Those employment numbers don't look so rosy after all -- and here's why Europe will feel the virus' effect before we do, and what's up with the Fed.
Focus on the big picture and you'll see there has never been a less favorable time to own fixed income.
Talking heads finally see what's going on under the hood; the indicators barely budge; and the utilities are now knocking on the door of my target.
Clinging to outmoded ideas of what is 'normal' and even what is 'low' will prevent you from seeing just how hands-off this Fed really is.
In this second part of a series on preparing for 2020, I look at what to expect ahead, especially as January starts off strong, but could end with trouble.
From bonds to energy to emerging markets, an examination of what might be hot and what might not.
Investing in these bonds requires a counter-intuitive approach, and reframing how you look at risk.
Let's look back to a year ago this month, when most investors saw volatility and a lack of liquidity; and then turn to now, as the tariff deadline looms and the VIX vs. VIX futures gap widens.
I am increasingly concerned about the amount of money flowing into these funds, largely because these flows represent 'weak hands.'
The bond market has no single-source indicator like the S&P 500, but looking at a variety of indexes, 2019 has been a terrific year.