• Subscribe
  • Log In
  • Home
  • Daily Diary
  • Asset Class
    • U.S. Equity
    • Fixed Income
    • Global Equity
    • Commodities
    • Currencies
  • Sector
    • Basic Materials
    • Consumer Discretionary
    • Consumer Staples
    • Energy
    • Financial Services
    • Healthcare
    • Industrials
    • Real Estate
    • Technology
    • Telecom Services
    • Transportation
    • Utilities
  • Latest
    • Articles
    • Video
    • Columnist Conversations
    • Best Ideas
    • Stock of the Day
  • Street Notes
  • Authors
    • Bruce Kamich
    • Doug Kass
    • Jim "Rev Shark" DePorre
    • Helene Meisler
    • Jonathan Heller
    • - See All -
  • Options
  • RMPIA
  • Switch Product
    • Action Alerts PLUS
    • Quant Ratings
    • Real Money
    • Real Money Pro
    • Retirement
    • Stocks Under $10
    • TheStreet
    • Top Stocks
    • TheStreet Smarts
  1. Home
  2. / Investing

Let's Take an 'Inverted Hammer' to Treasury Yields

Here's a lesson on this rarely used technical pattern and what it could tell us about the CBOE 10 Year Treasury Note Yield Index.
By BRUCE KAMICH
Dec 05, 2022 | 11:50 AM EST

An inverted-hammer pattern on Japanese candlestick charts is not all that commonly used in technical analysis. But the pattern can represent a low or bottom following a downward trend. Let's check out the CBOE 10 Year Treasury Note Yield Index (TNX).  
 
In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the TNX, below, we can first see a downward trend in place from late October. Most of the candle patterns are reversal patterns, so we must first have a trend to reverse -- a candlestick pattern in a sideways trend is largely meaningless as there is no up or down trend to reverse. Friday's candle (the next to last one) is the inverted hammer with a long upper shadow and no lower shadow and a small real body. The latest candle is white or bullish with the close higher than the opening.  This bullish candle is the confirmation of the reversal.
 
 
Reversals on candles can be a change in trend from down to up, or from down to sideways. Candles do not give you price targets, so let's check out a Point and Figure chart. 
 
In this daily Point and Figure chart of the TNX, below, we used a traditional even box plotting and can see that a trade at $35.00 on this chart could generate a downside yield target but in the meantime a target of $65.00 is being projected. Ouch but let's keep in mind the Point-and-Figure charts ignore time.  
 
 
 
In this second Point and Figure chart of the TNX, below, we used a percentage move scaling and plotting. Here the software projects a possible target of $33.00. A trade at $36.74 may turn this chart back into an uptrend. 
 
 
 
Bottom line strategy: There is an old saying that goes like this, "If you truly seek wisdom, you will visit all the tents in the marketplace."  
 
In other words you should explore fundamental analysis, quantitative analysis and yes, also technical analysis.
Get an email alert each time I write an article for Real Money. Click the "+Follow" next to my byline to this article.

Employees of TheStreet are prohibited from trading individual securities.

TAGS: Investing basics | Technical Analysis | Investing

More from Investing

Fast Food Might Offer Investors a Quick Buck

Bob Lang
Feb 7, 2023 5:15 PM EST

Let's see how these restaurants may be settling into a profit sweet-spot amid inflation's ups and downs.

Giddy Market Gets Powell Happy

James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Feb 7, 2023 4:33 PM EST

The euphoric reaction to the Fed among investors makes little sense -- but adds to the market volatility.

Compass Minerals Is Finding Its Way Around the Charts Ahead of Earnings

Bruce Kamich
Feb 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

CMP will release its quarterly report after the close on Tuesday, so let's see how this provider of minerals such as salt is shaking up.

When It Comes to Politics and ETFs, If You Can't Beat 'Em, Join 'Em

Mark Abssy
Feb 7, 2023 2:17 PM EST

Surprise! Lawmakers, no matter the party, are not exempt from insider-trading laws, just like the rest of us. But we can all invest in these two new exchange-traded funds.

Is FMC Corp Facing a Downward Correction?

Bruce Kamich
Feb 7, 2023 12:55 PM EST

Let's see what the charts look like.

Real Money's message boards are strictly for the open exchange of investment ideas among registered users. Any discussions or subjects off that topic or that do not promote this goal will be removed at the discretion of the site's moderators. Abusive, insensitive or threatening comments will not be tolerated and will be deleted. Thank you for your cooperation. If you have questions, please contact us here.

Email

CANCEL
SUBMIT

Email sent

Thank you, your email to has been sent successfully.

DONE

Oops!

We're sorry. There was a problem trying to send your email to .
Please contact customer support to let us know.

DONE

Please Join or Log In to Email Our Authors.

Email Real Money's Wall Street Pros for further analysis and insight

Already a Subscriber? Login

Columnist Conversation

  • 08:22 AM EST REAL MONEY

    LIVE EVENT: Bruce Kamich and Todd Campbell Share Their Stock Market Insights

    This Monday, Feb. 6 at 12 p.m., our very own exper...
  • 02:58 PM EST REAL MONEY

    Sarge Guilfoyle Breaks Down the Jobs Report, Fed Policy and Stocks!

    Watch it here!
  • 11:35 AM EST JAMES "REV SHARK" DEPORRE

    This Weekend on Real Money

    Trading an Irrational Market
  • See More

COLUMNIST TWEETS

  • A Twitter List by realmoney
About Privacy Terms of Use

© 1996-2023 TheStreet, Inc., 225 Liberty Street, 27th Floor, New York, NY 10281

Need Help? Contact Customer Service

Except as otherwise indicated, quotes are delayed. Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes for all exchanges. Market Data & Company fundamental data provided by FactSet. Earnings and ratings provided by Zacks. Mutual fund data provided by Valueline. ETF data provided by Lipper. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions Group.

TheStreet Ratings updates stock ratings daily. However, if no rating change occurs, the data on this page does not update. The data does update after 90 days if no rating change occurs within that time period.

FactSet calculates the Market Cap for the basic symbol to include common shares only. Year-to-date mutual fund returns are calculated on a monthly basis by Value Line and posted mid-month.

Compare Brokers

Please Join or Log In to manage and receive alerts.

Follow Real Money's Wall Street Pros to receive real-time investing alerts

Already a Subscriber? Login