Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB)

KMB (NYSE:Consumer Non-Durables) EQUITY
$128.45
pos +0.53
+0.41%
Today's Range: 127.64 - 129.13 | KMB Avg Daily Volume: 1,869,200
Last Update: 05/27/16 - 4:01 PM EDT
Volume: 1,292,925
YTD Performance: 0.49%
Open: $127.93
Previous Close: $127.92
52 Week Range: $103.04 - $138.76
Oustanding Shares: 360,127,819
Market Cap: 45,811,859,855
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for KMB
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 1 1 2 2
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 6 7 8 8
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rec. 2.63 2.67 2.55 2.55
Latest Dividend: 0.92
Latest Dividend Yield: 2.90%
Dividend Ex-Date: 06/08/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 42.25
Price Earnings Comparisons:
KMB Sector Avg. S&P 500
42.25 42.50 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-2.57% 16.39% 23.58%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -5.70 -0.10 -0.04
Net Income -33.20 -0.40 -0.16
EPS -31.40 -0.40 -0.14
Earnings for KMB:
EBITDA 3.93B
Revenue 18.59B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (06/16) Qtr (09/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $1.49 $1.56 $6.10 $6.55
Number of Analysts 4 3 7 6
High Estimate $1.51 $1.58 $6.16 $6.63
Low Estimate $1.46 $1.55 $6.04 $6.49
Prior Year $1.41 $1.51 $5.76 $6.10
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 5.32% 3.53% 5.95% 7.27%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
U.S. companies with big overseas presence are getting hit.
Sky-High Price-to-Earnings Ratios. Wall Street might historically view consumer staples as "defensive," but many have offensive valuations these days. Those have stemmed from an extended low-interest-rate period (which is likely to end shortly), coupled with the incorrect perception that consumer staples' profits will be immune to the soft global-economic backdrop. Yields That Won't Provide Adequate Support. Consumer staples' dividend yields no longer provide the safety net that many investors believe. As we saw with Campbell's, a good dividend yield provides little protection when fundamentals sour -- as they likely will for many firms in the more-competitive global backdrop that I expect. Inflation is rising, and with that will inevitably come higher interest rates, meaning that the sector's current yields will provide little support. Emerging-Market Profit Pressures. Don't view Campbell's as an outlier. Generic competition, a potentially strengthening U.S. dollar and higher input costs due to rising commodities prices all represent continuing profit threats for the sector. P/E/G Rates are Elevated. P/E/G rates -- or stock valuations relative to the potential for reduced or pressured secular profit growth -- serve as another significant headwind for consumer staples. In fact, the sector's P/E ratios are obscene in certain cases relative to expected five-year growth rates, as this chart shows: Company                              P/E*               Div. Yield         5-year Expected EPS Gain Campbell                              27.1               2.08%           &nb

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

Markets were oversold. The S&P 500 held the 50-day moving average. The put/call ratio popped back up.  From here, the key might be to watch what other asset classes rally with e

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

Inside day in the markets, at least as of 3 p.m. ET (in the time that it took to write "Takeaways," the S&P rose by seven handles). Ss (S&P) over Ns (Nasdaq). The U.S. dollar weakened after the Fed's comments. Crude oil advanced by $1.13 to $45.17. Gold rose by $4.60 to $1,248. Agricultural commodities gave back on price. Wheat -3.25, corn -3.25, soybean -3.00 and oats +2.50. Lumber +9.20. Bonds erupted higher in price, lower in yield after above. That is why I re-shorted Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) at $23.73. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by an outsize seven basis points to 1.86% and the long bond by five basis points to 2.70%. Municipals were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds advanced ... again. Big mistake selling them earlier in the year on my part! The high-yield bond market moved higher. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) paused and was flat. Banks experienced some early strength, sold off on the Fed's comments and are beginning to rally from the lows. Brokerages were stronger. Life insurance was unchanged despite the rise in bond prices. Retail was stronger across the board. Former long Macy's (M) was up 45 cents and short Nordstrom (JWN) was up 55 cents. Energy stocks rallied with crude oil. Schlumberger (SLB) rose $1.63 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) was up $1.00. Some positive dividend moves within the space. Old tech was quiet, though IBM (IBM) was up $1.60. Biotech was down most of the day, but experiencing a late day rally. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down $1.70. My biotech basket of speculative stocks still appears to be rolling over. Consumer non-durables thrived, as Kimberly-Clark (KMB) bounced from recent weakness and Procter & Gamble (PG) was up 55 cents. Short Coca-Cola (KO) was fractionally higher. Autos were dead flat. Ag equipment was higher, with Caterpillar (CAT) up $1.15 and Deere (DE) up $1.50. (T)FANG continues weak, led by AMZN, down $9, and Tesla (TSLA), down $2.60. Trade of the Week short iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) continues to rally, up 30 cents. NOSH was mixed; Starbucks (SBUX), a favorite short, continues to decline, down 72 cents. It appears to be breaking down from the earnings report last week. Mine is a minority view. CRABBY was helped by Radian Group (RDN), which had an earnings beat and some good credit data (more to come later in the week). In miscellaneous names, Twitter (TWTR) was a twit and Potash (POT) rallied by 40 cents after Monsanto (MON) was upgraded yesterday. Apple was down between $6 and $7 most of the day. Here are some good columns from RealMoneyPro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on the market, which is impervious to Apple.  Apple mea culpa (I respect his candidness) from Mark Sebastian.  Shad Gad "And the Pharoahs" on how to beat the pros.  James Passeri on Mr. Ackman Goes to Washington.  Jack and Jim on Twitter. 
We look for further softness in this stock.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The Russell Index looks like machines/algos have targeted it -- in either direction! Weird action. The U.S. dollar declined. Crude fell by $1.03 to $42.70. Nat gas declined by seven cents. Gold rallied by $9.10 to $1,239. Agricultural commodities continued their price rise: wheat +3.50, corn +8.25, soybeans +13.50. Lumber +4.50. Bonds were relatively quiet, with little change in the 10- and 30-year bond yields. Municipals were unchanged. Closed-end municipal bond funds were down on the day -- I would be out of the space as rates might now be moving higher ... finally. I am considering going long ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF), non-levered iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) short. High-yield bonds were lower. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was flat. Banks sold off, but not materially so. I think this trend could continue. Gun to my head, Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) short will work for a trade now. Life insurance got schmeissed -- the object of my disaffection. Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) down large fractions. Brokerages were weak. Morgan Stanley (MS) down 20 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) down $1.95. Autos sold off.  Oil stocks suffered from the commodity's weakness. Schlumberger (SLB) was off $1.75 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) down 80 cents. (Good for me). Retail stocks were mixed. Media mixed. Comcast (CMCSA) was down a dime and Disney (DIS) was up 75 cents. Biotech down. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down $2.40. Allergan (AGN) turned lower and Valeant (VRX) was off more than 2%. My biotech basket seems like it is rolling over. A lot of people buying this group on the basis of it being oversold; I wouldn't, but that's just me. Consumer staples were lower, led by a downgrade of Kimberly-Clark (KMB). Cyclicals are showing some tired action -- General Electric (GE), as an example. In miscellaneous stocks:  Potash (POT) reversed lower from early strength, Twitter (TWTR) is still for twits and Radian Group (RDN) was stable. Oaktree Capital Group (OAK), a fixture on my Best Ideas List, is holding well.  Caterpillar (CAT) was down $1.50 on a dumb upgrade (my view!) from Goldman Sachs. My fav large cap, DuPont (DD), is holding well after outsize gains this year. (T)FANG was mixed, with Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA) -- my two shorts -- down $2.35 and $1.90, respectively. Apple (AAPL) continues weak -- down 60 cents -- after multiple lower lows. I plan to stay short this "value trap" into tomorrow afternoon's earnings report. NOSH nothing. CRABBY nothing, either. Here is some good stuff on RealMoneyPro today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer (fresh off his Seder) on the Four Plagues. And Jim on the market's rotation.  Ed Ponsi "Scheme" on higher rates.   Tim Melvin, PE manager.  Daniel Dicker goes Mr. T on us.  Carolyn Boroden sees some resistance.
The bears and the bulls are finely balanced heading into a busy period. 

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened modestly. I discussed our currency this morning.  The price of crude oil dropped by 77 cents and closed at $43.40 Natural gas was flat. Gold was quiet, losing $3.60 to $1,250. Agricultural commodities trade as though they are HFT (high-frequency trading) influenced! -- wheat -11.00, corn -11.50, soybean +9.25 and oats -5.50. Lumber was flat. Bonds were lower, with iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) down 65 cents. The 10-year U.S. note rose by two basis points to 1.86% and the 30-year by three basis points to 2.69%. Municipals were flat. Closed-end municipal bond funds were mixed. High yield was down. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) rose nicely, by eight cents to $13.72. Though down on the day, banks held up well considering the recent strength; however, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) was down by 74 cents. I should have stayed with yesterday's Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) short. I will revisit as I expect a correction of plus or minus 5% in these names post haste. Brokerages gave back recent gains. Morgan Stanley (MS) was down 15 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) down $2.00 Retail was lower, with Wal-Mart (WMT), Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) all down, but by less than a beaner each. Under Armour (UA) was an upside standout. Old tech, except IBM (IBM), which was up $2.62, was lower, led by Microsoft following its earnings report. I will dissect Mr. Softee tonight and I am awaiting the conference call in a few minutes. My feedback will be discussed tomorrow. Ag equipment was lower, with Caterpillar (CAT) down 72 cents and Deere (DE) down $1.71. Staples continued their schmeissing -- is the safety trade is over? Good sale earlier in the week in former long Procter & Gamble (PG), which was down 74 cents; it is down almost $3 since my exit two days ago. Best Ideas short Coca-Cola (KO) continues to give gas and Kimberly-Clark (KMB) got whacked by $3.50. Media was lower, but Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS) only by a half a buck or so each. Biotech was a standout; iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) rose by a bit over 2%, led by Celgene (CELG) and Gilead Sciences (GILD). Former spec holding Intrexon (XON) was down $10 after a negative Seeking Alpha report. I expect more big losses ahead in secondary and tertiary biotech names. (T)FANG got declawed, led by Alphabet and its after-hours miss. NOSH was ouch, led by the SBUX miss. CRABBY was also in a rotten mood. In individual names, fav DuPont (DD) was a standout on the upside, rising 60 cents. Potash (POT) was up a dime, and Twitter (TWTR) was unchanged. Here are some great contributions on today's RealMoneyPro site: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer sings Bob Dylan (The Times They are a Changin').  Tim "Not Phil or Judy" Collins on how to play MSFT and GOOGL.  Dick Arms on the market -- always a good read.  Robert "Not Rita" Moreno likes McDonald's (MCD) on the short side; I like this contrary technical take. (The stock is loved by everyone!)  Interesting observation from Brian Sozzi on the message on emerging growth markets delivered by PepsiCo (PEP) and Coca-Cola. 

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened a bit today. Consumer nondurables felt the pain of the currency rise and the KO miss.  I sold my long Procter & Gamble (PG) and took it off my Best Ideas List today.  PepsiCo (PEP), Kimberly-Clark (KMB) and KO all were weak. Crude oil rallied despite fundamental news that could have taken it lower. It was $1.43 to $42.51 in what looks like a massive short squeeze. Nat gas was flat. Gold was unchanged at $1,253. Agricultural commodities were through the roof following days of strengthening prices: wheat +12.50, corn +6.25, soybean +22.00 and oats +10.50. Food inflation lays ahead, Janet Yellen. Bonds were lower in price and higher in yield. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was down $1.05. The 10-year U.S. note yield rose by four basis points to 1.82% and the long bond by the same amount to 2.63%. Municipals flat-lined, but the sprint for yield resulted in more gains for closed-end municipal bond funds. High yield improved. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up 27 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 11 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was three pennies to the good. Banks were tentative midday but are at their highs for the day now. Brokerages are up, with Morgan Stanley (MS) up 50 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) up $2.90. Life insurance responded to the drop in bond prices as reinvestment opportunities are seen expanding, though rates remain very low. Energy stocks were higher with the commodity advance. Schlumberger (SLB) was up $1.80 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) up $1.13. Retail was mixed, with short Nordstrom (JWN) the strongest to the upside (up $1.45). Wal-Mart (WMT) faltered a bit. Prior long Macy's (M) was up 40 cents. Media was mixed. Disney (DIS) was up 70 cents but Comcast (CMCSA) was down 85 cents. Ag equipment, led by Deere (DE), which was up $2.25, was again strong. However, Caterpillar (CAT) slowed down after recent gains. Old tech was led to the upside by IBM (IBM), rising $2.65 from pressure earlier in the week. Biotech was unchanged as Allergan (AGN) rallied and so did spec Intrexon (XON). Nothing much in my former Biotech Basket to record. Autos continued ahead for the third day in a row after a Barron's cover story. Ford (F) was up a quarter and General Motors (GM) up 40 cents. (T)FANG was led by Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN). Netflix (NFLX) had a dead-cat bounce. NOSH was uneventful, as was CRABBY. In individual stocks, Twitter (TWTR) warmed up by 55 cents and Potash (POT) poked above $18 after yesterday's strong gain. DuPont (DD) was hit by profit taking and was down 75 cents. Very little trading today as I marvel at the unrelenting advance. Here are some great columns from RealMoneyPro today: Ed Ponsi "Scheme" on how to play higher crude oil prices.  Carley Garner on livestock prices.  Tim Melvin on energy-exposed banks.  RevShark sees slim long pickings.  The Divine Ms. M on market rotat

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