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Markets, Not So Confident Fed, Stocks Losing Streak, China Economy, My Trades

This week's earnings focus will be on the retailers with rivals such as Walmart and Target, as well as Home Depot and Lowe's reporting.

Market Recon: Several Thoughts Ahead of Wednesday's CPI Data

This morning's CPI print will certainly be this week's (month's) catalyst if there is to be a short-term rally in equities.

Trading for a Bounce -- Not a Bottom

Here's my thinking on the Nasdaq, bonds, energy, commodities and crypto right now.

The Pattern Gives Clues to Why We Can't Get Extreme Oversold

Let's see what a slew of red days in a row could change about this market we're in -- also let's check bonds and new lows.

Wild Week, Markets, Earnings, US Economy, Rivian Stock, Kohl's

The US may very well escape recession this year, putting it off until early next year. Other global economies may not be so lucky.

Kass: Are Market Structure and the Lack of Liquidity the Greatest Risks of All?

For over a year I have been vehemently warning about the risks associated with speculative stocks and gewgaws.

The Great Wake-Up Call

Right now, the only one that believes the Fed can engineer a soft landing is Jerome Powell.

3 Key Fed Takeaways, the Rally, Deciphering Price Discovery, Less Than Convinced

Has the FOMC heeded Market Recon's advice? Probably not.

Fed Races Down a Tightrope, Stepping Up a Half Point. How Far Can It Go?

Tightening monetary policy is tricky -- hike too much and the economy could go splat. So this half point decision was a tough balancing act and a dash against time. Here's what I see down the line.

Fundamentals? It Has All Been About Central Bank Liquidity!

All eyes will be on the Fed this Wednesday to see if this 'weakness' will or can cause them to reverse their policy.

Won't Get Fooled Again, Bullish Reversal, Goldman Rocks, Trading Baxter

Markets will either confirm or deny Monday's bullish reversal this week. Traders are already up to their eyeballs in water snakes and alligators.

Waiting for Capitulation? All I Can Offer You Is This

Let's take a look at my Oscillator, two other indicators and the TLT to see where the market is in terms of oversold readings.

Twitter and Musk, Monday Reversal, Treasuries, Energy's Hammer, Kohl's Cash-Out?

I found two very interesting takeaways from Monday's sharp market reversal.

We're Sailing in Recently Uncharted Waters Here

Watch out for the stress in the financial system.

Don't Look at Equities, Look at What FX and Bonds Are Signaling

The Fed is running the same experiment over and over again expecting a different result.

Is the Economy Throwing Us a Curveball?

Amid chatter of inflation and recession, something strange is happening with the yield curve. Let's see what it could be telling us and what other signs (hint: housing) to watch.

It Is Still Too Dangerous Out There -- Even if That Is Consensus

Four big dangers for this market are keeping me cautious right now.

Wallowing in a Bear Market

Embrace the fact that this is a bear market and don't try to fight it.

Recession Blame, Bullard Speaks, Real Yields, Mortgage Rates, Trading Lockheed

It was what the St. Louis Fed President said regarding short-term rate targets that left the deepest impression.

Indexes Mask Market Misery

Tax time, inflation and rising rates all make for sour mood on Wall Street, but watch for an eventual countertrend.

Fed, Interest Rates, Earnings, Markets, China's Economy, Domestic Economics

Place a percentage on the likelihood of recession? It sounds more like someone trying harder to not get it wrong than trying to get it right.

The Market Is Flipping Elon Musk the Bird

Also, play the companies that benefit from inflation, not Cathie's clowns, which are hurt by it.

The Economy, Inflation, Have Been Burning Up. Are They Burning Out?

Let's tackle the big question: Is inflation, and possibly the economy, too, reaching a peak? We're seeing some possible signs of slowing -- but they could be other, harmless shifts under the surface. Here's my take.

Markets, Russia, China and the Fed

I am more concerned, for markets, about quantitative tightening than rate hikes.

CPI Day, Runaway Inflation, Bond Yields, Trading Microsoft, Nvidia, AMD and More

The march toward positive real yield territory has put the whammy on equities, primarily on tech or "growthy" type stocks that have run at higher valuations.

Fed Posturing, Russia, China Covid, Markets, Earnings Season, Valuation

Let's see how this earnings season shapes up.

3 Recession-Proof Dividend Stocks

The prospect of a potential recession this year means investors must be more vigilant than ever in selecting stocks for their portfolio.

Fed Minutes, Terrible Transports, Eye-Popping Debt, Bond Yields, Defense Stocks

You are more likely to encounter an albino deer in the forest or shake hands with a friendly sasquatch than realize that interest rates have hit neutral territory.

Fed Sledgehammers, FOMC Minutes, CPI, Bonds, Markets, 5 Steps to Victory

One must accept that the FOMC is probably very close to being quite aggressive and being so aggressive quite unanimously.

Leadership Reestablished? Manic Monday, Check Out the Charts, Death of Globalism

Tech might not truly be leading markets vertically, but it is certainly leading investor behavior in a more horizontal fashion.