Monsanto Co (MON)

MON (NYSE:Chemicals) EQUITY
$101.32
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 100.99 - 103.98 | MON Avg Daily Volume: 4,659,300
Last Update: 07/01/16 - 4:02 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: 2.84%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $103.41
52 Week Range: $81.22 - $114.26
Oustanding Shares: 436,844,990
Market Cap: 45,174,140,416
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for MON
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 7 6 7 7
Moderate Buy 0 0 0 0
Hold 6 6 6 6
Moderate Sell 0 0 1 1
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rec. 1.92 2.00 2.07 2.07
Latest Dividend: 0.54
Latest Dividend Yield: 2.09%
Dividend Ex-Date: 07/06/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 43.63
Price Earnings Comparisons:
MON Sector Avg. S&P 500
43.63 41.50 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
15.31% -5.89% 4.49%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -5.40 0.10 0.04
Net Income -15.80 0.10 0.03
EPS -7.90 0.30 0.08
Earnings for MON:
EBITDA 4.63B
Revenue 15.00B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (08/16) Qtr (11/16) FY (08/16) FY (08/17)
Average Estimate $-0.02 $0.10 $4.45 $5.20
Number of Analysts 7 1 4 9
High Estimate $0.15 $0.10 $4.46 $5.45
Low Estimate $-0.23 $0.10 $4.44 $4.80
Prior Year $-0.19 $-0.11 $5.73 $4.45
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 91.73% 190.91% -22.34% 16.83%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
If you've reduced some exposure and raised a little cash, relax.
Looking to short the stock at around $110.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened today. Crude oil dropped two bits to $48.85. Gold was up $10.50 to $1,287, making an assault back at the $1,300 resistance area. Agricultural commodities: wheat -3, corn +7, soybean flat and oats +3.50. Lumber -3.50. Bonds rallied for another day. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up 40 cents. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by two basis points to a record low 1.61%. The long bond dropped by one basis point to 2.44%. The 2s/10s spread was flat at 91 basis points. Municipals rose and closed-end municipal bond funds continued to rise. High-yield bonds were hit. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) fell by eight cents. Banks slipped and continue to show signs of rolling over. Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) was down 0.5%. I have been adding to the short. Insurance was mixed, but my only long, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG), climbed by 50 cents.   Brokerages continue to underperform. Retail was mixed to lower. My short, Nordstrom (JWN), was a standout to the downside, off $1.10. Old tech was lower, led by IBM (IBM). Autos also were exhibiting signs of rolling over. Biotech continues its recent weakness, with iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) down 1%. Allergan (AGN) was up almost $3, but most others were lower. I have no interest in bottom fishing and the technical recovery mentioned by some appears to be not so much. Agricultural equipment was lower led by short Caterpillar (CAT). Media was mixed, though Disney (DIS) was stronger. Staples were weaker despite a lower U.S. currency -- my fav large-cap short Coca-Cola (KO) was down 45 cents. Energy stocks were mixed, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) up and Schlumberger (SLB) down. TFANG was quiet, though Facebook (FB) was down $3 on a Citron Research negative report. In selected individual securities, Monsanto (MON) and The Mighty Oak -- aka Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) -- were noticeably weaker. Alibaba (BABA) broke bad. My long fav DuPont (DD) was down by nearly a beaner. Country shorts iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) and iShares MSCI United Kingdom (EWU) were lower, going the right way for the manner in which I am positioned. Sector shorts Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) and Material Select Sector SPDR (XLB) - also are going in the right direction. Here are some valuable contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on natural gas elbowing out coal.  Ben "Goldfinger" Cross on a possible breakout in the precious metal.  Tim Melvin on three bank stocks to avoid.  James Passeri on Valeant (VRX) and Walgreens (WBA).  Robert "Not Rita" Moreno on a Facebook short. 

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was slightly weaker. Crude oil was up 40 cents to over $50. Gold is unchanged. Agricultural commodities are mixed today after sharp gains: wheat +2, corn -0.50, soybean +2.50 and oats +2.25. Lumber is down $6.50. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is up 55 cents. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note and long bond are down a basis point. The 2s/10s spread is unchanged at 94 basis points. Municipals were bid and higher. Closed-end municipal bonds were mixed. High yield was stronger, again. iShares iBoxx High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up 40 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 15 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund's (BGB) streak came to a temporary halt, down a nickel. Banks were mixed with little price change. Insurance stocks were fractionally better, with my long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) rallying 35 cents. However, brokerages were hit with some profit-taking. Retail was broadly higher. My short Nordstrom (JWN) was up 80 cents. Remodeling came back from recent drops. Consumer staples were mixed. Kellogg (K) was an upside standout, based on vague rumors that Coca-Cola (KO) is interested in the company. I have no clue.  Energy stocks are on a magnificent streak -- still, following higher crude oil prices. Autos strengthened, with 25-cent gains for Ford (F) and General Motors (GM). Old tech showed nothing. Old media flat-lined. Biotech, which I sold out of and observed the media's love affair with after gains in the space, was conspicuously to the downside. VRX lower and so was most of the sector. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was  down $6, or 2.2%. Agricultural equipment was unchanged. (T)FANG was lower save Telsa (TSLA) due to the Ron Baron Bounce! NOSH's tasty bits included O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and Home Depot (HD). In individual stocks, Potash (POT) continues higher, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) saw a second nice advance in a row, Monsanto (MON) looks like it might be rolling over (but it's a newsy stock), DuPont (DD) is a monster, and Apple (AAPL), my Trade of the Week, was up again today. I am about to short more. Here are some good, value-added commentary on our site: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer looks toward the skies.  Tom Graff looks at the gloomy domestic economy.  Melvin, millennials and homes.   Rev Shark on portfolio positioning.  Muhammad Ali rubbed off on "Diamond" James Gentile.  Or maybe it was Randy Newman's "short people." 
Just about everyone I know is now long Monsanto (MON).
The rally yesterday was sufficient to change the character of the action.  
Bullish
May 25, 2016 | 7:26 AM EDT
MON was upgraded from Hold to Buy, Jefferies said. Valuation call, based on a $132 price target. 

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar rallied strongly. And stocks lost their correlation to the currency, rising dramatically. Crude oil advanced by 60 cents to $48.68. But nat gas dropped by six cents. Gold declined by more than $22 an ounce; I cautioned about the precious metal yesterday. Again, participants "off sides" much like equities today.  Agricultural commodities were mixed: wheat +2.75, corn +0.75, soybean -2.25, oats -.50. Lumber rose by $2.50 following the buoyant housing data. Bonds fell. Dennis Gartman had quite negative comments on fixed income in his daily letter today. The yield on the 10-year note rose by one basis point to 1.85% and the long bond was flat at 2.63% despite a successful two-year auction. Municipals were well-bid. Closed-end muni bond funds continued toward their second daily advance. High yield was also stronger. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) sprinted up nearly 1%. Banks flourished with talk of a June/July rate hike and, perhaps, a few more later in the year. Insurance rallied. I added to long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG). Brokerages rose but failed to rally as hard as the overall market. Retail was weak, though Home Depot (HD) rose $2. Best Buy (BBY) was a feature to downside after disappointing guidance. Surprisingly, my two shorts -- Foot Locker (FL) and Nordstrom (JWN) -- were marginally lower. Old tech was led by Microsoft (MSFT), which caught an analyst upgrade at Cowen and rose $1.50. IBM (IBM) was up a similar amount. Media was up, but marginally. Disney (DIS) and Comcast (CMCSA) were up 50 cents each. Energy stocks underperformed. My short Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up a quarter and short Schlumberger (SLB) rose 60 cents. Staples were higher. Autos were ahead, but small and non-threatening to the shorts. Ford (F) was up 15 cents and General Motors (GM) up 35 cents. Biotech, my new long target, rallied. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up $5. Buys Allergan (AGN) gained $3.60, Celgene (CELG) rose $2.35, Gilead Sciences (GILD) was up $2.70 and Intrexon (XON) was up 70 cents.  Ag equipment was well-bid. Caterpillar (CAT) was up 40 cents and Deere (DE) gained $1.40. (T)FANG was marvelous. Strong gains in Netflix (NFLX), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN) and Facebook (FB). NOSH was strong as investors/traders gobbled up O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and HD. CRABBY's six components were higher. In terms of individual stocks, Apple (AAPL) continued its ascent, rising $1.30. Potash (POT), which I sold yesterday, was conspicuously weaker despite Monsanto's (MON) $3 gain. Twitter (TWTR) hit new lows. Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) rallied; I added at low levels today and over last few days. DuPont (DD) is the "world's fair," hitting another new high and up 85 cents. Here are some value-added columns posted on Real Money Pro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on Catalyst City.  Tim "Not Judy or Phil" Collins on an interesting comparison between U.S. Oil Fund (USO) and Alerian MLP (AMLP).  Bret "Meet George" Jensen says take a chill pill.  Tim Melvin on three interesting small bank ideas. Rev Shark gets Billy Joel on us -- it's all just a matter of trust.
Oil, takeovers, tech, new-home sales -- all that and more drive stocks higher.
Bayer spells out the logic behind its bid for the agricultural giant, citing the creation of an 'innovation powerhouse.'

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