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Stay Cool, Trade Smartly: Ignore the Futures, Yield Curve Craziness

When you hear hysteria over the inverted-yield curve recession fears, ask whether you are really going to sell all your stocks now, because of something that might happen far in the future?

A Recovery in the S&P 500 Is Probably Closer Than Most Think

The corrective chart pattern in the S&P 500 is nearly complete.

Markets Are Bouncing but Must Deal with This Damage

Markets sold off on the back of the 'currency manipulator' designation, but have reversed sharply. The question is whether that reversal will hold.

Will the U.S. Shoot Itself in the Foot in a Race to the Bottom With China?

For Trump to get what he wants, he will tariff nations and cause an economic shock just to get the Fed to further cut rates.

Speculators Could Be 'Too Short' Natural Gas Futures: Reversal on the Way?

Prices are approaching multi-year lows at a time in which the number of bearish market participants is at a multi-year high.

Boo! It Looks Like Volatility Is Around the Corner

I believe a sizable move is on the way, with higher volatility coming.

Novice Trade: VXX Short-Term VIX Futures ETN

Look for the VIX to back off as we enter earnings season.

Beware the Bond Shock on Strong Nonfarm Payrolls

The Fed can't justify a rate cut soon on the strong jobs growth data. Expect bond selling and a follow-on hit to equities.

Intermediate Trade: VIX

Where did the VIX go?

Commodities Are Intimidating: Here Are 2 Slower Ways to Play These Markets

Options enable traders to express their opinions in market pricing without the stress and risk of buying or selling futures contracts outright.

Lockheed Martin and Kratos Are on My Radar, and I'm Tracking Gold: Market Recon

As investors once again anticipate a near-ZIRP environment, keep an eye on defense names and gold.

Powell Nailed FOMC Press Conference, Ball Is Back in Trump's Court

The market is cheering for rates to be cut, but forgets they are being cut on the back of global growth collapsing, which is negative for risk assets.

Stocks and Bonds Won't Be the Only Assets Reacting to the Fed: Watch Commodities

Commodity prices are highly influenced by action in the currency markets which will undoubtedly have something to say about the Federal Reserve meeting.

Plot Thickens: While Fed Unlikely to Cut Now, July May Be Different Story

The longer the Fed waits to cut, the lower rates will ultimately go, but so far there's little hint of action to come.

The Easy Money in Stocks Has Already Been Made: Expect Volatility Now

The risk of being 'long and wrong' is now elevated while the upside profit potential is likely minimal.

Hemp Is No Ordinary Crop and Market

The market for hemp-derived products is exploding and financial instruments that are going to be created to work within the market will grow, too.

This Market Is Too Confident in the Bullish Equity Story

The derivative markets are telling us we are complacent about equities.

It Was All About the Stimulus, Not Fundamentals

China's massive spending spree evident in the first quarter is in the past now. Here is what it means.

Keep on Truckin' With J.B. Hunt

Now is a good time to buy JBHT. Only on Wall Street can the best earnings ever be touted as 'bad news.'

Steel Is Rising on Seasonal Demand

Lock in profits in mining stocks as demand picks up.

Tech Stocks and Oil: Can This Unlikely Pair Stay Hot?

Interestingly, these two asset classes have been positively correlated in recent months.

No Need to Fear, New Less-Scary Futures Contracts Are Almost Here

The CME is launching futures contracts to trade stock indices that make futures trading more accessible to retail traders.

Is Oil Cheap or Expensive Right Now?

Crude oil is a highly emotional market and will always surpass a reasonably fair price to reach levels the market has no fundamental justification for.

Coffee Market Brews Up a Rare Opportunity for Traders

Coffee prices won't stay depressed for long.

Pessimistic Agricultural Markets Could Soon Sprout

Ahead of the spring planting season, the sentiment is irrationally lopsided.

What the Fed Minutes Are Saying

The minutes certainly read like the Fed is more worried about the economy than just what the data suggests.

Beware of Climaxing Optimism in the S&P 500 - But From Much Higher Levels

Look for unsustainably exuberant levels for the S&P 500 in the coming weeks before optimism, and prices, peak.

Copper Is Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Doctor Copper is still a harbinger of global economic health -- keep a close eye on copper prices as the trade war marches on.

Why Iron Ore Is Up 20% This Year

With Vale's Brucutu mine offline, the three remaining miners are churning more cash, making them attractive investments.

Be Ready for This Rally to Lose Steam

The data is increasingly suggesting a pause/retracement of January's gains. Get ready for it.