk free short-term Treasuries are paying 5.5%.
Opportunities will develop, but it is going to take time to sort out the economic mess that is developing.
In terms of the inflation trajectory, it really is housing and autos that matter most. Bottoming of US PMIs strengthens the case for Industrials.
One of the most worrisome things about this market is that the economic bulls are becoming so complacent.
The villagers ultimately lost their flock because they didn't listen when they should have.
The overall economy may not be in an overt recession, but there is no denying that S&P 500 companies are now in a nine-month-long earnings recession.