Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG)

HOG (NYSE:Automotive) EQUITY
pos +0.00
Today's Range: 55.65 - 56.61 | HOG Avg Daily Volume: 2,631,000
Last Update: 07/02/15 - 4:02 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: -14.99%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $56.10
52 Week Range: $53.04 - $70.41
Oustanding Shares: 208,135,149
Market Cap: 11,661,812,398
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for HOG
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 6 6 6 7
Moderate Buy 2 2 2 2
Hold 8 8 8 7
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rec. 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.00
Latest Dividend: 0.31
Latest Dividend Yield: 2.21%
Dividend Ex-Date: 05/26/15
Price Earnings Ratio: 14.22
Price Earnings Comparisons:
HOG Sector Avg. S&P 500
14.22 14.20 26.10
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-8.22% -17.36% 22.31%
Revenue 5.60 0.17 0.05
Net Income 15.10 0.54 0.15
EPS 18.30 0.52 0.15
Earnings for HOG:
Revenue 6.23B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (06/15) Qtr (09/15) FY (12/15) FY (12/16)
Average Estimate $1.41 $0.85 $3.99 $4.38
Number of Analysts 12 11 14 14
High Estimate $1.50 $0.97 $4.14 $4.74
Low Estimate $1.23 $0.70 $3.88 $3.80
Prior Year $1.62 $0.69 $3.88 $3.99
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -12.86% 23.85% 2.85% 9.70%
Chart Benchmark Timeframe
Average Frequency Indicator Chart
Scale Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
Jun 11, 2015 | 7:22 AM EDT
HOG was downgraded from Outperform to Neutral, Wedbush said. Checks suggest lower demand in April and May. 

That Was the Week That Was Real Money Pro($)

Let's review.
The stock is at its cheapest valuation since its absolute bottom in 2011.
The stock price could easily be 25% higher by the spring of 2016. 
The stock price could easily be 25% higher by the spring of 2016. 
Household formations are a factor, but this is still perplexing.
The $56-to-$54 area will present an important opportunity.
U.S. stocks were mixed on Tuesday.
Above all, today's disclosure of a rogue trader's role in the Flash Crash of five years ago is another nail in the coffin of investors' view that the market represents a level playing field.  Today's EPS reports were unimpressive, especially in the higher profile arena (Under Armour (UA), Dupont (DD), Harley-Davidson (HOG), etc.) The market had every reason to sell off today -- the "bid" remains ever present. Bond yields have risen back to a "resistance" area.  I have been an earlier proponent of shorting German Bunds. Naturally, I believe that Bill Gross is correct in his view. While the market doesn't feel "heavy" yet, it feels weird (don't ask me to explain that!) and unnatural. Nevertheless, I feel oddly comfortable having expanded my net short exposure.

The Book of Boockvar Real Money Pro($)

The euro and Greek securities are lower on a Bloomberg story that the staff of the ECB are looking into raising the haircuts that the Bank of Greece gives securities that Greek banks bring to them for repo financing. This would be a step of pulling back the exposure of the Emergency Liquidity Assistance program IF the Greeks don't come to an agreement with the EU and IMF. The ELA from the Bank of Greece is the only funding source they have right now. The story went on to say this, "to restrict or veto ELA funding, which is provided at the Greek central bank's own risk with consent from Frankfurt, a two-thirds majority of the Governing Council is necessary. A growing minority is opposed to continuing to provide the assistance indefinitely, one of the people said." In response to the story, the National Bank of Greece is down by 8% and Alpha Bank is lower by 4% (dragging down the European bank stock index) with the overall Athens stock market down by about 3% to the lowest level since September '12 on a closing basis. On the ongoing negotiations, an EU spokesman today said that "incremental progress is being made." Most of us assume that an agreement will be had only because the potential chaos that would follow if one is not is something all would want to avoid. As stubborn as Tsipras and his Marxist government is, I don't think he wants to be personally responsible for Greece leaving the eurozone. It was reported today that Greek government debt as a % of GDP is up to 177% vs. 175% in 2013. The needle to be thread maybe is an inevitable default for Greece while staying in the eurozone.

Columnist Conversations

...don't forget about China. The Greek vote "no" is only one issue to consider Monday morning.
Well it looks like Greece has voted no in its referendum and done so overwhelmingly. I have been saying for w...
I will take the other side of that: a "no" vote while providing a rather defined path for what's next for Gree...
Note: Polls in #Greece close at 7 p.m. (12:00 EDT), with the first official projection of the result expected ...


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