The Fed Is the Least of My Concerns

In response to the Evergrande situation, look for China to further its domestic focus at the expense of its global focus.

What the 'Messy' August Jobs Report Means for Investors and the Fed

This payroll result should be a reminder that just because there aren't a lot of new legal restrictions doesn't mean consumers won't change behavior.

What Fed Tapering Would Mean for the Markets and Economy

Ahead of Jackson Hole, the Fed knows QE is doing more harm than good.

Simplifying the Rates Market

As Jackson Hole approaches, here are my views on tapering, rate hikes and the markets.

This Is a Tough Environment to Forecast Rates

With so many questions around inflation, COVID, the Fed, and stimulus and policy, it's hard to determine what will happen in the rates market. Here's my take.

The Inflation Decision Tree

Decide what you think the inflation story is going to be and position accordingly.

Yields Continue Their Perplexing Fall

The action in Treasuries is just one more reason to be cautious about equities at current trading levels.

Question Marks and Market Implications: Interpreting the June Jobs Report

Here's what the numbers mean and how the market will likely evolve from here.

As the Fed Spreads Its Wings and Circles, Keep Your Focus on Bonds

The Fed is more hawkish, but what does that mean for investors?

Are Bond Yields Sending a Warning Signal to Stocks?

Whether this move was driven by a short squeeze or by a new buyer, in the end, it doesn't make a difference.