Futures
Baltic Powder Keg? Telltale Treasuries, Cringy Congress, Lost in Fed Translation
Despite Wednesday's hit, XLE remains the only sector SPDR ETF still up year to date (+34.8%).
An Oversold Bounce Is Developing -- But Don't Be Too Trusting
Now is not the time to build longer-term positions.
How Far Down? Inflation Torment, Sign of Relief? Bewitched, Trading Chip Stocks
there was a high level of professional participation on Thursday and almost all of it was on the same side of the market.
Fed Reaction and Takeaways: The Statement, The Projections, The Balance Sheet
I have never seen a market downturn end on its own, without the Fed turning dovish as a catalyst or in response to some crisis-level situation.
If You're Freaked Out About Energy, Then Look Back to 2007
That year we were in a similar situation of skyrocketing energy prices and stories of peak oil. My mom even bought a Prius. Instead of rushing out for a new electric car yourself, try this trade idea.
What the S&P 500 Does at This Magic Level Could Set the Tone for Summer Markets
We are approaching a critical juncture in the markets that could set the tone for price action in the coming months.
The Thin Green Line, Market Fairness, Treasury Demand, Mortgages, Meta and Musk
We've never unwound a close to $9T central bank balance sheet before, let alone do so as the entire economy skates on the thinnest ice seen in these parts for quite some time.
Navigating a Swamp, Global Recession? Apple WWDC, Trading ServiceNow
What matters more than trading volume right now is the 21-day exponential moving average.
Bulls Have the Advantage, But Economic Uncertainty Isn't Going Away
Though not technically in a bear market, is difficult to imagine that the S&P 500 can withstand the biggest economic shift in many years.
Hurricane Jamie, Recession Risk, Sandberg and Meta, Trading the Energy Sector
I bought the FB dip last night, but then sold the shares, not willing to stay long overnight in case there was more news.
Where Are We Now? The Week Ahead, EU Oil Ban, Waller's Words, S&P 500 Earnings
This may be a short week, but you know what they say...
A Relatively Forgiving Bearish Natural Gas Strategy for Paper Traders
Despite the treacherous nature of the market, most people have an opinion to express on the direction of gas prices.
Overnight Blood, Didn't It Matter? Snap's Whammy, Trading Bank Stocks and Zoom
There was the 'momentum play' on Monday and not much else as portfolio managers resisted temptation to increase risk exposure.
The Week Ahead, Indo-Pacific Deal, S&P 500 Valuation, What I've Been Trading
Markets now have a new reversal to think about, but I think I have to be convinced before I can believe.
The Indexes Are No Longer Covering Up How Bad This Market Really Is
This bear market has been unusual because it has proceeded on a rolling basis.
No Place to Hide, Assessing the Beatdown, Dragon Breadth, Just Warming Up?
We ran, we ran all night and day... right back into U.S. Treasury securities, once again flattening the curve.
Oil, War and Inflation: Here's Where Prices Are Likely Headed
Oil has a war and inflation hedge premium, but those aren't permanent.
Sail On, Saylor? MicroStrategy Is Feeling Bitcoin's Pain
This might not end well.
I've Got a Magic Number for Where Inflation Starts to Run Out of 'Gas'
Natural gas is critical to more than energy speculation, and here's where I see this crucial commodity hitting resistance.
3 Key Fed Takeaways, the Rally, Deciphering Price Discovery, Less Than Convinced
Has the FOMC heeded Market Recon's advice? Probably not.
Won't Get Fooled Again, Bullish Reversal, Goldman Rocks, Trading Baxter
Markets will either confirm or deny Monday's bullish reversal this week. Traders are already up to their eyeballs in water snakes and alligators.
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly, Trading Meta Platforms, What's Down Teladoc?
Wednesday's session was dominated by traders, algorithmic traders for sure, but traders nonetheless. The PMs mostly sat on their hands.
Twitter and Musk, Monday Reversal, Treasuries, Energy's Hammer, Kohl's Cash-Out?
I found two very interesting takeaways from Monday's sharp market reversal.
The Most Liquid and Least Talked About Futures Market in the World
These products offer traders the ability to speculate, or hedge interest-rate risk, in a relatively conservative and comfortable manner.
Chop and Indecision, Bulls and Bears, Ackman and Netflix, My Overnight Trades
Casual observers might not realize that real sea monsters live under the placid surface of the deep green oceans before us.
Stocks Struggle to Find Support Following a Surprisingly Poor Netflix Report
The most important issue right now is that bonds find some support.
Recession Blame, Bullard Speaks, Real Yields, Mortgage Rates, Trading Lockheed
It was what the St. Louis Fed President said regarding short-term rate targets that left the deepest impression.
Relief Rally, Charting the Indexes, Fed Talk, Taiwan Semi, Musk Bids for Twitter
The market roared, but the pros did not tag along in size. They either have to catch up, or they are just not coming.
These Limited Risk Commodity Plays Sound Good Right Now
It's a suitable time to focus on low and limited-risk speculative plays. Let's take a look at the yen and cattle futures.
Fed Minutes, Terrible Transports, Eye-Popping Debt, Bond Yields, Defense Stocks
You are more likely to encounter an albino deer in the forest or shake hands with a friendly sasquatch than realize that interest rates have hit neutral territory.