Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM)

XOM (NYSE:Energy) EQUITY
$89.39
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 89.15 - 90.80 | XOM Avg Daily Volume: 10,471,400
Last Update: 06/24/16 - 4:00 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: 14.68%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $91.80
52 Week Range: $66.55 - $90.92
Oustanding Shares: 4,146,611,352
Market Cap: 380,658,922,114
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for XOM
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 4 5 4 4
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 7 7 7 6
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 2 2 2 2
Mean Rec. 2.59 2.49 2.59 2.56
Latest Dividend: 0.75
Latest Dividend Yield: 3.27%
Dividend Ex-Date: 05/11/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 29.52
Price Earnings Comparisons:
XOM Sector Avg. S&P 500
29.52 29.50 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
6.44% 5.56% 1.03%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -34.20 -0.40 -0.18
Net Income -50.80 -0.70 -0.29
EPS -49.30 -0.60 -0.26
Earnings for XOM:
EBITDA 30.93B
Revenue 259.49B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (06/16) Qtr (09/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.60 $0.80 $2.66 $4.46
Number of Analysts 8 6 11 11
High Estimate $0.76 $1.23 $3.57 $6.63
Low Estimate $0.50 $0.54 $2.08 $3.36
Prior Year $1.00 $1.01 $3.85 $2.66
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -40.37% -20.96% -31.00% 67.73%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
With oil's downside defined and the upside meaning less to the stocks, there's a lot to like here.
The U.S. dollar was quite strong today. Crude oil got whacked,down by nearly $2 to $46.20. Gold gained $2 at $1,290 but was well off day's highs. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was down $1.26. Agricultural commodities mostly were lower: wheat -4, corn -4, soybean -22(!) and oats flat. Lumber was up $4. Bonds continued a spirited rally, with iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) up 66 cents. The yield on the 10-year dropped by three basis points to 1.565% and the long bond by four basis points to 2.38%. The 2s/10s spread was down to 89 basis points for a new multiyear low. Municipals were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds were smartly higher. The high-yield market was stagnant, but Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was down an outsize 10 cents. Banks were mixed. The ETF, which I covered in the morning, rose substantially from the lows and was up more than a nickel on the day. Brokerages had no bounce despite the recent declines. Insurance also was mixed. Berkshire (BRK.B) rose a beaner. Retail stocks were mixed. My short Foot Locker (FL), which deals in sneakers, was down by almost $1. Energy stocks were divided. Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up $1 but Schlumberger (SLB) was down half a buck. Biotech continued to lag, as I suggested a few weeks ago when I dumped the group holdings. Allergan (AGN) was weak, and Valeant (VRX) was at a new low. Autos were up marginally. Old tech was nothing. Media and ag equipment were mixed. Consumer staples were higher, not mindful of the dollar's strength. Though my sole short, Coca-Cola (KO), rose 30 cents. TFANG underperformed the broader market as Facebook (FB) continues to breakdown following Citron Research's negative research report earlier in the week. Trade of the Week Twitter (TWTR) gave up a dime after two good days. It's up 9% from Monday's purchase. (I added on today's weakness earlier.) In individual stocks, long fav DuPont (DD) rallied back a beaner, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) was down small and Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) finished with a nice gain of half a buck (I added today). In country ETFs, iShares MSCI United Kingdom (EWU) was up 0.5% and iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) was flat. In sector ETFs, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) and Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) were up small. Here are some good contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on a showdown on Brexit and oil.   Eric Jackson on Viacom (VIAB).  Mike Norman is buying.  James Passeri on Valeant.  Tin "Not Phil or Judy" Collins on Dow Chemical (DOW). 
We may see price weakness, or a decline, in the weeks ahead.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened today. Crude oil dropped two bits to $48.85. Gold was up $10.50 to $1,287, making an assault back at the $1,300 resistance area. Agricultural commodities: wheat -3, corn +7, soybean flat and oats +3.50. Lumber -3.50. Bonds rallied for another day. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up 40 cents. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by two basis points to a record low 1.61%. The long bond dropped by one basis point to 2.44%. The 2s/10s spread was flat at 91 basis points. Municipals rose and closed-end municipal bond funds continued to rise. High-yield bonds were hit. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) fell by eight cents. Banks slipped and continue to show signs of rolling over. Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) was down 0.5%. I have been adding to the short. Insurance was mixed, but my only long, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG), climbed by 50 cents.   Brokerages continue to underperform. Retail was mixed to lower. My short, Nordstrom (JWN), was a standout to the downside, off $1.10. Old tech was lower, led by IBM (IBM). Autos also were exhibiting signs of rolling over. Biotech continues its recent weakness, with iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) down 1%. Allergan (AGN) was up almost $3, but most others were lower. I have no interest in bottom fishing and the technical recovery mentioned by some appears to be not so much. Agricultural equipment was lower led by short Caterpillar (CAT). Media was mixed, though Disney (DIS) was stronger. Staples were weaker despite a lower U.S. currency -- my fav large-cap short Coca-Cola (KO) was down 45 cents. Energy stocks were mixed, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) up and Schlumberger (SLB) down. TFANG was quiet, though Facebook (FB) was down $3 on a Citron Research negative report. In selected individual securities, Monsanto (MON) and The Mighty Oak -- aka Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) -- were noticeably weaker. Alibaba (BABA) broke bad. My long fav DuPont (DD) was down by nearly a beaner. Country shorts iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) and iShares MSCI United Kingdom (EWU) were lower, going the right way for the manner in which I am positioned. Sector shorts Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) and Material Select Sector SPDR (XLB) - also are going in the right direction. Here are some valuable contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on natural gas elbowing out coal.  Ben "Goldfinger" Cross on a possible breakout in the precious metal.  Tim Melvin on three bank stocks to avoid.  James Passeri on Valeant (VRX) and Walgreens (WBA).  Robert "Not Rita" Moreno on a Facebook short. 
The very low VIX numbers we're seeing are not healthy indicators.

Chart Gazing Real Money Pro($)

It's often said that a picture is worth a thousand words, so let's do some chart gazing this morning.
Natural gas has been on fire, too.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened. The price of crude oil rose by a couple of pennies. Gold fell by $1.30 to $1,213 -- still looking weak technically as we move further and further from $1,300. More wild swings to the upside in agricultural commodities:  wheat +9, corn unchanged, soybeans +44 (!!) and oats -1.50. Lumber +3. Bonds stronger in price and lower in yield. The yield curve flattened -- down to about 91 bps. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dipped by four basis points  (1.807% yield) and the long bond yield declined by four basis points (2.58% yield). Municipals were well-bid, with closed-end muni bond funds higher. The high-yield bond market flat lined. Banks were mixed (they're at important resistance now), insurance sold off -- my long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) underperformed and my short Lincoln National (LNC) outperformed! -- and brokerages declined. At a Sanford Bernstein conference a few bank managements said trading activity had modestly improved, but the stocks did not respond. I expanded my Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) short today. But, after the close, Citigroup (C) management said while trading is trending somewhat better sequentially, total net income in the second quarter will be similar to the first quarter, which is a disappointment (though no one in media has discussed this). C is trading down by about 40 cents from the close, but on low volume. Retail was strong, led by Macy's (M) and Nordstrom (JWN), each up by over a dollar. Biotech continues to rally, going from goat to hero in the last week. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up 1.7%, led by Allergan (AGN), up $4.50, and some more speculative names. Indeed, since my upbeat industry piece on May 24, IBB has increased from $270 to $285 and AGN's shares are up $20. I took off half of my AGN long today for a good gain. Energy stocks were lower, led by two of my shorts, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB). Old tech was mixed. Agricultural equipment was buoyed by Joy Global's (JOY) beat. Autos were flat. JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon warned about auto loan portfolio risks. Consumer staples were mixed, with Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) flat. I expanded my short. Materials rallied, with Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) up 27 cents; I expanded my short. DuPont (DD) is 10% of the index. Media saw limited price changes. I plan to short more Comcast (CMCSA) at current prices over the next few days. (T)FANG was led by an unstoppable Amazon (AMZN), but Alphabet (GOOGL) trailed. In individual stocks, fav long DD was u[ $1.70 as it looks to have an appointment with $70. Starbucks (SBUX), one of my fav large-cap shorts, continues to break down. Twitter (TWTR) was up a bit (see Tim Collins below). The Mighty Oak, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK), weakened. Here are some value added columns posted on Real Money Pro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on wilting rationality and the Bear Market in Complacency.  Anders Keitz summarizes the bull/bear argument on Apple (AAPL).  Tim "Not Judy or Phil" Collins got me thinking on Twitter. 

Bulking Up Short Positions Real Money Pro($)

Today I have made the following trades:

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