Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc (POT)

POT (NYSE:Chemicals) EQUITY
$16.97
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 16.93 - 17.24 | POT Avg Daily Volume: 9,635,100
Last Update: 07/22/16 - 4:02 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: -0.88%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $17.11
52 Week Range: $14.64 - $27.93
Oustanding Shares: 838,932,638
Market Cap: 14,354,137,436
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for POT
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 4 4 5 5
Moderate Buy 0 0 0 0
Hold 8 8 8 9
Moderate Sell 1 1 1 1
Strong Sell 3 3 3 3
Mean Rec. 2.94 2.94 2.82 2.83
Latest Dividend: 0.25
Latest Dividend Yield: 5.84%
Dividend Ex-Date: 07/08/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 11.26
Price Earnings Comparisons:
POT Sector Avg. S&P 500
11.26 14.60 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-5.41% -39.48% -55.94%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -11.70 -0.20 -0.07
Net Income -17.30 -0.40 -0.15
EPS -16.50 -0.40 -0.14
Earnings for POT:
EBITDA 2.41B
Revenue 6.28B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (06/16) Qtr (09/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.18 $0.16 $0.66 $0.80
Number of Analysts 9 6 9 11
High Estimate $0.23 $0.21 $0.73 $1.00
Low Estimate $0.15 $0.11 $0.53 $0.61
Prior Year $0.50 $0.34 $1.52 $0.66
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -64.00% -53.43% -56.51% 21.28%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened. The price of crude oil suffered, declining by $2 to $44.82. Agricultural commodities: wheat flat, corn +10, soybeans +18, oats +2. Gold up $9 to $1,344. Lumber +2. Bonds reverse yesterday's weakness. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up $1.60. The yield on the 10-year note dropped by nearly five basis points to 1.465%. The long bond's yield declined by six basis points to 2.17%. The 2s/10s spread stood at 80 basis points, flattening a bit. As I mentioned, while municipals rose small, closed-end muni bond funds got beaten down . Junk bonds declined. Banks suffered, but only modestly Brokerages were mixed. Insurance was lower on the lesser fixed-income yields. Auto stocks were flat. Energy stocks fell in line with the drop in commodity price. Old tech was slightly higher, though no large price movement. Biotech was disappointing for a second day in a row. Staples were stronger, again led by PepsiCo (PEP) . By contrast, my short Coca-Cola (KO) is dramatically underperforming PEP. Retail was weak, including my short Nordstrom (JWN) . Media lower, but small. Ag equipment was up on the day, as were fertilizers. Potash (POT) was up 4.5%. (T)FANG again was conspicuously weak. Tesla (TSLA) , Facebook (FB) , Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) all were lower in a flat tape. Netflix NFLX, my short Trade of the Week, was up small. In individual stocks, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) was down a beaner on no news, while DuPont (DD) and Radian Group (RDN) (last week's Trade of the Week) held recent gains well. Twitter (TWTR) was down small on profit taking. Here are some value-added contributions on our site today: Trix are for everyone, from Jim "El Capitan" Cramer  Jeremy LaKosh is in my camp, shorting Fastenal (FAST) . JK sees a $36 to $38 price target. I am lower!  RevShark on alternative approaches to trading -- he follows the "action." Mike Norman on inflation ahead.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened. The price of crude oil fell by $1.50 to $48.40. Gold was essentially unchanged. Agricultural commodities: wheat flat, corn -9, soybean +42(!!) and oats unchanged. Lumber +4. Bonds rose slightly in price. The "action" in iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) seems toppy to me, but I am short less on price action and more based on fundamental analysis and historical relationships (see above). The yield on the 10-year U.S. note was unchanged at 1.48%. The long bond yield was up one basis point to yield 2.29%. The 2s/10s spread was up by two basis points to 90 basis points. Municipals were well-bid. Closed-end municipal bond funds were mixed. The high-yield bond market was strong, while Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was up 11 cents. Banks were a bit of a disappointment, failing to materially follow through after the stress tests were announced. Insurance stocks were disappointing. Small gains for Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET). Brokerages thrived. Morgan Stanley (MS) rose 75 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) was up $3. Premature sellage by me. Retail stocks were mixed to lower. Foot Locker (FL) and Nike (NKE) were lower after large gains on Wednesday. Nordstrom (JWN), a short, was up 18 cents. Old tech was stronger, led by IBM (IBM), up $3. Autos were weak, down most of the day. Not a good sign to be in the red on such a strong day in the markets. Agricultural equipment was mixed. Media had a mixed message, though Disney (DIS) and Comcast (CMCSA) were higher (I covered on Monday). Energy stocks shined despite a large drop in crude prices. Exxon Mobil (XOM) and SLB were up nicely. Programs? Regardless, another weird feature of today's market. Biotech was disappointing. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was flat, with several large and speculative stocks clearly rolling over. New lows for Valeant (VRX). Staples were the world's fair after the Mondelez (MDLZ) MDbid for Hershey. Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP), covered on Monday, surged by $1.22. Campbell Soup (CPB) and Pepsico (PEP) were up big. (T)FANG was mixed. Tesla (TSLA) was strong in the regular session, but sold off in the after hours after some safety concerns. In individual stocks, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) was up $1.22 (I have been steadily accumulating). My long fav DuPont (DD) was up 90 cents after getting schmeissed in the last few days. There was a vague (and to me, silly) rumor of a Potash (POT) takeover; it makes no sense because Canadian government sees the company as important to the country as an independent entity. Coca-Cola (KO), a short, got caught up in the strength of the defensive sector. Here are some valuable contributions on the site today: Nice video on banks by Jim "El Capitan" Cramer.  "Big" James Gentile is looking forward to fireworks, but not the ones over the holiday weekend!  Brian Sozzi on food companies hurrying up to merge.  Tony Owusu on Facebook's (FB) friendliness.  Rev Shark on meddling central bankers.
Brexit has caused active investors to flee and created an opportunity for those who are patient.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was stronger, a negative of Brexit. The price of crude oil fell by less than a dollar to $46.74, off of the day's lows (see comments on TBT). Gold rose by $7.50, off the day's highs. Agricultural commodities: wheat -8, corn +1, soybean +28 (!!) and oats -5. Lumber was unchanged. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) rose by $3.50 as yields plummeted and prices rose. (I shorted in the morning by purchasing TBT. The 10-year's yield fell 12 basis points and the long bond was down 14 basis points. The yield curve flattened to lows last seen in the recession. The 2s/10s spread fell to 86 basis points. The high-yield bond market got destroyed. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) fell $1.23 and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was down 60 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) fell by an outsize 25 cents and closed at $14. I would continue to avoid this space. Banks were schmeissed and I picked some rentals -- Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs (GS), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Insurance was down another 8% to 10%, following Friday's decline of 12% to 15%. I covered more Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET); they are now small positions. It has been the world's fair on the short side. Energy got hit. I covered Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB) today. Retail was broadly lower. I have no longs. My two shorts were lower -- Nordstrom (JWN) down $1.20 and Foot Locker (FL) down $1.50. Continued nice gains. Old tech fell, with IBM (IBM) down $3 and Intel (INTC), Cisco (CSCO) and Microsoft (MSFT) were down one side or the other of 2%. Biotech was a biowreck. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down another $8 to $241;  I cautioned on the sector at $285 a few weeks ago when some were talking "breakout." Ag equipment with a disproportionate position in England and the EU was lower. Autos, too, got hurt by Brexit's fumes. *(T) FANG was mixed, with Tesla (TSLA) up $4.50 and weakness in the rest of the abbreviation. In individual stocks, DuPont (DD), my fav long, was down $2.40 as it consolidates a multi-month advance. Potash (POT) was down $1, Twitter (TWTR) off 70 cents, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) down $1.40 and Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) off $1.20. I plan to add to TWTR, HIG and OAK tomorrow. Apple (AAPL) moves back down toward $92. In sectors, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) slipped a bit (I covered and took it off my Best Ideas List today) and Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) got schmeissed (down $1.55) as cyclicals were quite weak. Here are some value-added columns on our site today: El Capitan is tempted.  General Motors (GM) is moving toward support, according to Gary Morrow's chart view. I covered much of my short today. Tim Melvin is keeping his head.  Rev will be reactionary and sees no reason to rush into the markets. Brian Sozzi on what Nike (NKE) has to show; I remain short sneakers via FL.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened. Oil rose by 97 cents to more than $50 a barrel. Gold fell by $10 and closed at $1,260. Again, the $1,300 level has proven to be a formidable resistance point. Agricultural commodities continued for the second day in a row to be under pressure: wheat -4, corn -5.5, soybean -14 and oats unchanged. Lumber +2.50. Bonds fell in price and rose in yield, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) down $1.50. The 10-year U.S. note yield increased by nearly six basis points to 1.745%.The long bond's yield also climbed by nearly six basis points to 2.55%. The 2s/10s spread expanded by two basis points to 96 basis points. Municipals got hit and closed-end muni bond funds were lower in price. However, the high-yield bond market was strong, with iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) up 62 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) up 26 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) rose by nine cents to $14.46 a share. Banks gapped higher, as rates rose. Stress test results shortly. Brokerages were strong. Insurance stocks rose, with large gains in Lincoln National (LNC), MetLife (MET) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B). My long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) was up $1. Retail was broadly higher but marginally so. My two shorts underperformed; Foot Locker (FL) was lower and Nordstrom (JWN) was up only slightly. Old tech was stronger, with IBM (IBM) up $2.50. Auto stocks rose after being weak for several trading day. Energy stocks followed the commodity higher. Ag equipment was strong, led by a $1.80 gain for Caterpillar (CAT). Media underperformed with small (pennies) gains at Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS). (T)FANG rallied from morning weakness. Amazon (AMZN) led the parade, but Tesla (TSLA) remains under pressure. In individual stocks, Potash (POT) gained a beaner and Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) and HIG almost did as well. Twitter (TWTR), a recent buy, closed over $17 a share and now is up more than 15% from my buy about a week ago. My fav large-cap, DuPont (DD), was up $1.20 and looks like it has a mission to reach $70 a share. Here are some value-added contributions on our site: Jim "El Capitan" goes beyond Brexit.  Mark Sebastian also chimes in on Brexit.  Carley Garner on gold.  Rev Shark on Friday's "action." 

Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

It was Groundhog Day on Wall Street again. We finished down, but well off of the session lows. I did no trading. The U.S. dollar weakened. Oil, stronger in the morning, weakened in
Path of least resistance is pointing up, if conditions are right.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was slightly weaker. Crude oil was up 40 cents to over $50. Gold is unchanged. Agricultural commodities are mixed today after sharp gains: wheat +2, corn -0.50, soybean +2.50 and oats +2.25. Lumber is down $6.50. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is up 55 cents. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note and long bond are down a basis point. The 2s/10s spread is unchanged at 94 basis points. Municipals were bid and higher. Closed-end municipal bonds were mixed. High yield was stronger, again. iShares iBoxx High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up 40 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 15 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund's (BGB) streak came to a temporary halt, down a nickel. Banks were mixed with little price change. Insurance stocks were fractionally better, with my long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) rallying 35 cents. However, brokerages were hit with some profit-taking. Retail was broadly higher. My short Nordstrom (JWN) was up 80 cents. Remodeling came back from recent drops. Consumer staples were mixed. Kellogg (K) was an upside standout, based on vague rumors that Coca-Cola (KO) is interested in the company. I have no clue.  Energy stocks are on a magnificent streak -- still, following higher crude oil prices. Autos strengthened, with 25-cent gains for Ford (F) and General Motors (GM). Old tech showed nothing. Old media flat-lined. Biotech, which I sold out of and observed the media's love affair with after gains in the space, was conspicuously to the downside. VRX lower and so was most of the sector. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was  down $6, or 2.2%. Agricultural equipment was unchanged. (T)FANG was lower save Telsa (TSLA) due to the Ron Baron Bounce! NOSH's tasty bits included O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and Home Depot (HD). In individual stocks, Potash (POT) continues higher, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) saw a second nice advance in a row, Monsanto (MON) looks like it might be rolling over (but it's a newsy stock), DuPont (DD) is a monster, and Apple (AAPL), my Trade of the Week, was up again today. I am about to short more. Here are some good, value-added commentary on our site: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer looks toward the skies.  Tom Graff looks at the gloomy domestic economy.  Melvin, millennials and homes.   Rev Shark on portfolio positioning.  Muhammad Ali rubbed off on "Diamond" James Gentile.  Or maybe it was Randy Newman's "short people." 

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was unchanged. Crude oil was up a beaner to nearly $50 a barrel. Nat gas up two cents. Gold was up $4.40 to $1,247 but still in a downtrend. Agricultural commodities were on another tear: wheat +9.75, corn +9.00, soybean +7.00 and oats +6.00. Fertilizer stocks, such as Potash (POT), are responding. Bonds were weaker in price, higher in yield. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up nearly a buck. The yield of the 10-year U.S. note was up two-and-a-half basis points to 1.73%. The long bond was up by three basis points to 2.554%. The 2s/10s spread still is at 93 basis points. High yield prospered, with iShares iBoxx High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) up 40 cents and SPDR Barclay High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) up 15 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) hit another new high, rising 18 cents to $14.66. Banks rallied, but not intensely, perhaps because of continuing flat yield curve. Brokerages were stronger with Goldman Sachs (GS) up $2 (it got 250,000 summer intern applications!) Insurance stocks were firmer, with Lincoln National (LNC) up $1.10, or 2.5%; my long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) lagged, up only 15 cents. Old tech lagged with little price change. Biotech was up, with iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) rising more than $4 and led by Celgene (CELG). Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD), a former biotech basket member, was up nearly 13%, or $4.60. I sold out of the space last week. Autos was up small. Retail was disappointing, with most in the space marginally higher or down. Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) were low points Ag equipment was stronger, with Deere (DE) and Caterpillar (CAT) both up. Energy stocks surged, led by Schlumberger (SLB), up $3.50. Media was a noticeable underperformer, with Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS) flat. (T)FANG underperformed, with Alphabet (GOOGL) down almost $6 and Facebook (FB) barely higher. NOSH was mixed, with Nike (NKE) and Starbucks (SBUX) better but O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and HD lower. In individual stocks, POT was a highlight, up $1.20, perhaps on higher ag prices. Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) climbed $2.50 on a favorable Barron's article. Here are some value-added columns on our site today: Ben "Goldfinger" Cross likes gold.  "Diamond" James Gentile on what the rate of rate rise means for stocks.  Cramer and Mohr on the soft dollar benefits.  Rev asks does the market even care what Yellen says?   Jeremy LaKosh on the labor market.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar advanced modestly. I continue to see more strength ahead, which should help my Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) short (last week's Trade of the Week) and my XLB short (this week's Trade of the Week). Crude oil declined by 42 cents and is under $49. I am short energy stocks and I wouldn't be surprised if oil prices rolled over in the face of (1) the recent rip and (2) more evidence of slowing domestic economic growth. Nat gas rose by 12 cents. Gold rose by $2.80 and is trading at $1,219; my guess is $1,150 before $1,300, but this is a non-rigorous guess! Agricultural commodities got schmeissed: wheat -15.50, corn -7.75 (UBS raised Deere (DE) based on higher corn prices -- we will see!), soybeans -8.0 and oats -3.75. Lumber -6.40. Bonds were better bid. The yield on the 10-year note was down a basis point at 1.83% and the long bond also was basis point lower at 2.635%. Municipals were slightly higher in price and lower in yield. Closed-end municipal bond funds were mixed. High yield was sold. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was flat after making a near-term high earlier in the morning at $14.40. Banks reversed to the downside after morning gains. I would continue to avoid them, but I am in the minority. Seems like every talking head now loves the space after rejecting banks at the lows. Insurance got hit, though my long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) outperformed Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) --- a good thing. Brokerages also reversed good gains in the a.m. I'm not interested here with capital markets dull and trading light. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up $3 but off the day's highs. AGN now is reversing back into the red. Valeant (VRX) can't rally. Gilead Sciences (GILD), Celgene (CELG) and Intrexon (XON) -- three other recent additions -- are trading well. Energy stocks were conspicuously weak despite a quiet day in the commodity. Media, led by Disney (DIS), was weaker. I addressed DIS earlier in the day. Staying short. Autos turned lower, but fractionally so. I still endorse the Peak Autos thesis. Agricultural equipment was trading better on the Deere upgrade, but sense it will be short-lived. Retail was mixed, but my shorts Nordstrom (JWN) and Foot Locker (FL) were lower by about half a beaner. I have no longs and don't anticipate a move in the retail space on the long side. Staples were broadly lower, a good thing for last week's Trade of the Week, short XLP. TFANG was buoyed by another new high in Amazon (AMZN), up $8.50. Others were fading. NOSH -- all four names were lower, led by Home Depot (HD), O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and Nike (NKE). In individual names, Potash (POT) suffered a downgrade by Stifel.  The MIghty Oak, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK), was up on the day. Twitter (TWTR) continues to rally, albeit from low levels. Apple was down $1.10 on the upgrade cycle lengthening news (see above). Mortgage insurance was flat.  Here are five good columns from Real Money Pro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer sees bargains. I see few sectors or stocks that meet my standards of value. Ben "Goldfinger" Cross sees the credibility of the Fed put to the test. This is a refrain of mine for the last 12 months.  Tom Graff asks what numbers are most meaningful to the Fed. Tim "Not Judy or Phil" Collins on alphabet soup!  Divine defines sentiment  and RevShark goes Tina Turner on us.

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Market staging nice rally to end the week.  Oil down and seems ~$45 a barrel has become the new resistanc...

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