Basic Materials

While the hedge fund applauds Alcoa's recent decisions, it left room to push for changes.
The reversal is short term, as the supply/demand picture remains ugly.
Prices continue to sag, with nickel the latest commodity to hit a new multiyear low.
Traders could buy a breakout to a new high on EW, over $160, and then use a sell-stop below $149.
Steel and iron ore at risk as well.
Copper imports in China remain below expectations, while platinum group metals are under attack.
We seem to be consolidating before a possible pre-earnings push.
Geopolitical support may come into play as well.
The stock is ready to break out of a ten-month sideways trading range.
West Fraser has a much better risk/reward profile.

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