Rates and Bonds
Making Sense of the Disappointing April Jobs Report (And How I Traded It)
When government data seems strange like this, it is more likely to be an artifact of sampling or some other one-off reason.
I'm Mining for Opportunities Amid Inflation Fears
Here's a play in an exchange-traded fund for gold.
Inflation Could Rise, but Don't Bet on It
Why? It's not a good wager -- and there are better places for investors to put their money if the economy booms.
With Inflation on the Rise, Will Markets Get Spooked?
The only place to hide will be and has been commodities, as they are truly inflation protection assets.
Does Jerome Powell Really Believe Inflation Is Transitory?
It probably doesn't matter. He's dead wrong. As always, the numbers don't lie.
Economics for Dummies, Fed Recap, Fun With Jobs Math, Amazon, Buying ServiceNow
The differences in approach between the two most basic strategies for how to grow an economy are as stark as the division they cause among economists.
Trading the Fed
We expect three themes to emerge from this week's FOMC meeting.
A Big Picture Look at Tech Stocks and Treasuries
Trends spanning over several months can be thwarted by a trend that spans over years.
Boom -- We'll Get One, but How Big Will It Be?
Let's see what could turn a 'boom' into a 'pop.'
Treasury Auction, Earnings Season Kickoff, Watching Nvidia and Microsoft
As we fast approach the unofficial kickoff of earning season, I think it is key to note that expectations are running extremely high.
What Is Consensus?
This is a perfect time to make sure you haven't strayed too far into the mainstream, which has been the wrong trade for well over a year.
March Jobs Report: What Stock and Bond Investors Need to Know
On Friday alone markets added half a rate hike to 2023.
Deceptive Monday, Archegos Fallout, 'Impending Doom,' Trading Kratos Defense
The main story unfolded along with the passing hours on Monday, and continues. The ending of this tale perhaps remains far from untold.
Oil - It's All About Seasonality
There is no shortage of oil, there never was.
The Week Ahead: Bond Yields, Personal Spending, GameStop Earnings and More
We are nearing the home stretch for the first quarter, so here's what's on tap.
Inconsistent Market Action Plays Havoc With Traders
Two things are making it complicated for stock-pickers.
The FOMC Is Oblivious to Actual Facts
The removal of the SLR exemption is seen as contractionary.
Bonds Are Throwing Their Weight Around and Stocks Are Getting Hurt
The market is trying to price in the great likelihood that we will be in a rising interest rate environment regardless of what the Fed may do and say.
If the Dollar Has Bottomed, It Will Push Oil and Interest Rates Lower
Here's a hypothetical trading idea.
Oops, Did the Fed's Powell Say Something Wrong at the March FOMC?
The Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place, and at some point this liquidity train will have to stop.
The Bond Market Never Forgives
Focus on the trends in the bond market, and realize that, in the short term anyway, prices are much more important than yields.
Hall of Mirrors, Connecting the Fed Dots, National Debt Q&A, Amazon Disrupts
As a very wise man once said: 'I'll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today.'
Jim Cramer: In Jay We Trust
Here's why the Fed chief will probably be proven dead right in his views of inflation.
Fed Meeting Begins and Ends With Inflated Expectations
We're starting to really learn what Average Inflation Targeting means and what it would take for rate hikes.
Market Taking Comfort in Fed's Rate Hike Message
Market players can work on putting the flood of liquidity to work.
Jim Cramer: Are You as Sick of the Linkage of Bonds to the Nasdaq as I Am?
The linkage that's ironclad - it's revolting, it's wrong.
Markets Anxiously Await the Fed Announcement
Interest is even higher than normal as there was some aggressive selling the last time Powell spoke about rising rates and inflation.
Interest Rate Worries Undermine Stock Picking
The market is hoping that Fed Chair Powell will offer a program focused on shifting the yield curve to address the inflation issue
Prepare for Higher Yields - Again
There are several things the Fed could do, but would it matter?
My Bet Is Against the Fed
I've got a list of short-Treasury exchange-traded funds that you should consider.