AUTHORS
Peter Tchir
Peter Tchir started his career at Bankers Trust and later at Deutsche Bank, running high-yield derivatives. He has traded all manner of fixed-income products, both on the sell side as a market maker and as a portfolio manager at a fixed-income hedge fund. During the financial crisis he ran the U.S. CDS-index business (made famous by The Big Short) for RBS.
Peter received B.S. in mathematics and computer sciences from the University of Waterloo and an MBA with distinction from Vanderbilt University, where he also won the Matt Wiggington Leadership Award for outstanding performance in finance.
Recent Articles By The Author
We Rallied on Dismal News. I've Got an Idea Why
I didn't think stocks could do as well as they did, on close to a -1% GDP print, so let's try to figure out why and look at some specific areas to invest or avoid.
Was That a Hawk or a Dove We Saw Fly Out of the Fed Meeting?
Let's pick apart the Fed's words and actions on Wednesday and see what's likely to come.
Recession Risk, Stock Market Risk and the Fed
The White House publishing a blog on how economists determine if we are in recession, quite frankly, doesn't give me comfort.
Amid Erratic Market, We Can Make Some Educated Guesses
Here's my view on the chance of a recession, rate hikes and liquidity.
This Market Sherpa Admittedly Is a Bit Confused Right Now
The economic data are hard to interpret, and then there are those crazy Treasury yields…
June Jobs Report Bolsters Case for Hawkish Fed
The wage inflation story here is important.
When Did We Stop Worrying About the Wealth Effect?
This looks like a market pricing in a recession/policy mistake.
Powell Testimony Could Make or Break Markets This Week. Here's My Take
Whether talk of inflation or recession dominate could signal a lot to investors as the Fed talks to Congress Wednesday and Thursday ahead of the bank 'stress test' report.
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