Treasury Bonds
Sell Signals Have Yet to Appear Amid Market Rally
Here's where the market stands right now.
Sobering Conversation, Not-So-Hot GDP, Ominous Yield Spread, Rally On
Plus, we take a close look at the charts of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite and check out Tesla, Disney and Salesforce.
Overcoming Microsoft, S&P Levels Off, Bank of Canada Wisdom, Mucho Data on Tap
Plus, a look at Wednesday's wishy-washy market action, the Treasury yield curve, Chevron's coming earnings and Lael Brainard's possible exit from the Fed.
Look for Further Digestion of the Market's January Gains
Here's our latest look at the market's charts and data.
Gold Is Now Shining Over Bitcoin
The crypto collapse and FTX fiasco has been a good reminder that the grass isn't always greener on the other side of the fence.
Risk-On Aggression, Semiconductors Soar, Microsoft and ChatGPT, Charting the S&P
It becomes more difficult to doubt this rally by the day. Still, I remember very tough Februarys that have followed strong Januarys.
As Market Bounces, Plenty of Non-Believers Remain on the Sidelines
Demand for equities overtook supply as Fed fears seemed to relax a bit.
Has the New Bull Market Started?
There are a few factors that will determine whether the bull is charging again, and most aren't arguing in its favor just yet.
Prescient Cautionary Data Turns Largely Neutral
Has the storm passed? The data that was waving red flags has moderated while the valuation spread has narrowed.
The Worm Turns, S&P 500 Danger, Econ for Fed Dummies, Yield Spread, Trading TJX
There comes a time when bad begets bad, when even a Corvette is stuck in traffic on the BQE. Doesn't matter what that car is capable of.
Has the Market's Bullish Catalyst Been Spent?
Key contrarian bullish signal weakens.
Market Hot Streak, Breakout or Rejection? Davos Risk, China, Earnings Parade
CEO speak will be as important as anything the Fed Heads say this week or anything that spills out of the clown car in Davos.
Don't Chase Prices Now: Market Data Say to Wait
Indexes are bullish, but there are some red flags to watch out for.
CPI Data Charade, Wounded Inflation Beast, Index Winning Streaks, a Big 'But'
Plus, a number of Fed presidents actually make thoughtful comments about what may be ahead for interest rates.
More Resistance Levels Violated as Data Send Out a Warning
Some clouds are starting to appear that suggest chasing the current rally may not be prudent.
Fed Rally Slayer, Powell's Speech, Charting the S&P, Trading Halliburton, SLB
If Raphael Bostic's intent was to put the rally back in the box, then mission accomplished. If this is how the broader FOMC thinks, then uh-oh.
Violations of Resistance Turn Most Index Charts Bullish
There was one important holdout, however.
Markets: Which Way Do We Go?
The debate continues.
House Drama, Santa's Late Rally, Fed Minutes, Microsoft's Drop, Amazon Layoffs
Much of the truly horrendous and contractionary macroeconomic data over the past three weeks or so were released after the December Fed meeting.
We're Still Waiting to Turn on the Green Lights
We are slightly more encouraged for clearer skies for the equity indexes after Tuesday.
The Yellow Metal Finally Is Producing a Little Green
Gold outperformed stocks late in 2022 and is worth watching here in the New Year.
Mr. Speaker, Fat Man Markets, 4 Investment Strategies, Trading Sectors
The first day of trade in 2023 had a negative feel to it for equities. How negative the session was is debatable.
The Market Is Struggling to Discount the Impact of a Recession
Technically the market is in miserable shape.
Here's What We're Waiting for on the Charts
Let's check the market's technicals as we start 2023.
Welcome to 2023: What Now? 2022 Scorecard, Jobs Week, Margin Eaters, Tesla
The business relationship between the U.S. and China is changed forever. That removes many of the margin-increasing benefits of globalism from the corporate profit proposition.
Turn the Page, Unknowns Galore, Hunkering Down, Santa Cameo, Can Coke Pop?
The ongoing inversion of Treasury yield spreads leads this observer to prepare for a recession that could become evident early next year.
Here's How We'll Know the Tide Has Turned
High levels of crowd bearish sentiment remain a potential catalyst for the markets.
Doug Kass: My Best Investment Idea for 2023
This risk-free pick may provide an equity-like return next year.
Tale of 2 Markets, Treasury Yields, Trading Halliburton, Tesla's Decline
The move higher for yields put some pressure on the technology sector and growth type names that have lost the right to be called 'growth' types in 2022.
Santa Hasn't Arrived but Still Could Make a Late Appearance
It instead could become a Saint Nicholas rally going into Jan. 7, though the early part of 2023 is likely to see weakness in stocks.