Futures
Pessimistic Agricultural Markets Could Soon Sprout
Ahead of the spring planting season, the sentiment is irrationally lopsided.
What the Fed Minutes Are Saying
The minutes certainly read like the Fed is more worried about the economy than just what the data suggests.
Beware of Climaxing Optimism in the S&P 500 - But From Much Higher Levels
Look for unsustainably exuberant levels for the S&P 500 in the coming weeks before optimism, and prices, peak.
Copper Is Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place
Doctor Copper is still a harbinger of global economic health -- keep a close eye on copper prices as the trade war marches on.
Why Iron Ore Is Up 20% This Year
With Vale's Brucutu mine offline, the three remaining miners are churning more cash, making them attractive investments.
Be Ready for This Rally to Lose Steam
The data is increasingly suggesting a pause/retracement of January's gains. Get ready for it.
Fed Update: Powell Caved to Stock Market and Trump Pressure
Rate increases are off the table for now, balance sheet normalization is on hold, and potentially the groundwork is laid for the next round of quantitative easing.
Once the Fed Starts Cutting, They Are Not Going to Stop
There is strong precedent for aggressive rate cuts once the Fed gets started.
This Is Not Your Grandpa's Covered Call Strategy
Dabbling in the futures markets shouldn't be off limits for those with a certain amount of sophistication and financial means.
Is This a Bull Trough or a Bear Peak? It Depends
We investors have the task of sifting through the 'Umwelt' -- the worldview perceived and forecasted by the various organisms that live in our trading world ecosystem.
Powell Speech Gives Market Boost, Now Back to Trump and Xi
Until there is a clear outcome on the trade front, choose your investments wisely -- the market can very easily go back to retest lows.
U.S.-China Commerce Dept Talks Give a Boost: Market Recon
The wildcard on today's employment data will be if the sudden slowing of growth in manufacturing employment is emblematic of a broader problem.
We Need a Catalyst to Keep the Rally Going: Market Recon
Without a take and hold of the 2570 level, this rally is all just a trading exercise.
For Your Own Good, Make Sure You Show Up Late to This Holiday Party
Those who are waiting for a holiday bounce in the markets should stay patient and wait for strength.
Steve Mnuchin's Weekend, Removing Powell and Holiday Sales: Market Recon
The Fed now appears to me, to be if not in the 'policy error' zone than very close to it. Perhaps the Treasury Secretary sees this as well.
Saudi Arabia Is Wishing for Rising Oil Prices to Balance Their Budget
But there is a lot of oil in the market, so if the market does undergo a recession or a slowdown, oil prices can, and will, trade lower.
Real Money Post Industrial Average Continues to Outperform Dow and S&P 500
Buoying RMPIA during the first half of December were shares of Broadcom, Facebook and PayPal.
Jim Cramer: Making Sense of the Awkward Situation the Fed and Markets Are In Now
Here's the context you need to be a little more clear-headed and a little less scared than you are.
Energy Market Volatility Bled Into Stocks: Are Treasuries and Gold Next?
Treasury bears have been bold and vocal, but sentiment should change to catch up with stocks and commodities.
Jinping Cuts Chinese Import Tariffs, But All Eyes Are on Mid-Terms
As weak PMI data came out, Chinese President Xi Jinping promised cuts to import tariffs, but any major news on a trade deal will wait until after the elections.
If the Yuan Breaks This Key Level, We Could See a Wave of Redemptions
A flush of FX outflows threatens a breach of the 7 level vs. the dollar, and commodities will likely follow suit.
What Do Equities Know That FX and Commodities Do Not?
The biggest risk right now is the yuan level versus the dollar.
Last Week's Big Move Was Dominated by Options Expiration
And the market is vacillating between macro headwinds following economic slowdown and robust company earnings.
Can You Trust the Q3 Data From China?
The market is giving no clue as to which way it is headed, so stick to fundamentals.
Why These Countries Are Dumping U.S. Treasuries and What It Means for the Dollar
Data has been decent, but is showing signs of softness as the demand collapse in the rest of the world feeds into U.S. data.
If Support Holds, the Rally Could Resume
Prior chart patterns don't always repeat themselves, but they are worth watching for when they do.
This Selloff Is All About the Unwind, so Stick to Fundamentals
At times of indiscriminate selling, it pays to be cerebral.
Where Is the Yuan Heading After Golden Week?
The Chinese central bank is moving to boost asset prices and offset trade war and slowdown fears.
What Is Behind the Rise in Aluminum Prices?
Rather than a squeeze on aluminum, this is about how warehousing companies are managing inventory based on spreads, physical premiums and carry.
Trade Deal With Canada Is Done, Is China Next?
As the market plays wait and see, the Chinese infrastructure boost is kicking in, making copper a good bet.