Procter & Gamble Co (PG)

PG (NYSE:Consumer Non-Durables) EQUITY
$81.51
pos +0.21
+0.26%
Today's Range: 81.17 - 81.55 | PG Avg Daily Volume: 8,935,200
Last Update: 05/06/16 - 11:00 AM EDT
Volume: 1,001,404
YTD Performance: 2.38%
Open: $81.42
Previous Close: $81.30
52 Week Range: $65.02 - $83.87
Oustanding Shares: 2,661,851,865
Market Cap: 217,207,112,184
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for PG
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 8 8 8 7
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 6 7 8 10
Moderate Sell 1 1 1 1
Strong Sell 1 1 1 0
Mean Rec. 2.18 2.22 2.26 2.26
Latest Dividend: 0.67
Latest Dividend Yield: 3.28%
Dividend Ex-Date: 04/14/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 25.74
Price Earnings Comparisons:
PG Sector Avg. S&P 500
25.74 25.60 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
0.12% 1.54% 3.98%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -8.20 -0.10 -0.03
Net Income -39.40 0.00 -0.01
EPS -40.10 -0.30 -0.13
Earnings for PG:
EBITDA 16.95B
Revenue 76.28B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (06/16) Qtr (09/16) FY (06/16) FY (06/17)
Average Estimate $0.74 $1.00 $3.62 $3.93
Number of Analysts 9 7 12 11
High Estimate $0.78 $1.04 $3.67 $4.00
Low Estimate $0.71 $0.96 $3.60 $3.85
Prior Year $1.00 $0.98 $4.02 $3.62
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -26.11% 1.90% -9.93% 8.54%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
Interest Rates. Banks are rate-sensitive animals. With balance-sheet imbalances of rate-sensitive vs. liability-sensitive assets, all banks are suffering from our current low-interest-rate environment. They would benefit from higher rates and a more positive slope to the yield curve -- but while I believe interest rates are near cycle lows, I don't expect any meaningful pick-up in rates for some time. I don't expect the yield curve to resume a more normal slope any time soon, either. Politics. Donald Trump has out-trumped all 16 of his rivals to become the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, while it the odds of a Hillary Clinton Democratic nomination are rising. These developments produce a less-favorable political backdrop for bank stocks. Profit woes. Bank profits will continue to come under pressure and seem unlikely to meet 2016 consensus expectations. Given the above, I sold my bank longs into the sector's February-to-April rally, and I recently shorted the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) as well. I'm also shorting Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC), as I believe that life insurers face reinvestment challenges. (This week's much-weaker-than-expected earnings reports from insurers only confirmed my thesis, so I boosted my MET and LNC shorts.) I remain long on Oaktree Capital (OAK) and Hartford Financial (HIG) -- but as noted previously, I'm short on Berkshire Hathaway. The Times They are a Changin' for Warren Buffett's firm. My overall sentiment: Negative (down from a previous Positive) Health Care/Biotech The political battle over health care intensified over the past few months as Democratic and Republican presidential aspirants vied for attention and popularity. And if I'm correct in predicting a probable Hillary Clinton presidency (she's currently the general-election frontrunner), the industry's

How to Trade a Weak Dollar Real Money Pro($)

Commodities and emerging markets tend to benefit from a weak dollar.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar continues to weaken. Crude oil fell by $1.05, trading at $44.87. Nat gas was a dime lower. Gold rose by another $5 and is approaching $1,300. The precious metal did trade over $1,300 earlier in the day. Agricultural commodities: wheat -4.50, soybean +8.00, corn -3.75 and oats flat. Lumber -2.60. Bonds got taken to the woodshed. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was down about a beaner. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note added three basis points to 1.85% and the long bond climbed four basis points in yield to 2.70%. Municipals sold off, but closed-end municipal bond funds were mixed to higher. High yield sold off. However, Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) traded up a nickel and is approaching $14. Banks prospered, led by JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Brokerages were strong -- Morgan Stanley (MS) up 20 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) $2.50. Life insurance responded well to higher rates and lower bond prices, with smart gains in Lincoln  National (LNC), MetLife (MET) and HIG. Energy stocks were mixed. Schlumberger (SLB) was a standout loser, though Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up 50 cents. Old media was mixed. IBM (IBM), despite Warren's endorsement, was slightly lower, while Microsoft (MSFT) was up 50 cents. Retail stocks rebounded, with short Nordstrom (JWN) recovering a portion of Friday's big loss. Media thrived. Disney (DIS) was up $1.10 and Comcast (CMCSA) 55 cents. Consumer staples did well, led by former long Procter & Gamble (PG). Biotech, the object of affection to value players this year, continued to be pressured. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) was down a couple. VRX recovered two-thirds of its nearly $4 loss today. My biotech basket continues to roll over. Autos were up small -- General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) a dime higher, each. Ag equipment was flat. (T)FANG recovering well, led by Amazon (AMZN), which seemingly got an endorsement from Warren Buffett over the weekend and was up $23. By contrast, Tesla (TSLA) was down by $2, though it was lower. NOSH had all four components to the good, including Starbucks (SBUX), a short. CRABBY's six components also were all higher. In terms of miscellaneous stocks, Apple (AAPL) continues to be rotten to the core, down 50 cents. Twitter (TWTR) was awful and Potash (POT) was not much better, though rival Monsanto (MON) was up. Radian Group (RDN) and Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) were flat, as was DuPont (DD) after a big upside move. Warren's fav (but my short!) Coca-Cola (KO) was up 30 cents. iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), last week's Trade of the Week, was off a dime after a very weak Friday. Here is some good stuff on Real Money Pro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on the U.S. dollar.   Robert "Not Rita" Moreno on the dreaded Coppock Curve!  Bret "Meet George" Jensen on four possible biotech targets.  The Count's take on the Berkshire Hathaway meeting.  RevShark on ... what is the market theme and on the lack of clear market leadership (a theme others like Jimmy and myself are concerned about)? 
"I am cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs."

You Can't Be Serious, Man! Real Money Pro($)

The Commerce Department reported today that first-quarter U.S. real gross domestic product only grew by 0.5%. And that was against an easy comparison from a year earlier, when we had bad weather and the Federal Reserve's Zero Interest Rate Policy at home, plus negative rates in Europe. For the fourth-consecutive year, consensus expectations for S&P 500 earnings have been too optimistic. We are in an earnings recession. The Fed's monetary largesse has pulled business activity, corporate sales and profits forward. But that spigot has lost effectiveness, and U.S. economic "escape velocity" appears to be an illusion (just reread my

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

Inside day in the markets, at least as of 3 p.m. ET (in the time that it took to write "Takeaways," the S&P rose by seven handles). Ss (S&P) over Ns (Nasdaq). The U.S. dollar weakened after the Fed's comments. Crude oil advanced by $1.13 to $45.17. Gold rose by $4.60 to $1,248. Agricultural commodities gave back on price. Wheat -3.25, corn -3.25, soybean -3.00 and oats +2.50. Lumber +9.20. Bonds erupted higher in price, lower in yield after above. That is why I re-shorted Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) at $23.73. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by an outsize seven basis points to 1.86% and the long bond by five basis points to 2.70%. Municipals were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds advanced ... again. Big mistake selling them earlier in the year on my part! The high-yield bond market moved higher. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) paused and was flat. Banks experienced some early strength, sold off on the Fed's comments and are beginning to rally from the lows. Brokerages were stronger. Life insurance was unchanged despite the rise in bond prices. Retail was stronger across the board. Former long Macy's (M) was up 45 cents and short Nordstrom (JWN) was up 55 cents. Energy stocks rallied with crude oil. Schlumberger (SLB) rose $1.63 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up $1.00. Some positive dividend moves within the space. Old tech was quiet, though IBM (IBM) was up $1.60. Biotech was down most of the day, but experiencing a late day rally. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down $1.70. My biotech basket of speculative stocks still appears to be rolling over. Consumer non-durables thrived, as Kimberly-Clark (KMB) bounced from recent weakness and Procter & Gamble (PG) was up 55 cents. Short Coca-Cola (KO) was fractionally higher. Autos were dead flat. Ag equipment was higher, with Caterpillar (CAT) up $1.15 and Deere (DE) up $1.50. (T)FANG continues weak, led by AMZN, down $9, and Tesla (TSLA), down $2.60. Trade of the Week short iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) continues to rally, up 30 cents. NOSH was mixed; Starbucks (SBUX), a favorite short, continues to decline, down 72 cents. It appears to be breaking down from the earnings report last week. Mine is a minority view. CRABBY was helped by Radian Group (RDN), which had an earnings beat and some good credit data (more to come later in the week). In miscellaneous names, Twitter (TWTR) was a twit and Potash (POT) rallied by 40 cents after Monsanto (MON) was upgraded yesterday. Apple was down between $6 and $7 most of the day. Here are some good columns from RealMoneyPro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on the market, which is impervious to Apple.  Apple mea culpa (I respect his candidness) from Mark Sebastian.  Shad Gad "And the Pharoahs" on how to beat the pros.  James Passeri on Mr. Ackman Goes to Washington.  Jack and Jim on Twitter. 
Don't let an attractive dividend lock you into a loss.
Last week I sold Procter & Gamble (PG) and took the name off of my Best Ideas List at higher prices. 
IP stock is also inexpensive on a fundamental basis.
Earnings season also continues today with Hershey and Procter & Gamble reporting before the opening bell. 

Columnist Conversations

I hate to make assumptions, but it appears with a weak jobs report (second miss in a row) the market has pivot...
My goodness! The technical levels are turning! Oscillators of all surnames are oscillating!   Finally, th...
Monthly jobs number comes in lower than expectations and matches read from the ADP jobs report on Wednesday. ...
Maybe the market had smelled a rat the past several sessions, as the April jobs data fell short of expectation...

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