UBS Group (UBS) was upgraded today by TheStreet.com's quantitative service so naturally I looked at the charts and indicators. The price of UBS has moved sideways for much of the past year, so an upgrade could be a reason to see a move to the topside. Let's check the chart and indicators to see how to proceed.
In this daily bar chart of UBS, below, we can see that prices have traded above and below the rising 50-day simple moving average line. The 200-day moving average is pointed slightly higher and it was tested in early September. The daily On-Balance-Volume (OBV) line has been largely neutral the past year with two rallies that matched the price action. A move higher in the OBV line above the October high would be constructive. The trend-following Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator is flat on the zero line which tells you with math what your eyes saw -- a sideways market.
In this weekly bar chart of UBS, below, we can see that prices are above the rising 40-week moving average line. The weekly OBV line was in a general decline since 2015 but shows some improvement the past three months. The weekly MACD oscillator is above the zero line but could turn in either direction.
In this Point and Figure chart of UBS, below, we can see an uptrend and a $21 price target.
Bottom line -- risking below $16.50 traders could approach the long side of UBS. Add on a close above $17.50 look for gains to the $20 area.
