While stocks need to demonstrate resilience, we lean overall positive into this week.
When investors recalibrate expectations, Treasuries will look attractive.
Banking problems and recessions are not created and solved in a week.
Things are moving fast, and believe it or not there's even some 'good-ish' news out there.
If you buy the 2-Year because you're afraid stocks will fall further, you could be end up buying stocks higher later. Here's my take on this Treasury play.
This risk-free pick may provide an equity-like return next year.
How did I get so bullish on bonds? Several factors.
Is the next bear market rally just around the corner? The CPI will let us know.
It's a dauting task to manage these markets, which have some similarities to those during Great Financial Crisis, but here's what to do.
It is in the best interests of everyone to see bond markets normalize.
Technical analysis becomes difficult when non-market forces come into play.
With 10-Year Treasury yields, it isn't where it's been, it's where it's headed.
Here's the shift in the narrative I expect over the coming days.
Here's what to expect in Friday's numbers, as well as my single biggest concern right now.
There's an issue affecting these popular funds that many may not be aware of.
The White House publishing a blog on how economists determine if we are in recession, quite frankly, doesn't give me comfort.
This looks like a market pricing in a recession/policy mistake.
With the TLT trading around $112 early Monday morning let's check on the charts again.
Municipal bonds are cheap by almost any measure and they are an asset class that seems oversold at this point.
Given the turbulent market, it's a good time to consider the relative safety of preferred stocks.
The inversion that we saw this week is only the beginning -- an ever more aggressive Fed results in an ever more inverted curve.
We continue down the path of 'Putin cannot win, but he cannot afford to lose either.'
Many small-caps, growth names and biotechnology stocks have found good support and are developing tentative uptrends.
This might be surprising to hear, but the complex tends to move higher as the Fed is raising rates.
When the Fed is tightening, they are like a car trying to back into a parking spot without a rear-view mirror. They only know to stop when they hit the curb.
Plus, in a tough market the semiconductor sector takes a particularly hard whack to the head.
Plus, a look at rising mortgage rates and why SoFi Technologies is a stock for which I continue to hold out hope.
Every year you see investment publications pushing fixed-income products. Here's the risk with those.
I am extremely nervous about any asset that has benefited from TINA or FOMO.
The central bank dropped a hawkish bomb in the press release that I don't think many were expecting. Here are my thoughts on what was said and what comes next.