Rates and Bonds
Central Bank Intervention Throws a Wrench Into Tracking the U.K. Gilt
Technical analysis becomes difficult when non-market forces come into play.
Charting the Indexes, When We'll Find a Bid, King Dollar, 3 Stocks I'm Trading
The FOMC continues to fiddle despite evidence inflation is peaking or has peaked and while all of Rome is burning down around them.
Forget a Soft Landing, We Have Now Run Out of Runway
It's time for investors to keep it simple and keep it safe.
Australia's Central Bank Says It Is Bust
After the Australian fiscal year ended in June, the Reserve Bank of Australia marked its bond holdings to market - wiping out all its reserves.
It's Going to Take a While for This Market to Find Solid Support
The primary problem appears to be a continued rise in bond yields.
Pay Attention to the Bond Market for an 'All-Sell' Signal
The stock market is always the last to know.
Crucial CPI, Hoping for the Real Thing, Wall Street Braces, Intel, Rockin' Apple
Trading volume remains the missing ingredient that prevents me from confirming this rally as the 'real thing.'
Don't Expect Anyone to Ever Make a Movie About Powell and Yellen
We are just not living in an orderly time in the US economy, so to predict orderly stock market corrections is ludicrous.
Serious Fed, Traders More Than Investors, Top Dog Energy, 3M, Trading Belite Bio
The Fed was too easy for far too long and now will be too tight, probably for far too long.
A Message Had to Be Delivered and Central Bankers Delivered It
They are fighting expectations as much as anything and hammered home their alleged willingness to hike rates in the face of bad economic data.
Jackson Hole Is Important, But It's Not Everything Right Now
There are a lot of other major stories besides Powell's speech that investors need to keep an eye on.
El Toro Returns, A Wednesday Full of Wow, The Technical Setup, Disney Reports
All hail the new bull. Same as the old bull? Not a chance.
With the Jobs Report on Tap, 3 Other Issues Are Equally Important for Investors
Here's what to expect in Friday's numbers, as well as my single biggest concern right now.
Target Date Funds: What Some Investors May Be Shocked to Find Out
There's an issue affecting these popular funds that many may not be aware of.
Fed Day, What to Expect, Bad Scheduling, Note to Retail Investors, Microsoft
This year's Jackson Hole symposium buys Powell and crew time to figure out how they want to position themselves moving into the latter part of 2022.
Walmart's Woes, Standing Before the Payphones, Coinbase Crumbles, Yardeni's Call
Monday's trading action reminded me of a quiet bus ride into the mayhem.
Recession Risk, Stock Market Risk and the Fed
The White House publishing a blog on how economists determine if we are in recession, quite frankly, doesn't give me comfort.
Big Week, Big Earnings, Collision Course, Tracking Trend, Fed, Fun With Numbers
The longer-term trend is still to the downside, but the short-to medium-term trend has improved as has relative strength.
Crisis in Europe, Sour Apple, U.S. Safe Haven? ECB Hike, CHIPS (Act) Ahoy
Russian energy giant Gazprom has apparently invoked 'force majeure,' for its failure to deliver natural gas shipments to European clients in recent weeks.
Bummer Bank Earnings, Core PPI Cools, Fed's Waller Talks Rates, Big Data Day
Plus, watch Russia's moves in the oil market and keep an eye on the impact of Alphabet's big stock split.
The Fed Has Only One Job Right Now
Will the central bank be true to its word?
June Jobs Report Bolsters Case for Hawkish Fed
The wage inflation story here is important.
Nasdaq's Key Line, Fed Minutes, Trouble With the Yield Curve, Sun Valley Deals?
The FOMC flat out tells us here that they are willing to damage the economy in order to get a handle on and tamp down consumer-level inflation.
Tuesday Setup, Semiconductor Gut Punch, Tradable July? Stay Inside the Lines
Earnings season kicks off in about 10 days. It does not look to the plain eye that analysts are ready.
Epically Bad First Half, Inflation's Origins, Defense Stocks, Seasonal Investing
Is Defense recession proof? Not in 'normal' peacetime, but maybe this time.
Don't Expect Fed Relief Anytime Soon
Major selloffs in recent years were accompanied by Fed cuts and market bottoms, but this time is different.
The Fed Blinked and So Did We
Here's what we need to get a bigger rally.
Baltic Powder Keg? Telltale Treasuries, Cringy Congress, Lost in Fed Translation
Despite Wednesday's hit, XLE remains the only sector SPDR ETF still up year to date (+34.8%).
The Single Best Market Timing Advice
It's really very simple.
An Oversold Bounce Is Developing -- But Don't Be Too Trusting
Now is not the time to build longer-term positions.