Real Money authors - Peter Tchir

Peter Tchir

Peter Tchir started his career at Bankers Trust and later at Deutsche Bank, running high-yield derivatives. He has traded all manner of fixed-income products, both on the sell side as a market maker and as a portfolio manager at a fixed-income hedge fund.  During the financial crisis he ran the U.S. CDS-index business (made famous by The Big Short) for RBS. He was an early adopter of fixed income ETFs and has worked closely with the biggest traders, users and providers.

Tchir received B.S. in mathematics and computer sciences from the University of Waterloo and an MBA with distinction from Vanderbilt University, where he also won the Matt Wiggington Leadership Award for outstanding performance in finance.

Tchir describes his investing style as contrarian by nature and uses macroeconomic analysis to think about the next 3% to 5% move in the S&P 500, often a timeframe of weeks to months rather than years. When he’s not thinking about market movements (it’s rare!), you can find him applying his competitive spirit on the golf course. 

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Recent Articles By The Author

I'm Eyeing These 3 ETFs as We Approach the CPI Report

The debate of what type of landing we are having will dominate conversation, but I am not sold on the 'soft' or 'no' landing scenario. Here's my take and the funds I'm watching.

Fed's Relevance Appears to Wane

I may be guilty of wishful thinking, but it looks like the market is finally moving beyond the Federal Reserve.

May Jobs: A More Complex Report Than Headlines Suggest

Does this scream 'Hike!'? It depends on whether you're the Fed, a bull or a bear.

5 AI Scenarios as Nvidia Gains 2 'Intels' of Market Cap in a Week

Just how transformational artificial intelligence will be is unknown, but there will be winners and losers in the space.

With the Goldilocks Market Gone, We Have 3 Bears. I Pick the Middle One

Let's look out beyond the debt ceiling crisis, preview Nvidia's earnings, and see why I'm 'mildly' bearish on risk assets.

Is the Debt Ceiling Merely a Distraction?

Rising inflation with weak growth has a name: stagflation.

The Thought of This One-Two Combo Has Me Increasingly Worried About Tail Risks

Banking problems and recessions are not created and solved in a week.

Let's Take a Close Look at the Jobs Report

On the surface it was a strong report, but let's dig into the numbers, the revisions, and broaden our view out to banks, bonds and fiscal policy.

Not Quite Dovish, Not Quite Hawkish, the Fed Is 'Don-ish' With Hikes

Here's my take on the Fed meeting and press talk, and what it ... sorta ... means.

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