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When you hear someone say that a curve inversion 'predicts' a recession, what it really means is that bond traders are 'predicting' a Fed rate cut.
Look no further than Europe for why the Fed has make this shift.
Economic signs point to slower growth, not a recession, in 2019.
Let's take a look at what each market is telling us.
Price action and fundamental conditions show the limits on how high rates can rise.
How do we invest for a probable slowdown but perhaps a mild one?