Lincoln National Corp (LNC)

LNC (NYSE:Insurance) EQUITY
$38.75
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 37.64 - 39.06 | LNC Avg Daily Volume: 2,484,700
Last Update: 07/01/16 - 4:02 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: -22.90%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $38.77
52 Week Range: $30.39 - $59.86
Oustanding Shares: 239,007,140
Market Cap: 9,266,306,818
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for LNC
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 3 4 5 5
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 7 6 7 6
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rec. 2.32 2.14 2.12 2.04
Latest Dividend: 0.25
Latest Dividend Yield: 2.58%
Dividend Ex-Date: 07/07/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 9.28
Price Earnings Comparisons:
LNC Sector Avg. S&P 500
9.28 9.20 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-2.66% -35.12% 3.72%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue 0.10 0.20 0.06
Net Income -23.80 -0.10 -0.04
EPS -20.50 0.00 -0.01
Earnings for LNC:
EBITDA 1.70B
Revenue 13.57B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (06/16) Qtr (09/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $1.58 $1.63 $6.16 $6.97
Number of Analysts 7 6 7 7
High Estimate $1.62 $1.67 $6.50 $7.43
Low Estimate $1.50 $1.50 $5.75 $6.50
Prior Year $1.46 $1.11 $5.46 $6.16
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 8.41% 46.40% 12.77% 13.18%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened. The price of crude oil rose by 83 cents to $49.15. Gold roared ahead, up $25 to $1,345 as it breakouts from the $1,300 level. Agricultural commodities got schmeissed across the board: wheat -16, corn -4, soybean -16 and oats -7. Bonds continued to ramp. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up $1.68. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by four basis points to 1.46% after hitting 1.40% early in the morning. The long bond yield declined by seven basis points to a 2.24% yield. The 2s/10s spread declined to a new record low of 85 basis points. Not good for financials that borrow short and lend longer and that have an asset-sensitive balance sheet. Municipal bonds were down small but closed-end funds traded somewhat higher. High-yield bonds were mixed. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was up a dime and back to $14.50 in the search for yield. Banks disappointed for the second day in a row, as I suggested in my Sell Banks post yesterday morning. http://realmoneypro.thestreet.com/dougs-daily-diary?published[value][date]=2016-06-30#why-im-not-bank-20160630 All major money center banks were lower today. After the close Warren Buffett filed for permission to go over 10% of Wells Fargo's (WFC) ownership, though he currently doesn't have an intention to do so. He is averaging down! Brokerage stocks also were lower, but marginally so. Insurance stocks also stunk after a feeble rally from large declines in the last week. I remain short Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET). Retail was mixed to higher. Shorts Nordstrom (JWN) and Foot Locker (FL) didn't do a damn thing. Old tech flat lined. Autos rallied small but could get hit on the after-the-close news. I covered much of my shorts in the belly of Monday's declines. I am a short seller on strength now. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up $5. Allergan (AGN) rose $3 and there were good gains for value plays Celgene (CELG) and Gilead Sciences (GILD). Energy and media were mixed. Ag equipment was mixed. Caterpillar (CAT) was up a half a buck but Deere (DE) was down after a Morgan Stanley downgrade yesterday. (T)FANG returned to favor, led by Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL) and Netflix (NFLX), which caught an upgrade. Staples quieted down. In individual stocks, Twitter (TWTR) is making a move back toward some previous resistance (I added). My longs DuPont (DD) and Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) showed little movement. Here are some value-added contributions on our site: 1. Jim "EL Capitan " Cramer gets toothy.  He also chimes on Tesla's (TSLA) accident.   Again, Tom Graff on bonds and Tim "Not Phil or Judy" Collins on bond spreads.  Eric Jackson on the impact of the Lions Gate (LGF) deal on Viacom (VIAB).  Rev Shark on correction risks.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened. The price of crude oil fell by $1.50 to $48.40. Gold was essentially unchanged. Agricultural commodities: wheat flat, corn -9, soybean +42(!!) and oats unchanged. Lumber +4. Bonds rose slightly in price. The "action" in iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) seems toppy to me, but I am short less on price action and more based on fundamental analysis and historical relationships (see above). The yield on the 10-year U.S. note was unchanged at 1.48%. The long bond yield was up one basis point to yield 2.29%. The 2s/10s spread was up by two basis points to 90 basis points. Municipals were well-bid. Closed-end municipal bond funds were mixed. The high-yield bond market was strong, while Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was up 11 cents. Banks were a bit of a disappointment, failing to materially follow through after the stress tests were announced. Insurance stocks were disappointing. Small gains for Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET). Brokerages thrived. Morgan Stanley (MS) rose 75 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) was up $3. Premature sellage by me. Retail stocks were mixed to lower. Foot Locker (FL) and Nike (NKE) were lower after large gains on Wednesday. Nordstrom (JWN), a short, was up 18 cents. Old tech was stronger, led by IBM (IBM), up $3. Autos were weak, down most of the day. Not a good sign to be in the red on such a strong day in the markets. Agricultural equipment was mixed. Media had a mixed message, though Disney (DIS) and Comcast (CMCSA) were higher (I covered on Monday). Energy stocks shined despite a large drop in crude prices. Exxon Mobil (XOM) and SLB were up nicely. Programs? Regardless, another weird feature of today's market. Biotech was disappointing. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was flat, with several large and speculative stocks clearly rolling over. New lows for Valeant (VRX). Staples were the world's fair after the Mondelez (MDLZ) MDbid for Hershey. Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP), covered on Monday, surged by $1.22. Campbell Soup (CPB) and Pepsico (PEP) were up big. (T)FANG was mixed. Tesla (TSLA) was strong in the regular session, but sold off in the after hours after some safety concerns. In individual stocks, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) was up $1.22 (I have been steadily accumulating). My long fav DuPont (DD) was up 90 cents after getting schmeissed in the last few days. There was a vague (and to me, silly) rumor of a Potash (POT) takeover; it makes no sense because Canadian government sees the company as important to the country as an independent entity. Coca-Cola (KO), a short, got caught up in the strength of the defensive sector. Here are some valuable contributions on the site today: Nice video on banks by Jim "El Capitan" Cramer.  "Big" James Gentile is looking forward to fireworks, but not the ones over the holiday weekend!  Brian Sozzi on food companies hurrying up to merge.  Tony Owusu on Facebook's (FB) friendliness.  Rev Shark on meddling central bankers.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened. Crude oil rose by $1.67 to $48 a barrel. Gold dropped by $10 to $1,314. Agricultural commodities: wheat -2, corn unchanged, soybean +15, oats +2.50. Lumber +10.00. Bonds were flattish. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up 29 cents, likely buoyed by terrorism in Turkey (see above). The 10-year yield was unchanged at 1.46% and the long bond also flat on yield at 2.27%. Non-taxables were flat and closed-end muni bond funds were pennies higher. The high-yield bond market was higher, reversing yesterday's large losses. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up $1.03 and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 44 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB), down 20 cents yesterday, recaptured 16 cents today. Banks were the "world's fair" and were market leaders with gains of 3% to 4%. I purchased positions (long rentals) on Monday in Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Insurance stocks were upside features after they were decimated by nearly 20% in the last two days. My long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) rose by over a beaner. Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) also were up $1, which, considering the magnitude of the previous decline, was quite disappointing. I covered much of my life shorts on Monday. Brokerages flourished. I purchased Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) on Monday, and today they were up $3 and $1, respectively. Retail was mixed. Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) led, but NKE and FL were down after the NKE miss. My short Nordstrom (JWN) was up $1. Auto stocks underperformed. I had covered a lot yesterday. Energy was responsive to higher crude oil prices. Schlumberger (SLB) was up $1.60 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) rose $2.20. Both shorts were covered yesterday. Old tech was strong, led by IBM (IBM) and Microsoft (MSFT). Biotech went from goat to hero. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) climbed $9, led by Allergan (AGN), which was up $10. A dead-cat bounce for Valeant (VRX), which was up $1.40. Speculative biotech also moved higher. Agricultural equipment was stronger, led by dollar gains at Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE). Media was up. I covered Comcast (CMCSA) yesterday. Disney (DIS) rose $1.65. (T)FANG attracted buyers, with Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) strong. Netflix (NFLX) rose 4%. In individual stocks, my long fav DuPont (DD) was under pressure and fell $1.33, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) gained fractionally and Twitter (TWTR) was up a half a buck or so. In sectors, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) and Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) were underperformers. I covered them recently. Here are some valuable contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on more than FANG.  Ben "Godlfinger" Cross on, what else? Gold!   RevShark on Da Bulls and Da Bears. Rev is uncertain about today's implications, and I respect his honesty!  Shad Gad "And the Pharoahs" is patient in an impatient market.  Tom Graff on bonds.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was stronger, a negative of Brexit. The price of crude oil fell by less than a dollar to $46.74, off of the day's lows (see comments on TBT). Gold rose by $7.50, off the day's highs. Agricultural commodities: wheat -8, corn +1, soybean +28 (!!) and oats -5. Lumber was unchanged. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) rose by $3.50 as yields plummeted and prices rose. (I shorted in the morning by purchasing TBT. The 10-year's yield fell 12 basis points and the long bond was down 14 basis points. The yield curve flattened to lows last seen in the recession. The 2s/10s spread fell to 86 basis points. The high-yield bond market got destroyed. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) fell $1.23 and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was down 60 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) fell by an outsize 25 cents and closed at $14. I would continue to avoid this space. Banks were schmeissed and I picked some rentals -- Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs (GS), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Insurance was down another 8% to 10%, following Friday's decline of 12% to 15%. I covered more Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET); they are now small positions. It has been the world's fair on the short side. Energy got hit. I covered Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB) today. Retail was broadly lower. I have no longs. My two shorts were lower -- Nordstrom (JWN) down $1.20 and Foot Locker (FL) down $1.50. Continued nice gains. Old tech fell, with IBM (IBM) down $3 and Intel (INTC), Cisco (CSCO) and Microsoft (MSFT) were down one side or the other of 2%. Biotech was a biowreck. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down another $8 to $241;  I cautioned on the sector at $285 a few weeks ago when some were talking "breakout." Ag equipment with a disproportionate position in England and the EU was lower. Autos, too, got hurt by Brexit's fumes. *(T) FANG was mixed, with Tesla (TSLA) up $4.50 and weakness in the rest of the abbreviation. In individual stocks, DuPont (DD), my fav long, was down $2.40 as it consolidates a multi-month advance. Potash (POT) was down $1, Twitter (TWTR) off 70 cents, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) down $1.40 and Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) off $1.20. I plan to add to TWTR, HIG and OAK tomorrow. Apple (AAPL) moves back down toward $92. In sectors, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) slipped a bit (I covered and took it off my Best Ideas List today) and Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) got schmeissed (down $1.55) as cyclicals were quite weak. Here are some value-added columns on our site today: El Capitan is tempted.  General Motors (GM) is moving toward support, according to Gary Morrow's chart view. I covered much of my short today. Tim Melvin is keeping his head.  Rev will be reactionary and sees no reason to rush into the markets. Brian Sozzi on what Nike (NKE) has to show; I remain short sneakers via FL.

The Big Chill (Part Deux) Real Money Pro($)

As I wrote in my previous missive, the Brexit vote's rejection of the 1990s/early 2000s globalization trend reminds me of the 1983 film The Big Chill's look at how the world changed between the 1960s and the 1980s.
I'm trading around some positions, as I often do.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened. Oil rose by 97 cents to more than $50 a barrel. Gold fell by $10 and closed at $1,260. Again, the $1,300 level has proven to be a formidable resistance point. Agricultural commodities continued for the second day in a row to be under pressure: wheat -4, corn -5.5, soybean -14 and oats unchanged. Lumber +2.50. Bonds fell in price and rose in yield, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) down $1.50. The 10-year U.S. note yield increased by nearly six basis points to 1.745%.The long bond's yield also climbed by nearly six basis points to 2.55%. The 2s/10s spread expanded by two basis points to 96 basis points. Municipals got hit and closed-end muni bond funds were lower in price. However, the high-yield bond market was strong, with iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) up 62 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) up 26 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) rose by nine cents to $14.46 a share. Banks gapped higher, as rates rose. Stress test results shortly. Brokerages were strong. Insurance stocks rose, with large gains in Lincoln National (LNC), MetLife (MET) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B). My long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) was up $1. Retail was broadly higher but marginally so. My two shorts underperformed; Foot Locker (FL) was lower and Nordstrom (JWN) was up only slightly. Old tech was stronger, with IBM (IBM) up $2.50. Auto stocks rose after being weak for several trading day. Energy stocks followed the commodity higher. Ag equipment was strong, led by a $1.80 gain for Caterpillar (CAT). Media underperformed with small (pennies) gains at Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS). (T)FANG rallied from morning weakness. Amazon (AMZN) led the parade, but Tesla (TSLA) remains under pressure. In individual stocks, Potash (POT) gained a beaner and Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) and HIG almost did as well. Twitter (TWTR), a recent buy, closed over $17 a share and now is up more than 15% from my buy about a week ago. My fav large-cap, DuPont (DD), was up $1.20 and looks like it has a mission to reach $70 a share. Here are some value-added contributions on our site: Jim "El Capitan" goes beyond Brexit.  Mark Sebastian also chimes in on Brexit.  Carley Garner on gold.  Rev Shark on Friday's "action." 

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened today against the euro. Crude oil was down 50 cents to $48.40. Gold was up a beaner to $1,288. Agricultural commodities were mixed: wheat -4.50, corn +6.50, soybean flat, and oats +1. Lumber -5.25. Bonds were flat after a sharp rise in the early going. The 10-year yield and long-bond yield are unchanged. The 2s/10s spread is flat at about 92 basis points. Municipals were higher in price and closed-end muni funds continued to glow. High yield (I am watching closely, see above) was down. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) might be breaking down; it was down 12 cents on the day to $14.55. If I held, I would sell. Banks are worrisome as I wrote, with losses of 2% to 3% for the money centers. I remain short Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), which is working; it was down 34 cents, or nearly 1.5% lower. There were so many bank bulls on the recent rise; they have now disappeared and have been silenced. Again, stay independent in thought and mostly throw out the price followers who are trying to sell you something! Insurance was broadly lower. Life stocks Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) schmeissed,  but my long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) is still outperforming the market and its peer group. I am watching this one closely. Brokerages were awful and rolling over. Retail was weak. My short Nordstrom (JWN) was down by $1; it's my only position in the space. Home Depot (HD) was off $2.50 and conspicuously on the downside. Autos are unsound and running out of gas as previously mentioned. Energy shares were lower, but not materially. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down nearly $2. There was no large individual security drops, but a broad-based decline. I have been out of the sector for almost two weeks now. Media was better, led by my short Disney (DIS), up 80-plus cents. Comcast (CMCSA) was up a quarter. Staples were stronger, hurting my Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) short, though it is small in size. Ag equipment was down fractionally. (T)FANG was mixed. Tesla (TSLA) saw profit taking. Netflix (NFLX) reversed from a good gain to a small profit. In individual stocks, my long fav DuPont (DD) suffering from profit taking; I am eyeing the low $60s to replace what I recently sold off. I'm still medium in size, though. Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) continued to slide a bit today, but iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) was up a few pennies. I would short any strength. Sector exposure: XLP up, Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) down (more!). Here are some value-added columns on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on inspiration from Jay Leno.  Tim Melvin on funds with attractive yields.   Bobby Lang on volatility. (I will have more on the subject tomorrow.)  Jim Collins, Tim's illegitimate son, on the whacky bond market.  Roger Arnold on "The Paradox of Thrift" -- a frequent topic of mine.
Apple (AAPL) Coca-Cola (KO) Fastenal (FAST) The iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWU) Lincoln National (LNC) MetLife (MET) Starbucks (SBUX) Walt

Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

It was Groundhog Day on Wall Street again. We finished down, but well off of the session lows. I did no trading. The U.S. dollar weakened. Oil, stronger in the morning, weakened in

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