• Subscribe
  • Log In
  • Home
  • Daily Diary
  • Asset Class
    • U.S. Equity
    • Fixed Income
    • Global Equity
    • Commodities
    • Currencies
  • Sector
    • Basic Materials
    • Consumer Discretionary
    • Consumer Staples
    • Energy
    • Financial Services
    • Healthcare
    • Industrials
    • Real Estate
    • Technology
    • Telecom Services
    • Transportation
    • Utilities
  • Latest
    • Articles
    • Video
    • Columnist Conversations
    • Best Ideas
    • Stock of the Day
  • Street Notes
  • Authors
    • Bruce Kamich
    • Doug Kass
    • Jim "Rev Shark" DePorre
    • Helene Meisler
    • Jonathan Heller
    • - See All -
  • Options
  • RMPIA
  • Switch Product
    • Action Alerts PLUS
    • Quant Ratings
    • Real Money
    • Real Money Pro
    • Retirement
    • Stocks Under $10
    • TheStreet
    • Top Stocks
    • TheStreet Smarts
  1. Home
  2. / Investing
  3. / Stocks

Microsoft Layoffs: What That Could Indicate for the Stock

The shares are currently in a long-term downward trend.
By BRUCE KAMICH
Oct 18, 2022 | 01:45 PM EDT
Stocks quotes in this article: MSFT

In past market cycles the announcement of layoffs by a public company has at times marked a price low for the company's stock. Software, cloud and gaming giant Microsoft ( MSFT) announced Tuesday that they were laying off 1,000 employees as global demand slowed. You could say this was a very small amount of the company's total headcount or you could posit that this lagging indicator is going to help identify a low in the stock price.
 
Let's check further.  
 
In the daily bar chart of MSFT, below, we can see that the shares have declined the past 12 months. Trading lows have not survived and the most recent low in October may not last either. Prices are below the declining 50-day moving average line and below the 200-day moving average line.
 
The trading volume has increased in recent weeks but not by an amount to suggest to me that investors are being attracted. The On-Balance-Volume (OBV) line remains weak. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator is bearish but could generate another cover shorts buy signal. 
 
 
 
In the weekly Japanese candlestick chart of MSFT, below, we do not see a compelling bullish setup. The shares are in a longer-term downward trend as they trade below the bearish 40-week moving average line.
 
The weekly OBV line is bearish and so is the MACD oscillator. 
 
 
In this daily Point and Figure chart of MSFT, below, we can see a downside price target in the $200 area. 
 
 
In this weekly Point and Figure chart of MSFT, below, we see that the software is projecting the $175 area as a potential price target. 
 
 
 
Bottom-line strategy: MSFT is not scheduled to report their latest quarterly number for another week but the charts are not lining up for a rally. I would avoid the long side of MSFT.
 
Get an email alert each time I write an article for Real Money. Click the "+Follow" next to my byline to this article.

Employees of TheStreet are prohibited from trading individual securities.

TAGS: Jobs | Investing | Stocks | Technical Analysis | Software & Services | Technology | Earnings Preview

More from Stocks

Chevron Is Not Only Greasing the Wheels, It's Turbocharging Them

Jim Collins
Jan 26, 2023 5:07 PM EST

Let's look at why CVX's buyback news is a big deal for investors.

Traders Hold Their Noses and Buy

James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Jan 26, 2023 4:27 PM EST

The dull market got a boost from Tesla, but this is not the kind of action we want to see.

The Long-Term Trend of Booz Allen Hamilton Is Bullish

Bruce Kamich
Jan 26, 2023 12:15 PM EST

If the earnings report is bearish, here's what to know.

As the Bears Battle the Bulls, the Market Action Remains Choppy

James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Jan 26, 2023 11:40 AM EST

GDP, unemployment claims, and durable goods reports were better than expected, creating hope that the Fed will be able to create a soft economic landing.

Charter Communications: The Path of Least Resistance Is Higher

Bruce Kamich
Jan 26, 2023 11:27 AM EST

Here are the key price levels to watch in the days ahead.

Real Money's message boards are strictly for the open exchange of investment ideas among registered users. Any discussions or subjects off that topic or that do not promote this goal will be removed at the discretion of the site's moderators. Abusive, insensitive or threatening comments will not be tolerated and will be deleted. Thank you for your cooperation. If you have questions, please contact us here.

Email

CANCEL
SUBMIT

Email sent

Thank you, your email to has been sent successfully.

DONE

Oops!

We're sorry. There was a problem trying to send your email to .
Please contact customer support to let us know.

DONE

Please Join or Log In to Email Our Authors.

Email Real Money's Wall Street Pros for further analysis and insight

Already a Subscriber? Login

Columnist Conversation

  • 03:06 PM EST BOB LANG

    LEAPS Webinar

    This week, I offered a free webinar session talkin...
  • 02:53 PM EST REAL MONEY

    LIVE EVENT: Chris Versace and "Sarge" Guilfoyle Share Their Stock Market Insights

    This Monday, Jan. 30, at 12 p.m., our very own exp...
  • 04:58 PM EST REAL MONEY

    The Latest AAP Podcast!

    Listen in as AAP Tackles Earnings, the Fed, Recess...
  • See More

COLUMNIST TWEETS

  • A Twitter List by realmoney
About Privacy Terms of Use

© 1996-2023 TheStreet, Inc., 225 Liberty Street, 27th Floor, New York, NY 10281

Need Help? Contact Customer Service

Except as otherwise indicated, quotes are delayed. Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes for all exchanges. Market Data & Company fundamental data provided by FactSet. Earnings and ratings provided by Zacks. Mutual fund data provided by Valueline. ETF data provided by Lipper. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions Group.

TheStreet Ratings updates stock ratings daily. However, if no rating change occurs, the data on this page does not update. The data does update after 90 days if no rating change occurs within that time period.

FactSet calculates the Market Cap for the basic symbol to include common shares only. Year-to-date mutual fund returns are calculated on a monthly basis by Value Line and posted mid-month.

Compare Brokers

Please Join or Log In to manage and receive alerts.

Follow Real Money's Wall Street Pros to receive real-time investing alerts

Already a Subscriber? Login