When you hear hysteria over the inverted-yield curve recession fears, ask whether you are really going to sell all your stocks now, because of something that might happen far in the future?
The corrective chart pattern in the S&P 500 is nearly complete.
Markets sold off on the back of the 'currency manipulator' designation, but have reversed sharply. The question is whether that reversal will hold.
For Trump to get what he wants, he will tariff nations and cause an economic shock just to get the Fed to further cut rates.
Prices are approaching multi-year lows at a time in which the number of bearish market participants is at a multi-year high.
I believe a sizable move is on the way, with higher volatility coming.
Look for the VIX to back off as we enter earnings season.
The Fed can't justify a rate cut soon on the strong jobs growth data. Expect bond selling and a follow-on hit to equities.
Where did the VIX go?
Options enable traders to express their opinions in market pricing without the stress and risk of buying or selling futures contracts outright.
As investors once again anticipate a near-ZIRP environment, keep an eye on defense names and gold.
The market is cheering for rates to be cut, but forgets they are being cut on the back of global growth collapsing, which is negative for risk assets.
Commodity prices are highly influenced by action in the currency markets which will undoubtedly have something to say about the Federal Reserve meeting.
The longer the Fed waits to cut, the lower rates will ultimately go, but so far there's little hint of action to come.
The risk of being 'long and wrong' is now elevated while the upside profit potential is likely minimal.
The market for hemp-derived products is exploding and financial instruments that are going to be created to work within the market will grow, too.
The derivative markets are telling us we are complacent about equities.
China's massive spending spree evident in the first quarter is in the past now. Here is what it means.
Now is a good time to buy JBHT. Only on Wall Street can the best earnings ever be touted as 'bad news.'
Lock in profits in mining stocks as demand picks up.
Interestingly, these two asset classes have been positively correlated in recent months.
The CME is launching futures contracts to trade stock indices that make futures trading more accessible to retail traders.
Crude oil is a highly emotional market and will always surpass a reasonably fair price to reach levels the market has no fundamental justification for.
Coffee prices won't stay depressed for long.
Ahead of the spring planting season, the sentiment is irrationally lopsided.
The minutes certainly read like the Fed is more worried about the economy than just what the data suggests.
Look for unsustainably exuberant levels for the S&P 500 in the coming weeks before optimism, and prices, peak.
Doctor Copper is still a harbinger of global economic health -- keep a close eye on copper prices as the trade war marches on.
With Vale's Brucutu mine offline, the three remaining miners are churning more cash, making them attractive investments.
The data is increasingly suggesting a pause/retracement of January's gains. Get ready for it.