Fixed Income
The Thought of This One-Two Combo Has Me Increasingly Worried About Tail Risks
Banking problems and recessions are not created and solved in a week.
Four of the Most Important Concerns for Investors and the Market This Week
Things are moving fast, and believe it or not there's even some 'good-ish' news out there.
The 2-Year Treasury at 5% Looks Hot, Maybe Too Hot
If you buy the 2-Year because you're afraid stocks will fall further, you could be end up buying stocks higher later. Here's my take on this Treasury play.
Doug Kass: My Best Investment Idea for 2023
This risk-free pick may provide an equity-like return next year.
Why I'm Very Bullish on Bonds and My 'Complex' Outlook for Stocks
How did I get so bullish on bonds? Several factors.
CPI Thursday, Fed Minutes, Treasury Auction, Inside Days, Moderna's Shocking Run
Is the next bear market rally just around the corner? The CPI will let us know.
Welcome to the Jungle, It's Not Fun and Games
It's a dauting task to manage these markets, which have some similarities to those during Great Financial Crisis, but here's what to do.
Bond Market Liquidity: Even I'm Concerned
It is in the best interests of everyone to see bond markets normalize.
Central Bank Intervention Throws a Wrench Into Tracking the U.K. Gilt
Technical analysis becomes difficult when non-market forces come into play.
Rising Rates: A Break of a 40-Year Trend Should Not Be Ignored
With 10-Year Treasury yields, it isn't where it's been, it's where it's headed.
The World Gets Worse as Inflation Gets Better?
Here's the shift in the narrative I expect over the coming days.
With the Jobs Report on Tap, 3 Other Issues Are Equally Important for Investors
Here's what to expect in Friday's numbers, as well as my single biggest concern right now.
Target Date Funds: What Some Investors May Be Shocked to Find Out
There's an issue affecting these popular funds that many may not be aware of.
Recession Risk, Stock Market Risk and the Fed
The White House publishing a blog on how economists determine if we are in recession, quite frankly, doesn't give me comfort.
When Did We Stop Worrying About the Wealth Effect?
This looks like a market pricing in a recession/policy mistake.
What's Next for the TLT Treasury Bond ETF?
With the TLT trading around $112 early Monday morning let's check on the charts again.
I'm Mostly Neutral Toward the Markets, But I've Got to Tell You, I Like Munis!
Municipal bonds are cheap by almost any measure and they are an asset class that seems oversold at this point.
10 Preferred Stock Picks for Income Investors
Given the turbulent market, it's a good time to consider the relative safety of preferred stocks.
What an Inverted Yield Curve Is Telling Us About a Potential Recession
The inversion that we saw this week is only the beginning -- an ever more aggressive Fed results in an ever more inverted curve.
Is This a Bear Market Rally or an 'All Clear'?
We continue down the path of 'Putin cannot win, but he cannot afford to lose either.'
Headline Risk Weighs on the Indexes Even as Stock Picking Continues To Improve
Many small-caps, growth names and biotechnology stocks have found good support and are developing tentative uptrends.
Unpopular Opinion: Treasuries Are a Good Buy, So Play the Upside
This might be surprising to hear, but the complex tends to move higher as the Fed is raising rates.
The Rate-Hike Narrative Hasn't Changed, It Has Shifted
When the Fed is tightening, they are like a car trying to back into a parking spot without a rear-view mirror. They only know to stop when they hit the curb.
Be on the Lookout, Less-Than-Average Averages, OK Treasuries, Poor Peloton
Plus, in a tough market the semiconductor sector takes a particularly hard whack to the head.
Jobs Report, Fed Psychology, Bullard's Grenade, Notes of Note, Fresh Fresca
Plus, a look at rising mortgage rates and why SoFi Technologies is a stock for which I continue to hold out hope.
The Fix Is Not In: Why You Should Avoid These Investments
Every year you see investment publications pushing fixed-income products. Here's the risk with those.
The Case for FOMO Is Fading -- Rapidly
I am extremely nervous about any asset that has benefited from TINA or FOMO.
The Fed Takes a Big Leap as the Training Wheels Are Coming Off
The central bank dropped a hawkish bomb in the press release that I don't think many were expecting. Here are my thoughts on what was said and what comes next.
Making Sense of a Confusing November Jobs Report
Was this a good report or a bad one?
There's a Lot More Than Omicron Impacting This Market Now
There are other reasons that contributed to Friday's selloff that still need to be resolved.