Ford Motor Co (F)

F (NYSE:Automotive) EQUITY
pos +0.00
Today's Range: 12.31 - 12.48 | F Avg Daily Volume: 37,272,100
Last Update: 01/20/17 - 4:01 PM EST
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: 1.90%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $12.43
52 Week Range: $11.02 - $14.22
Oustanding Shares: 3,973,714,623
Market Cap: 49,393,272,764
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for F
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 3 3 4 3
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 9 7 7 8
Moderate Sell 1 1 1 1
Strong Sell 1 1 1 1
Mean Rec. 2.73 2.69 2.57 2.71
Latest Dividend: 0.20
Latest Dividend Yield: 4.83%
Dividend Ex-Date: 01/18/17
Price Earnings Ratio: 6.87
Price Earnings Comparisons:
F Sector Avg. S&P 500
6.87 6.20 0.00
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
3.26% 3.87% -25.18%
Revenue 3.80 0.10 0.04
Net Income 131.40 0.30 0.09
EPS 130.00 0.30 0.08
Earnings for F:
Revenue 149.56B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (12/16) Qtr (03/17) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.35 $0.44 $1.81 $1.67
Number of Analysts 8 4 10 9
High Estimate $0.41 $0.48 $1.88 $1.73
Low Estimate $0.28 $0.38 $1.75 $1.51
Prior Year $0.58 $0.68 $1.93 $1.81
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -39.87% -34.93% -6.17% -7.85%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was weaker today. Oil continues to breakdown. Down by $1.22 to $45.45 a barrel. Gold up $13.60, impressively breaking above $1,300 ($1,301). I have a medium-sized long in SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) as a hedge against continued central bank lunacy. Ag commodities: wheat up $0.03, corn down $0.02, soybeans down $0.07 and oats up $0.06. Lumber is flat. Bonds continued a reversal from yesterday morning. The 10-year U.S. note yield is 1.797%. The 2s/10s spread dropped by two basis points to 97 basis points. Municipals were well bid and closed-end muni bond funds flourished. Junk continues junky (likely related to crude's crude price fall), something I have been warning about for several days. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) down by $0.06 to $14.57. Banks rallied smartly off the lows but still off on the day. Deutsche Bank (DB) down for the sixth day in a row cant be evidence of financial stability. Talking heads love financials, I believe they are wrong, frankly. I see a "double top" in Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) and have added to my shorts. Insurance was lower, though long fav Hartford Financial (HIG) was up a few pennies. Brokerages down, but only modestly so. Impressive, considering magnitude of recent rise. Energy stocks followed crude oil lower. Autos have peaked and General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) share prices are beginning to show it. Ford broke important support at $11.60 after exhibiting a disappointing decline of 12% year-over-year monthly shipments. Retail seemed to stabilize after recent schmeissing. A few more days could indicate that the share price declines have fully discounted the weak fundies. (Note: The weather is finally getting cooler!) Old tech was weak, led by IBM (IBM) . Consumer staples were stable/staple. Consumer discretionary was mixed. Starbucks (SBUX) , Disney (DIS) . Ag equipment weak, led by core short Caterpillar (CAT) , which I have been shorting on the move into the high $80s. Now $81. Loved by media talking heads, for no apparent reason, based on business trends (weak retail dealer data).  Biotech down 1.5%. Allergan (AGN)  down $11. Here is a good conversation/video with Jim and Jack. Some of speculative biotech annihilated (see Cempra down 60% today). Big Pharma continues lower. (T)FANG breaking down, and this is potentially important. Tesla (TSLA) (on Best Ideas, short) approaching another low, Amazon (AMZN) down $20, Alphabet (GOOGL) down $17. It's never a good signpost when market leadership is rolling over badly. Apple (AAPL) with a dead fruit bounce after yesterday's shellacking.  The Mighty Oak's (Oaktree Capital (OAK) ) leaves are falling off and, frankly, after digging I don't know why. I have a call into management. Radian (RDN) approaching my buy zone of $12 to $13. I will be patient (my cost basis is $10), but I do like this as an investment for several years. My fav large-cap long, DuPont (DD)  is Du Lovely, up in a down tape. Here are some value added contributions on our site today: 1. In " Chicago Beats Cleveland and I Don't Mean the World Series," Jim "El Capitan" Cramer scores big!   2. Christopher "Not the Designer"
A signaled earnings miss by L Brands (LB) is another strike against the retail sector.
It's just as dumb to short energy companies as it is to short mining companies.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened after making an eight-month high earlier in the morning. The price of crude oil dipped by $0.67 to $49.85 a barrel. Gold rose by $12 to $1,275. Dougie likes. SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) rose $1. Ag commodities: wheat and corn rose $0.15, soybeans fell $0.02, oats fell $0.03. Lumber down $1. Bonds showed little directional trade. The 2s/10s spread flattened by one basis point to 90 basis points. Note: I added to my financial short today. Municipals were bid -- closed end muni-bond funds were little changed. Junk bonds flat-lined, as did Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) . Banks held in well. I expanded Citigroup (C) , JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) shorts. Brokerages were unchanged. Insurance was under pressure with one percent declines in shorts Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) as well as Hartford Financial Services (HIG) long. Retail under siege, led by pronounced declines in Home Depot (HD) and Lowes (LOW) . But JC Penney (JCP) , Macy's (M) , Nordstrom (JWN) and others also fell. Other consumer discretionary (e.g. Starbucks (SBUX) and Disney (DIS) ) were under-performers. Old tech was uninspiring with small price changes. Autos were a big disappointment after the General Motors (GM) beat. I went from medium-sized to small yesterday. Biotech still soft with Allergan (AGN) and some speculative names "on tilt." But big pharma was strong, absolutely and relatively. Consumer staples led by Procter & Gamble (PG) (great EPS report). Long Campbell Soup (CPB) inched higher (+$0.32). (T)FANG was wobbly, with all five components lower. In individual stocks, profit taking in DuPont (DD) (after a good quarter). Same with Radian (RDN) . Oaktree Capital (OAK) managed to lift by a nickel after a good day on Monday. Here are some rich and value-added contributions on our site today: 1. Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on a worrisome weak market sector - home improvement. 2. Jack Mohr "research" on whether Apple might join the AT&T/Time Warner merger. As usual, solid analysis from Jack. 3. Rev Shark on market apathy.  4. Though I am not in agreement, Mike "Stormin'" Norman on the national debt.  5.
Ford shares are below the 40-week moving average line, but it looks like the slope of the line is flattening.
Retail is a conspicuous loser this morning after bad misses at Masco (MAS) , Sherwin-Williams (SHW) , Whirlpool (WHR) and by several restaurant chains.
The U.S. dollar strengthened (as shareholders of Kimberly Clark (KMB) rudely found out today). The price of crude oil suffered but off of the day's lows. Gold fell by $3.40. No oomph for now in precious metals. Ag commodities weakened. Wheat down $0.011, corn down $0.375, soybeans up $0.775 and oats down $0.06. Lumber was flat. For the first day in the last four or five days, bonds were lower in price and higher in yield. Intermediate and long yields rose by two to three basis points. The 2s/10s spread rose by one basis point to nearly 92 basis points. Municipals got hit but closed end muni bond funds were slightly higher in price. Junk was flat. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) diverged, up $0.08. Banks continued to wander higher and now sit at multi month highs. Insurance advanced. Long fav Hartford Financial (HIG) , +1%. But so were my shorts, Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) , up a similar amount. Brokerages mixed. Diversified financial doing better -- led by long fav Oaktree Capital (OAK) . Old tech behaved like new tech -- iShares S&P NA Tech. Sec. Idx. Fd. ETF (IGM)  , Comcast (CSCO) , Microsoft (MSFT) markedly higher. As mentioned above, autos were in second gear today. Biotech continues to disappoint. Allergan (AGN) weaker and value traps Gilead Sciences (GILD) and Celgene (CELG) flat to down. Spec biotech got hit. Energy stocks flat-lined. Retail was on sale, again JC Penney (JCP) conspicuously weak (down $0.25). (T)FANG the world's fair Only Netflix (NFLX) flat. Here are some value added contributions on the site today: 1. Jim "El Capitan" Cramer says yuck to AT&T (T) - Time Warner (TWX) proposal. 2. Jeremy LaKosh chimes in on the merger. 3. Bret
There finally appears to be a growing recognition that the seasonally adjusted annual rate of car sales has peaked. Indeed, I believe my negative view of a peak in auto sales has now become consensus. The stocks (General Motors (GM) and Action Alerts PLUS holding Ford
Long-term investors could make some money at this low valuation, but it may take a while.


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