Fed at Center of Yield Curve Inversion and Falling Rates

When you hear someone say that a curve inversion 'predicts' a recession, what it really means is that bond traders are 'predicting' a Fed rate cut.

Sentiment Hasn't Shifted Yet

Friday's big decline hasn't sparked much of a change in investor sentiment so far.

Novice Trade: TLT Treasury Bond ETF

Here's a way to fade the bond move, which I believe is an overreaction.

When 3-Month and 10-Year Yields Invert, How Should Investors React?

This yield curve inversion has been a useful leading indicator of a recession, but what really matters is whether it is a signal we can profit from.

What Happened Friday and What's Next for the Stock Market

Markets where the Russell 2000 outperforms are healthier than those where it doesn't.

Jim Cramer: There Are More Negatives in Play in This Market Than the Yield Curve

Taken together they create a worrisome picture, one that can explain why it wasn't just the banks that fell on the inversion news.

Bears Think They've Finally Found This Market's Kryptonite

The question to ponder is whether the problem Friday is a longer-term issue or not.

This Yield Curve Inversion Is Scary, but Not the End of the World

If the entire inversion was because everyone was horrified by domestic economic data, I'd be extremely concerned, but much of it can be explained by other factors.

Gold Stocks Are Positive on a Negative Day: Here Are My 2 Favorites

While today's action isn't attractive, we were ripe for a little profit-taking.

There's an Historic Shift Going On at the Fed

All this dot plot tells us is that there is a large majority within the Fed that favors staying on hold.