Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc (POT)

pos +0.21
Today's Range: 16.08 - 16.48 | POT Avg Daily Volume: 8,978,300
Last Update: 10/21/16 - 2:51 PM EDT
Volume: 7,948,041
YTD Performance: -5.32%
Open: $16.15
Previous Close: $16.21
52 Week Range: $14.64 - $22.37
Oustanding Shares: 839,432,689
Market Cap: 13,498,077,639
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for POT
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 3 3 4 4
Moderate Buy 2 1 0 0
Hold 7 7 7 8
Moderate Sell 1 1 1 1
Strong Sell 1 2 3 3
Mean Rec. 2.64 2.86 2.93 2.94
Latest Dividend: 0.10
Latest Dividend Yield: 2.46%
Dividend Ex-Date: 10/07/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 20.10
Price Earnings Comparisons:
POT Sector Avg. S&P 500
20.10 19.90 29.40
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-5.65% -25.37% -49.56%
Revenue -11.70 -0.20 -0.07
Net Income -17.30 -0.40 -0.15
EPS -16.50 -0.40 -0.14
Earnings for POT:
Revenue 6.28B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (09/16) Qtr (12/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.09 $0.13 $0.55 $0.68
Number of Analysts 5 5 8 10
High Estimate $0.11 $0.17 $0.70 $0.98
Low Estimate $0.08 $0.06 $0.46 $0.45
Prior Year $0.34 $0.24 $1.52 $0.55
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -73.53% -45.83% -64.06% 24.67%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands

Analyst Actions Real Money Pro($)

BMO downgrades JPMorgan Chase (JPM) to neutral.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar soared, something I highlighted very early in the morning as an important factor in my short-term negative view of the equity market. The price of crude oil fell by $0.56 to $50.79 after several days of strength. Gold was down $4.30 to $1,256 after a better start earlier in the day. I plan to add on weakness. I don't expect a December rate increase (see below) and more central bank lunacy and limited fiscal flexibility in a partisan Washington next year. Ag commodities: wheat up $0.03; corn up $0.02; soybeans down $0.01; and oats up 2 $0.02. Bonds rallied in yield but declined in price. The 10- and 30-year note and bond climbed by 3 basis points in yield. The 2s/10s spread (yield curve) rose to 90 basis points. Munis were sold and junk bonds weakened more considerably. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB)  was down only $0.02. Banks held up fairly well under the circumstances as bond yields rose. I haven't pulled the trigger on short Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) , but I am close as the yield curve remains flat. However insurance and brokerages got hit. Last week's short pickups in Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) turned out well. Autos and energy lower. Retail was on sale. Warm weather hit the sector's earnings in the soon to be released quarter, but this is starting to be discounted as the turn in weather (colder) now could bode well for the important Christmas/holiday quarter. Biotech got schmeissed -- something I warned readers to expect (after Illumina (ILMN) issued lower guidance) in my "Takeaways" last night. Celgene (CELG) , Gilead Sciences (GILD) (everyone's very value biotech, I see it as a value trap; today it hit a year low) and Allergen (AGN) all much lower. Speculative biotech tanked. Trump's rogue actions today and Clinton's overwhelming strength in the polls may have also contributed to today's train wreck in biotech. Ag equipment stalled despite a Goldman Sachs (GS) upgrade. Old media lower, led by losses in IBM (IBM) and Intel (INTC) . Fertilizers not so crappy with gains in Monsanto (MON) and Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (POT) . Media under assault again. All four components of (T)FANG were lower, but far less than the market' drop. Netflix (NFLX) , my only short, looks to be breaking down. In terms of individual stocks, Oaktree Financial (OAK) was a sap, but I added, as was JCP, which I also added to. In the latter retailer the colder weather is a plus but the third quarter will likely have been hit (along with other retailers) by the unseasonably warm weather. At $9 I expect the market might look through a disappointment. Unconfirmed rumors that Prince Alaweed might raise his position in Twitter buoyed the shares as did continued Salesforce (CRM) takeover chatter (albeit at a lower price). Here are some value-added contributions on our site. 1. Jim "El Capitan" Cramer clearly doesn't agree with my negativity in " Nowhere to Run, Nowhere to Hide." Jim sees the absence of new money as an integral factor today - while I have more fundamental issues that I raised in my opener, "The Market Outlook Worsen." 2

A Good Day to be Short Real Money Pro($)

Why I sold Twitter on Friday. Why upside/downside targets are my investing religion.  Why it would be Goofy for Disney (DIS) to buy Twitter. Remember media companies, unlike Google and Salesforce, are bounded by EPS and cash flow. Disney has its own problems. I remain short.  A contrary view: Don't bank on the banks. As I mentioned (and added to my aforementioned thesis to avoid financials) to Jimmy Cramer in an email late this afternoon:   Jim, It is clear the Fed WANTS to raise in December. It is also clear that the rate of growth in domestic economy is slowing. If the Fed raises and the economy remains moribund, we risk a flatter curve rather than a steeper curve -- which is bad for banks and goes against the meme that a rate rise will help improve NIM and lead to improved valuations.   Fertilizer stocks trade like crap. Stay away. I am.   Damn, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) ! ($20 in last three days) I was impatient and

You've Been Warned Real Money Pro($)

We continue to have some subscribers in the Comments section as supporters of fertilizer stocks, such as Potash (POT) et al.   A…
The global bond market, including taxable-bond plays like the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) , non-taxables like the iShares S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Fund (MUB) and high-yield securities like the iShares iBoxx U.S. Dollar High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) . I would not be long any closed-end municipal bond funds or junk-bond funds, e.g. (BGG)  (down $0.15). All bond surrogates. That includes real estate investment trusts like the iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF (IYR) recently placed on Best Ideas List, consumer staples and utilities. Growth stocks like Amazon, (AMZN) , Netflix (NFLX)  and Tesla (TSLA) . Banks, despite the general drop in bond prices. Retail plays, including Home Depot (HD) , Nordstroms (JWN) , Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) . The price of crude oil and oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB) . Fertilizer companies like Monsanto (MON) and Potash (POT) . Media stocks like Walt Disney (DIS) . Consumer-discretionary stocks, including Starbucks (SBUX) . Consumer staples such as Coca-Cola (KO) . Autos, including Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) . The S&P 500 (SPY) .
Fertilizer company could be a takeover target.
Fertilizer merger talks have boosted MOS, and the stock has broken out of its range.
American Express and Potash are among such finds.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened again. The price of crude oil dropped by another 60 cents (same as yesterday) to $46.35. Gold is souring and seems to have a meeting at $1,300; down another $11.40 to $1,318. Ag chemicals continue their schmeissing: wheat -4, corn -5, soybean -17 and oats -4. Bonds flat lined. The yield on the 10-year note and long bond showed no change. The 2/10s spread rose by one basis point to 78 basis points. Banks (weird divergence against bonds/slope continues, but less so than yesterday) and brokers are still the world's fair. Insurers are rallying. I'm adding to HIG. I'm down to tag ends in MetLife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) . Non-taxables (munis) and junk bonds sold off small. Biotech are down small. Retail is conspicuously weak -- the worst-performing S&P group. I'm adding to JCP, but it's an investment and not a trade. Autos and energy are mixed. Old tech is broadly lower. Consumer staples are reversing (maybe it's the EC decision against Apple?) yesterday's gains as our currency firms. I recently added to my Coca-Cola (KO) short (a conservative and low-risk way to short Mr. Market). Media is lower. Ag equipment got hit on a worsening ag commodities picture. (T)FANG's five components are lower on the day. Here are some value-added contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on Apple.  Dueling Apple views by Tony Owusu.  Ed Ponsi (Scheme) keeping it real.  "Meet" Bret Jensen on two interesting speculative biotech names.  Boring, according to the righteous Rev Shark.
The action in the indices is poor; I'll manage positions closely.

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