• Subscribe
  • Log In
  • Home
  • Daily Diary
  • Asset Class
    • U.S. Equity
    • Fixed Income
    • Global Equity
    • Commodities
    • Currencies
  • Sector
    • Basic Materials
    • Consumer Discretionary
    • Consumer Staples
    • Energy
    • Financial Services
    • Healthcare
    • Industrials
    • Real Estate
    • Technology
    • Telecom Services
    • Transportation
    • Utilities
  • Latest
    • Articles
    • Video
    • Columnist Conversations
    • Best Ideas
    • Stock of the Day
  • Street Notes
  • Authors
    • Bruce Kamich
    • Doug Kass
    • Jim "Rev Shark" DePorre
    • Helene Meisler
    • Jonathan Heller
    • - See All -
  • Options
  • RMPIA
  • Switch Product
    • Action Alerts PLUS
    • Quant Ratings
    • Real Money
    • Real Money Pro
    • Retirement
    • Stocks Under $10
    • TheStreet
    • Top Stocks
    • TheStreet Smarts
  1. Home
  2. / Investing

I'm Not Convinced That Alphabet Is Poised for a Sustained Rally

Let's take a fresh look at the charts and indicators.
By BRUCE KAMICH
Jan 20, 2023 | 01:40 PM EST
Stocks quotes in this article: GOOGL

I reviewed the charts and indicators of Alphabet ( GOOGL) on January 11 and wrote that "I have yet to see growing evidence of new and aggressive buying in GOOGL. Continue to avoid the long side of GOOGL for now as a better buying opportunity may present itself in the next couple of months. Stay tuned."
 
Alphabet announced Thursday evening that they were cutting 12,000 jobs worldwide and the stock responded on the upside Friday. Let's check the charts and indicators again.
 
In this updated daily bar chart of GOOGL, below, I can see that the price of GOOGL has been creeping higher in recent days. Prices gapped higher Friday but have come off their best levels. GOOGL is above the 50-day moving average line but the slope of the line is still negative. The 200-day moving average line is also negative.
 
The On-Balance-Volume (OBV) line has been weak since April and still has not shown us much on the upside. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has improved but it has not (yet) crossed above the zero line. 
 
 
In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of GOOGL, below, I can see some small lower shadows on some of the recent candles. This development shows some rejection of the lows but the lower shadows are not that impressive - this is a judgment call. The slope of the 40-week moving average line is negative.
 
The weekly OBV line shows a small rise in a longer-term decline. The weekly MACD oscillator is bearish but trying to signal a cover shorts buy signal. 
 
 
 
In this daily Point and Figure chart of GOOGL, below, I see a mixed picture. Prices have rallied and the chart now shows an upside price target in the $122 area.
 
Looking at the volume by price bars on the left side of the chart I can see potential resistance in the $100 to $118 area. The GOOGL chart I used on January 11 showed a downside price target in the $81 area - just saying. 
 
Bottom line strategy: Will the potential of significant overhead chart resistance from $100 to $118 and the lack of aggressive buying so far, I remain unconvinced that GOOGL is poised for a sustained rally. The risk, to me, is still to the downside.  

(Alphabet is a holding in the Action Alerts PLUS member club. Want to be alerted before AAP buys or sells GOOGL? Learn more now.)

Get an email alert each time I write an article for Real Money. Click the "+Follow" next to my byline to this article.

Employees of TheStreet are prohibited from trading individual securities.

TAGS: Economy | Fundamental Analysis | Investing | Jobs | Stocks | Technical Analysis | Trading | Technology | Advertising

More from Investing

Traders Face the Fed Facts

James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Feb 8, 2023 4:26 PM EST

We've seen some denial about the level of Fed hawkishness, and the action now reflects a more realistic view of the economic situation.

Further Price Weakness Lies Ahead for Zoom Video

Bruce Kamich
Feb 8, 2023 2:35 PM EST

Here's what traders should avoid.

Is the Nasdaq Giving Us Bearish Clues Again?

Bruce Kamich
Feb 8, 2023 12:32 PM EST

Keep your head on a swivel with the index and Apple stock.

Here Are 2 Reasonably Valued Stocks Made for the 'Compression'

Bret Jensen
Feb 8, 2023 11:30 AM EST

These companies managed to produce solid results in a difficult fourth quarter.

Snap-On Is Close to a Major Upside Breakout

Bruce Kamich
Feb 8, 2023 11:18 AM EST

Here's what aggressive traders could do now.

Real Money's message boards are strictly for the open exchange of investment ideas among registered users. Any discussions or subjects off that topic or that do not promote this goal will be removed at the discretion of the site's moderators. Abusive, insensitive or threatening comments will not be tolerated and will be deleted. Thank you for your cooperation. If you have questions, please contact us here.

Email

CANCEL
SUBMIT

Email sent

Thank you, your email to has been sent successfully.

DONE

Oops!

We're sorry. There was a problem trying to send your email to .
Please contact customer support to let us know.

DONE

Please Join or Log In to Email Our Authors.

Email Real Money's Wall Street Pros for further analysis and insight

Already a Subscriber? Login

Columnist Conversation

  • 08:20 AM EST PETER TCHIR

    Powell, 0DTE Options and How I View This Market Right Now

    Fed Chair Powell is saying all the things I think ...
  • 08:22 AM EST REAL MONEY

    LIVE EVENT: Bruce Kamich and Todd Campbell Share Their Stock Market Insights

    This Monday, Feb. 6 at 12 p.m., our very own exper...
  • 02:58 PM EST REAL MONEY

    Sarge Guilfoyle Breaks Down the Jobs Report, Fed Policy and Stocks!

    Watch it here!
  • See More

COLUMNIST TWEETS

  • A Twitter List by realmoney
About Privacy Terms of Use

© 1996-2023 TheStreet, Inc., 225 Liberty Street, 27th Floor, New York, NY 10281

Need Help? Contact Customer Service

Except as otherwise indicated, quotes are delayed. Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes for all exchanges. Market Data & Company fundamental data provided by FactSet. Earnings and ratings provided by Zacks. Mutual fund data provided by Valueline. ETF data provided by Lipper. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions Group.

TheStreet Ratings updates stock ratings daily. However, if no rating change occurs, the data on this page does not update. The data does update after 90 days if no rating change occurs within that time period.

FactSet calculates the Market Cap for the basic symbol to include common shares only. Year-to-date mutual fund returns are calculated on a monthly basis by Value Line and posted mid-month.

Compare Brokers

Please Join or Log In to manage and receive alerts.

Follow Real Money's Wall Street Pros to receive real-time investing alerts

Already a Subscriber? Login