Real Money authors - Stephen Guilfoyle

Stephen Guilfoyle

Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle is the founder and President of Sarge986 LLC, a family run trading operation. An NYSE floor trader for over 30 years, Guilfoyle has served as the Chief Market Economist for Stuart Frankel & Co., the U.S. Economist for Meridian Equity Partners, and as a Vice President in Block Trading and Investment Banking with Credit Suisse over the years. Guilfoyle earned his nickname serving as an actual sergeant in reserve components of the US Marine Corps, and US Army while simultaneously working on Wall Street.
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Recent Articles By The Author

If You're High on Tilray, Invest for the Long Term

TLRY is probably not that close to sustained profitability, but it has built the balance sheet to tough out these hard times.


Since AMD  pre-announced both revenue and gross margin shortfalls for the third quarter on Thursday night, I have noticed 13 sell-side analysts who are both rated at five stars (out of five) at TipRanks and have opined on AMD since that release. Aft...


Microsoft may be down 32% from its November 2021 high and may be down 29% year to date, but that doesn't mean the pain is likely over, at least according to Hedgeye. On Friday, Microsoft was named a new short idea by Hedgeye with potential for a mov...

BLS September Employment Situation

Non-Farm Payrolls: +263K, last +315K Unemployment Rate: 3.5%, down from 3.7% Underemployment Rate: 6.7% down from 7.0%. Participation Rate: 62.3%, down from 62.4%. Average Hourly Earnings: 5.0%, last 5.1%. Average Weekly Hours: 34.5 hours, unchanged...

Breakfast Tweet

Today millions of investors, traders and algos gather for an economic report to think about how it will impact the thinking of a committee that isn't even thinking about thinking. — Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) October 7, 2022

Armageddon It

Really Getting It? Readers may have noticed the $290M that the US Department of Health just spent on Amgen's new drug Nplate, which is indicted for the treatment of acute radiation sickness. Readers may have noticed that the Ukrainian government is ...

Arrogant Fed Heads, Trading AMD, Lilly Thrills, Enough Carnage for Now?

It's September Jobs Day, so we'll see where a sputtering market goes from here.

September Employment Expectations

Non-Farm Payrolls: Expecting 255K, Last 315K. Unemployment Rate: Expecting 3.7%, Last 3.7%. Underemployment Rate: Last 7.0%. Participation Rate: Expecting 62.4%, Last 62.4%. Average Hours Earnings: Expecting 5.1% y/y, Last 5.2% y/y. Average Weekly H...

A Hearty Good Morning From Your Old Pal, Stephen Guilfoyle

Friday Morning. September Jobs Day. Time to wind it up. So, wind it up, baby. Wind it until you're ready to rock.   It's your old pal, Sarge. I'll be filling in for Dougie today. So, let's have ourselves a day. Let us stand shoulder to shoulder, Sab...

Conagra Brands May Offer Traders Buy and Sell Opportunities

CAG's balance sheet is tough to look at but there are positives.

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