Ford Motor Co (F)

F (NYSE:Automotive) EQUITY
$12.47
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 12.38 - 12.51 | F Avg Daily Volume: 35,859,900
Last Update: 02/24/17 - 4:00 PM EST
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: 3.54%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $12.56
52 Week Range: $11.07 - $14.22
Oustanding Shares: 3,974,297,169
Market Cap: 49,917,172,443
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for F
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 4 3 3 3
Moderate Buy 2 1 1 1
Hold 8 9 7 7
Moderate Sell 0 1 1 1
Strong Sell 1 1 1 1
Mean Rec. 2.47 2.73 2.69 2.69
Latest Dividend: 0.20
Latest Dividend Yield: 4.78%
Dividend Ex-Date: 01/18/17
Price Earnings Ratio: 10.92
Price Earnings Comparisons:
F Sector Avg. S&P 500
10.92 6.30 30.70
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
5.55% 0.40% -17.15%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue 3.80 0.10 0.04
Net Income 131.40 0.30 0.09
EPS 130.00 0.30 0.08
Earnings for F:
EBITDA 16.03B
Revenue 149.56B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (03/17) Qtr (06/17) FY (12/17) FY (12/18)
Average Estimate $0.44 $0.46 $1.64 $1.74
Number of Analysts 6 5 10 8
High Estimate $0.49 $0.52 $1.70 $2.00
Low Estimate $0.33 $0.42 $1.55 $1.59
Prior Year $0.68 $0.52 $1.76 $1.64
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -35.29% -11.54% -6.93% 6.46%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands

Credit Is Thrown Back to 2005 Real Money Pro($)

The 2005-2006 period may be instructive for what 2017 may bring.
Marine Le Pen becomes Le President of France. The Far Right wins in The Netherlands as Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom wins the general election. The anti-euro far right Alternative for Germany (AfD) raises anti-immigrant feelngs in their country. Though not building a majority, AfD forms political coalitions and its influence grows disarmingly strong into the October 2017 election. Scotland becomes independent.  Also-Ran #5: Gold Shines: Domestic strife/chaos and an intensification of conflict between the new administration toward Iran and China result in investors and traders seeking protection in a period of heightened political risk. Unexpectedly -- at least based on the yellow metal's continued downtrend in prices over the last several years -- gold goes from goat to hero. Post-Mortem Kew-Forest School in Queens (Where's Donald "The Dude" Trump?)  Some final words. My outlook for 2017 is more gloomy than in years. To me, the biggest surprises are (1) the abundance of complacent sheep that populate our financial markets today, (2) the rapidity in which the bloom comes off the Trump flower next year, and (3) that the market actually may do what is unexpected in 2017. The Republican Party becomes divided and Trump's policy support loosens. Even the newly elected president's "A Team of Rivals" cabinet with vastly different philosophies and backgrounds becomes splintered, full of tension and conflicted, much like an episode of "The Apprentice." Unlike President Lincoln (who neither lacked for self-confidence nor needed to be the only voice in the room) and his ornery set of advisers, Trump's management style of an "Apprentice-like" administration does not produce constructive and cohesive policy. With little strategic vision and a limited ability to effectively govern, the Trump administration's popularity quickly wanes as the trade-off from a slower growth world to a late-cycle policy experiment to stimulate growth fails. Off of Twitter, absent regular press conferences and the delay/failure of policy, Donald Trump by year-end 2017 will be less ubiquitous and harder to find than he has been for the last 18 months and more like Where's Waldo? (see picture above -- can you find the young Trump?) All of which gets me back to the three questions that I have asked myself every morning over the last two to three years. These questions seem more appropriate to ask today than ever: In a paperless and cloudy world, are investors and citizens as safe as the markets assume we are? In a flat, networked and interconnected world, is it even possible for America to be an "oasis of prosperity" and a driver or engine of global economic growth? With the G-8's geopolitical coordination at an all-time low, how slow and inept will the reaction be if the wheels do come off? -- Doug's Daily Diary, I'm Bearish in Word and Deed (March 24, 2016) Think about these questions as you approach investing in 2017 and consider embracing the contrary and even some of my "probable improbables" for a portion of your invested assets. Risk happens fast in 2017.
On cue, China says it plans to slap a penalty on an unidentified U.S. auto manufacturer for monopolistic behavior. 
The charts suggest that a pullback may be beginning so here are two ways to benefit from that.
I have covered today's bank shorts -- for a small loss.   I have had an excellent 2016 and since I can't explain today's gain .... …

Covering Shorts in Auto Sector Real Money Pro($)

While "Peak Autos" seems very much on schedule, the notion of a cyclical peak in auto industry shipments has now been materially accepted by the consensus. Auto stocks have been consistent and serial (absolute and relative) market under-performers over the last few years of market advances -- anticipating and ultimately discounting the "Peak Autos" thesis. Though automobile industry profits are likely to be lower than consensus expectations for 2016-17, valuations in today's (broader) market of expanding price earnings multiples are low and have been moving ever lower in 2016. Stock prices and relative PE multiples fo
Automakers used to spending billions on R&D want to develop their own self-driving systems. Tech giants will have to work hard to convince them to change their minds.
It can take many months or quarters before the market recognizes the value of a downtrodden name.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar has weakened considerably. The price of crude oil was down by about two bits to $51.45. Gold fell by another $4 to $1,174. Ag commodities got a lift: wheat up $0.04, corn up $0.11, soybeans up $0.16, oats down $0.15. Lumber down $2. Bonds, the object of my affection today ("Trade of the Week"), reversed from early morning lows. After yields rose by more than 4 basis points on the 10-year, the close was relatively flat. TLT slipped $1.20 from Friday's close, ending the day slightly higher. Bravo! Municipal bonds sold off. But closed-end muni-bond funds got a lift (e.g., Eaton Vance Municipal Incm 2028 Term (ETX) and Blackrock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust (BBN) ) -- hard to explain why, though! The 2s/10s spread dropped by two basis points to 127 basis points. Banks, stated simply, are continuing to be the "world's fair" -- regardless of what rates do. Short Bank of America (BAC) , Citigroup (C) and JP Morgan Chase (JPM) (all small). Brokerages bullish -- led by Goldman Sachs (GS) (on a late HSBC (HSBC) buy upgrade today, seriously??!!!). But insurance lagged, though my long Hartford Financial (HIG) was modestly higher. Auto stocks stalled. I am still small short General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) . Retail was stronger -- with upside leadership from Nordstrom (JWN)  , Best Buy (BBY)  , Foot Locker (FL)  , Nike (NKE) and Urban Outfitters (URBN) . JC Penney (JCP)

Columnist Conversations

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