Macy's Inc (M)

M (:Retail) EQUITY
$39.59
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 39.31 - 40.65 | M Avg Daily Volume: 4,240,800
Last Update: 04/29/16 - 4:02 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: 0.00%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $40.60
52 Week Range: $34.05 - $73.61
Oustanding Shares: 310,572,396
Market Cap: 12,609,239,278
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for M
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 2 2 2 3
Moderate Buy 0 0 0 0
Hold 10 10 9 9
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 1 1 2 2
Mean Rec. 2.85 2.85 3.00 2.86
Latest Dividend: 0.00
Latest Dividend Yield: 0.00%
Dividend Ex-Date: 12/31/69
Price Earnings Ratio: 0.00
Price Earnings Comparisons:
M Sector Avg. S&P 500
0.00 12.60 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -3.70 0.00 -0.01
Net Income -29.90 -0.20 -0.07
EPS -23.70 0.00 0.00
Earnings for M:
EBITDA 3.37B
Revenue 27.08B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (04/16) Qtr (07/16) FY (01/17) FY (01/18)
Average Estimate $0.37 $0.65 $3.80 $3.98
Number of Analysts 8 7 8 7
High Estimate $0.49 $0.75 $3.87 $4.10
Low Estimate $0.25 $0.58 $3.70 $3.72
Prior Year $0.56 $0.64 $3.77 $3.80
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -34.15% 2.01% 0.73% 4.73%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
Amazon is creating a real vicious circle in retail.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

Inside day in the markets, at least as of 3 p.m. ET (in the time that it took to write "Takeaways," the S&P rose by seven handles). Ss (S&P) over Ns (Nasdaq). The U.S. dollar weakened after the Fed's comments. Crude oil advanced by $1.13 to $45.17. Gold rose by $4.60 to $1,248. Agricultural commodities gave back on price. Wheat -3.25, corn -3.25, soybean -3.00 and oats +2.50. Lumber +9.20. Bonds erupted higher in price, lower in yield after above. That is why I re-shorted Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) at $23.73. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by an outsize seven basis points to 1.86% and the long bond by five basis points to 2.70%. Municipals were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds advanced ... again. Big mistake selling them earlier in the year on my part! The high-yield bond market moved higher. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) paused and was flat. Banks experienced some early strength, sold off on the Fed's comments and are beginning to rally from the lows. Brokerages were stronger. Life insurance was unchanged despite the rise in bond prices. Retail was stronger across the board. Former long Macy's (M) was up 45 cents and short Nordstrom (JWN) was up 55 cents. Energy stocks rallied with crude oil. Schlumberger (SLB) rose $1.63 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up $1.00. Some positive dividend moves within the space. Old tech was quiet, though IBM (IBM) was up $1.60. Biotech was down most of the day, but experiencing a late day rally. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down $1.70. My biotech basket of speculative stocks still appears to be rolling over. Consumer non-durables thrived, as Kimberly-Clark (KMB) bounced from recent weakness and Procter & Gamble (PG) was up 55 cents. Short Coca-Cola (KO) was fractionally higher. Autos were dead flat. Ag equipment was higher, with Caterpillar (CAT) up $1.15 and Deere (DE) up $1.50. (T)FANG continues weak, led by AMZN, down $9, and Tesla (TSLA), down $2.60. Trade of the Week short iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) continues to rally, up 30 cents. NOSH was mixed; Starbucks (SBUX), a favorite short, continues to decline, down 72 cents. It appears to be breaking down from the earnings report last week. Mine is a minority view. CRABBY was helped by Radian Group (RDN), which had an earnings beat and some good credit data (more to come later in the week). In miscellaneous names, Twitter (TWTR) was a twit and Potash (POT) rallied by 40 cents after Monsanto (MON) was upgraded yesterday. Apple was down between $6 and $7 most of the day. Here are some good columns from RealMoneyPro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on the market, which is impervious to Apple.  Apple mea culpa (I respect his candidness) from Mark Sebastian.  Shad Gad "And the Pharoahs" on how to beat the pros.  James Passeri on Mr. Ackman Goes to Washington.  Jack and Jim on Twitter. 
Will Starboard Value's Jeff Smith discuss one of his lesser-known positions at next week's Sohn Investor's Conference?
But the company will struggle to achieve it with low-single-digit revenue growth.
Comps missed estimates, the Japanese segment is a drag and SBUX may be losing market share in the U.S.
Watching the downfall of the retailer through the lens of a smartphone.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened a bit today. Consumer nondurables felt the pain of the currency rise and the KO miss.  I sold my long Procter & Gamble (PG) and took it off my Best Ideas List today.  PepsiCo (PEP), Kimberly-Clark (KMB) and KO all were weak. Crude oil rallied despite fundamental news that could have taken it lower. It was $1.43 to $42.51 in what looks like a massive short squeeze. Nat gas was flat. Gold was unchanged at $1,253. Agricultural commodities were through the roof following days of strengthening prices: wheat +12.50, corn +6.25, soybean +22.00 and oats +10.50. Food inflation lays ahead, Janet Yellen. Bonds were lower in price and higher in yield. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was down $1.05. The 10-year U.S. note yield rose by four basis points to 1.82% and the long bond by the same amount to 2.63%. Municipals flat-lined, but the sprint for yield resulted in more gains for closed-end municipal bond funds. High yield improved. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up 27 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 11 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was three pennies to the good. Banks were tentative midday but are at their highs for the day now. Brokerages are up, with Morgan Stanley (MS) up 50 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) up $2.90. Life insurance responded to the drop in bond prices as reinvestment opportunities are seen expanding, though rates remain very low. Energy stocks were higher with the commodity advance. Schlumberger (SLB) was up $1.80 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) up $1.13. Retail was mixed, with short Nordstrom (JWN) the strongest to the upside (up $1.45). Wal-Mart (WMT) faltered a bit. Prior long Macy's (M) was up 40 cents. Media was mixed. Disney (DIS) was up 70 cents but Comcast (CMCSA) was down 85 cents. Ag equipment, led by Deere (DE), which was up $2.25, was again strong. However, Caterpillar (CAT) slowed down after recent gains. Old tech was led to the upside by IBM (IBM), rising $2.65 from pressure earlier in the week. Biotech was unchanged as Allergan (AGN) rallied and so did spec Intrexon (XON). Nothing much in my former Biotech Basket to record. Autos continued ahead for the third day in a row after a Barron's cover story. Ford (F) was up a quarter and General Motors (GM) up 40 cents. (T)FANG was led by Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN). Netflix (NFLX) had a dead-cat bounce. NOSH was uneventful, as was CRABBY. In individual stocks, Twitter (TWTR) warmed up by 55 cents and Potash (POT) poked above $18 after yesterday's strong gain. DuPont (DD) was hit by profit taking and was down 75 cents. Very little trading today as I marvel at the unrelenting advance. Here are some great columns from RealMoneyPro today: Ed Ponsi "Scheme" on how to play higher crude oil prices.  Carley Garner on livestock prices.  Tim Melvin on energy-exposed banks.  RevShark sees slim long pickings.  The Divine Ms. M on market rotat
Teen retailers are chasing a moving target as they try to reach consumers amid weak mall traffic and changing tastes.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. Dollar was weaker, but modestly so. Crude oil rallied magnificently from the lows and only dropped by 60 cents to $39.77 on the day. Natural gas is four cents higher. Gold was flat Large upside move in several agricultural commodities: wheat +14.50 and corn +2.75, but soybean down slightly Lumber down $2.40. Bonds rose in price, moved lower in yield. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was down 57 cents. The 10-year U.S. note yields 1.77%, up two basis points, and the long bond is up the same amount in yield to 2.58%. Municipals were up slightly in price, but those closed-end municipal bond funds continue to rip higher. It's become unrelenting. High yield was better. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) rebounded by about a dime in price. I am no longer long. Banks managed small gains. Life insurers had marginal gains. I'm still long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) and short MetLife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC). Brokerages were mixed. I shorted both Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) today. The market is enamored with a 50% drop in MS earnings -- makes little sense to me. Autos were up -- GM up 75 cents and Ford (F) up 31 cents on a better market and a cover story in Barron's. Why I disagree with Barron's.  Retail was higher, led by Wal-Mart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), Coach (COH) and Under Armour (UA). I eliminated my Macy's (M) long and took the name off of my Best Ideas List this afternoon. Short Nordstrom (JWN) up by a half-dollar.  Consumer staples were stronger, led by long Procter & Gamble (PG). Oils rallied despite the commodity being pressured. Schlumberger (SLB) was up $1.19 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up 81 cents. Biotech was up 1.5%, led by Allergan (AGN), rebounding from recent losses, and Valeant (VRX), up $1.15. My biotech basket was unexciting. Old tech prospered, led by Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT) and Cisco (CSCO). Media was a standout. Comcast (CMCSA) was up 40 cents and Disney (DIS) up $3.00. (T)FANG was mixed, with shorts Tesla (TSLA) and Netflix (NFLX) lower. Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) were up five dollars each. NOSH was up across the board, led by HD and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY). CRABBY's six components were all up. In individual stock land: Potash (POT) was up 30 cents, Twitter (TWTR) down a like amount and Radian Group (RDN) up a few pennies. Apple's (AAPL) $2.70 decline was conspicuous. Here are some great articles on RealMoneyPro today: Jim Cramer on "Don't Let Oil Do Your Investing"  Ed Ponsi "Scheme" on "At What Price Should you Buy AMZN and FB?"  Mark Sebastian's "Doha's Big Deal Turns Out to be a Dud"   Tim "Not Phil or Judy" Collins offers an option strategy ahead of IBM's earnings  and opines on IBM and NFLX.  Bobby Lang on ignoring talking Fed heads.

Time to Leave Macy's Real Money Pro($)

And now there are four -- four longs left on my "Best Ideas" list, that is.

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Mine and many other reviews of the meeting coming Monday, but the quick highlights to whet your appetite: 1)...

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