Here are the mostly likely scenarios and impact on stocks and bonds.
Will President Trump's administration move ahead with plans to turn up the heat on China in such a way that U.S. consumers for the first time share some of that pain?
After the 266,000 payroll number on Friday, here's my analysis and how to prepare for the months ahead.
The Fed is considering introducing a rule that would let inflation run above its 2% target.
The next leg up gets overbought too quickly and sentiment turns bullish too quickly.
Plus, we check out the latest negative headline on Boeing.
Third quarter earnings season is down to the really nitty gritty. That said, there are still quite a few well known (to the public) retailers set to bring up the rear.
Here are my views on topics including interest rate risks, events in Europe that could push European yields higher and the ongoing trade talks between Washington and Beijing.
We also take a look at the charts of Costco Wholesale and Viacom to check out potential plays in both stocks.
The Fed has done what was necessary and now is on hold for the foreseeable future.
You can't have the best of all possible worlds, or at least you can't have it for long.
OPEC forecasts declining demand for OPEC oil, not a decline in global demand. That distinction is key.
Be careful drawing too strong of a conclusion from these numbers.
It makes a lot of sense for the Fed to wean the market off its reliance on explicit forward guidance, but it won't be easy.
Why I'm very bearish on the long end of the yield curve and how to play it.
There are a number of important questions stemming from this series of events.
The banks may tease, but they just keep tagging the downtrend line and heading back down; also, Tuesday's rally keeps the indicators mixed.
Here's when to hop on board.
Citigroup and Lululemon are on the radar this morning.
Shakespeare seemingly could have written the script regarding the U.S.-China trade drama.
Plus, pining for the days of thoughtful price discovery in the markets.
Only because of the incessant brainwashing of individuals by an industry with a bias toward indexing do we have this attitude that stocks are one and the same. They are anything but.
Markets are at risk of ongoing balance sheet and risk reduction, where both stocks and bonds do poorly.
Let's face it, the numbers aren't great and the trend is bad.
Bonds are an interesting trade right now.
Thoughts on the ISM, trade, Friday's key job report and how to play it all.
Cracks are appearing in some high-beta parts of the market, and a few recent initial public offerings have been pulled or haven't fared well after issuance.
Who was speaking to the strength of the U.S. Treasury Department's auction of $32 billion worth of 7 Year Notes as a driver for equities through Thursday afternoon?
it seems that consensus is to interpret anything that can be viewed as bad, as actually bad, and anything that could be good, as an aberration that will soon become bad.
Like central bankers, the equity markets seem oblivious to weakening global economic conditions that indicate a recession already is here.