Epically Bad First Half, Inflation's Origins, Defense Stocks, Seasonal Investing
Is Defense recession proof? Not in 'normal' peacetime, but maybe this time.
Zero-Covid? NATO's China Challenge, Quarter-End Volume, Yields, Trading Chevron
There was a time when Covid vaccine news was headline material. Not now, though, and this news could matter.
Baltic Powder Keg? Telltale Treasuries, Cringy Congress, Lost in Fed Translation
Despite Wednesday's hit, XLE remains the only sector SPDR ETF still up year to date (+34.8%).
An Oversold Bounce Is Developing -- But Don't Be Too Trusting
Now is not the time to build longer-term positions.
How Far Down? Inflation Torment, Sign of Relief? Bewitched, Trading Chip Stocks
there was a high level of professional participation on Thursday and almost all of it was on the same side of the market.
Fed Reaction and Takeaways: The Statement, The Projections, The Balance Sheet
I have never seen a market downturn end on its own, without the Fed turning dovish as a catalyst or in response to some crisis-level situation.
If You're Freaked Out About Energy, Then Look Back to 2007
That year we were in a similar situation of skyrocketing energy prices and stories of peak oil. My mom even bought a Prius. Instead of rushing out for a new electric car yourself, try this trade idea.
What the S&P 500 Does at This Magic Level Could Set the Tone for Summer Markets
We are approaching a critical juncture in the markets that could set the tone for price action in the coming months.
The Thin Green Line, Market Fairness, Treasury Demand, Mortgages, Meta and Musk
We've never unwound a close to $9T central bank balance sheet before, let alone do so as the entire economy skates on the thinnest ice seen in these parts for quite some time.
Navigating a Swamp, Global Recession? Apple WWDC, Trading ServiceNow
What matters more than trading volume right now is the 21-day exponential moving average.