AUTHORS

Peter Tchir
Peter Tchir started his career at Bankers Trust and later at Deutsche Bank, running high-yield derivatives. He has traded all manner of fixed-income products, both on the sell side as a market maker and as a portfolio manager at a fixed-income hedge fund. During the financial crisis he ran the U.S. CDS-index business (made famous by The Big Short) for RBS. He was an early adopter of fixed income ETFs and has worked closely with the biggest traders, users and providers.
Tchir received B.S. in mathematics and computer sciences from the University of Waterloo and an MBA with distinction from Vanderbilt University, where he also won the Matt Wiggington Leadership Award for outstanding performance in finance.
Tchir describes his investing style as contrarian by nature and uses macroeconomic analysis to think about the next 3% to 5% move in the S&P 500, often a timeframe of weeks to months rather than years. When he’s not thinking about market movements (it’s rare!), you can find him applying his competitive spirit on the golf course.
Recent Articles By The Author
Lower Inflation and the End of Hikes Doesn't Mean Stocks Are Ripe to Rally
The age of ZIRP, TINA and FOMO was very different than now.
Here's the Problem (and My Strategy) If You're Playing the Game of Risk
Analysts are often reluctant to update forecasts, or just don't bother to update them, so they have a built-in 'lag' effect.
What the 'Weird' March Jobs Report Means for Stocks, Bonds and the Fed
Here's what I expect for interest rates, credit and equities going forward.
Why I'm Now Even More Cautious to Outright Bearish on Stocks
After the latest positive move in equities, I have reassessed my view.
Take a Fresh Look at Where You Put Your Cash
Let's get back to the basics of cash reallocation and see why I'm not freaking out, but I'm also not in a mood for risk.
Here's How I'd Grade Powell, Yellen on a Testing Day
We got the rate news, Fed press conference and words from the secretary of the Treasury.
The Most Important Thing Powell Needs to Do Wednesday
This will determine where stocks are by the end of the week.
Four of the Most Important Concerns for Investors and the Market This Week
Things are moving fast, and believe it or not there's even some 'good-ish' news out there.
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