Ford Motor Co (F)

F (NYSE:Automotive) EQUITY
neg -0.02
Today's Range: 12.54 - 12.73 | F Avg Daily Volume: 36,314,500
Last Update: 01/17/17 - 4:05 PM EST
Volume: 49,017,323
YTD Performance: 4.12%
Open: $12.65
Previous Close: $12.63
52 Week Range: $11.02 - $14.22
Oustanding Shares: 3,973,714,623
Market Cap: 50,188,015,688
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for F
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 3 3 4 3
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 9 7 7 8
Moderate Sell 1 1 1 1
Strong Sell 1 1 1 1
Mean Rec. 2.73 2.69 2.57 2.71
Latest Dividend: 0.20
Latest Dividend Yield: 4.75%
Dividend Ex-Date: 01/18/17
Price Earnings Ratio: 6.98
Price Earnings Comparisons:
F Sector Avg. S&P 500
6.98 6.30 0.00
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
6.05% 3.52% -21.60%
Revenue 3.80 0.10 0.04
Net Income 131.40 0.30 0.09
EPS 130.00 0.30 0.08
Earnings for F:
Revenue 149.56B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (12/16) Qtr (03/17) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.37 $0.46 $1.82 $1.68
Number of Analysts 9 4 11 10
High Estimate $0.41 $0.53 $1.88 $1.85
Low Estimate $0.34 $0.38 $1.78 $1.51
Prior Year $0.58 $0.68 $1.93 $1.82
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -36.59% -33.09% -5.75% -7.54%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
It is way too early to place large bets on which groups will be winners and losers.

Buy Retail Real Money Pro($)

Amazon is killing the industry. Amazon's (AMZN) retail sales in the U.S. are expanding at a $10 billion annual rate. The company's retail efforts are a public service. It makes little or no money on them and with Amazon Web Services it will never need to do so. It is now even hurting the auto parts industry. CEO Jeff Bezos is constructing 30 distribution centers in the U.S. At the peak of its growth, Walmart (WMT) added one such center every two years. Near term, the AMZN threat will only get worse. It is now the nation's leading apparel merchant. Few would ever have predicted this. There may be nothing it will not sell. The problem is not the American consumer. Things are reasonably fine. Yes, insurance and other prices are rising, but employment is good and wages are rising. In Las Vegas, as an example, it is clear we are at or near full employment. Consumption in the U.S. by foreigners, which counts in GDP, is awful. The U.S. dollar is strong. This is killing the luxury sector, especially in Miami and New York City. At the margin, this is impactful. On the other hand in NYC, while shopping at Christmas for luxury goods you may be able to hear English in the stores. In the last few years it has been difficult. It will also be less crowded, but for out-of-town guests, hotel prices may get back down to earth. The weather has been good, and that's awful for retail.September was the warmest in 35 years and October was probably close. In Chicago, at least until Nov. 15, temperatures will remain above 55 degrees. This is killing the apparel business and hurting other businesses as traffic for shopping is down. Fitbit's (FIT) warning on Thursday tells the tale. This also will affect natural gas and heating oil demand. Housing may be peaking. Sales of durables (as seen at Whirlpool (WHR) , PPG (PPG) and others) are probably peaking, as is the housing turnover that drives them. In Miami/Dade County, the epicenter of housing speculation, we are back to a three-year supply of condos at the current rate of sale. Some bad paper is undoubtedly out in the market and banks are tightening credit. As one banker told a friend of mine, "Money is cheap unless you need it." If one looks at the weekly new high list of stocks, the consumer sector is suffering. There are few consumer stock 52-week highs and many at new lows. Much of this malaise is now beginning to be priced into the sector, where multiples are well below historic ranges. The worst may be priced into the stocks. For example, Macy's (M) looks like it has bottomed and it is reasonably cheap. The company reports in less than two weeks. The weather eventually will cool, though not before a lot of markdowns are taken, and the Christmas calendar is optimal. The fourth-quarter retailing comparisons are easy. Results for retailers will be out before the next Fed meeting and may impede any rate reduction. This, of course will make it tougher for the financial sector. While the "Curse of the Billy Goat" has been lifted, the "Chinese Curse" remains: "May you live in interesting times."
Look for these two stocks to head lower.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar strengthened meaningfully. Any more strength will begin to raise concerns about multinational profits. The price of crude oil expanded by $0.80 to nearly $45/barrel. But, we are still in a short term downtrend. Gold fell be $23. I rebuilt my GLD position on the weakness. We are near the 200 day moving average. Ag commodities: wheat down $0.04, corn down $0.02, soybeans up $0.08 and oats are flat. Fertilizer stocks traded well today. Lumber up $1. Bonds got schmeissed. iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond ETF (TLT) down a beaner. The 10-year U.S. note yield rose by four basis points and the long bond by three basis points. The 2s/10s spread widened by two basis points to 101 basis points. Municipals were surprisingly weaker. Closed end muni bond funds flatlined. But high yield was much stronger iShares iBoxx $ High Yid Corp Bond ETF (HYG) +$1 and SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bnd ETF (JNK) +$0.40. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) +$0.13. Banks benefited from the steepening yield curve. I shorted JPMorgan Chase (JPM) , Citigroup (C) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) late in the day. Insurance stocks were terrific. Long Hartford Financial (HIG) (large) looks like it might be breaking out. (I still owe you guys an analysis of the good quarter release from last week -- coming soon! Small shorts in Lincoln National (LNC) and Metlife (MET) , rose. Brokerages Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS) were the "world's fair." Autos advanced. I remain short (small) General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) . Retail rebounded. My only long JC Penney (JCP) was punk (up a dime after being up three times that amount earlier in the day). Biotech was +3.5%. Allergan (AGN) , Celgene (CELG) ++ Speculative biotech (Portola Pharmaceuticals (PTLA)  , SAGE Therapeutics (SAGE) , Aerie Pharmaceuticals (AERI) ,  Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR
After unpleasant October sales figures, shares are near a 52-week low.

Raising My Net Long Exposure Real Money Pro($)

Picking at longs: Campbell Soup (CPB) ($52.87) and Hartford Financial (HIG) ($43.32).   Taking off some Ford (F) and G…
After unpleasant October sales figures, shares are near a 52-week low.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar was weaker today. Oil continues to breakdown. Down by $1.22 to $45.45 a barrel. Gold up $13.60, impressively breaking above $1,300 ($1,301). I have a medium-sized long in SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) as a hedge against continued central bank lunacy. Ag commodities: wheat up $0.03, corn down $0.02, soybeans down $0.07 and oats up $0.06. Lumber is flat. Bonds continued a reversal from yesterday morning. The 10-year U.S. note yield is 1.797%. The 2s/10s spread dropped by two basis points to 97 basis points. Municipals were well bid and closed-end muni bond funds flourished. Junk continues junky (likely related to crude's crude price fall), something I have been warning about for several days. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) down by $0.06 to $14.57. Banks rallied smartly off the lows but still off on the day. Deutsche Bank (DB) down for the sixth day in a row cant be evidence of financial stability. Talking heads love financials, I believe they are wrong, frankly. I see a "double top" in Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) and have added to my shorts. Insurance was lower, though long fav Hartford Financial (HIG) was up a few pennies. Brokerages down, but only modestly so. Impressive, considering magnitude of recent rise. Energy stocks followed crude oil lower. Autos have peaked and General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) share prices are beginning to show it. Ford broke important support at $11.60 after exhibiting a disappointing decline of 12% year-over-year monthly shipments. Retail seemed to stabilize after recent schmeissing. A few more days could indicate that the share price declines have fully discounted the weak fundies. (Note: The weather is finally getting cooler!) Old tech was weak, led by IBM (IBM) . Consumer staples were stable/staple. Consumer discretionary was mixed. Starbucks (SBUX) , Disney (DIS) . Ag equipment weak, led by core short Caterpillar (CAT) , which I have been shorting on the move into the high $80s. Now $81. Loved by media talking heads, for no apparent reason, based on business trends (weak retail dealer data).  Biotech down 1.5%. Allergan (AGN)  down $11. Here is a good conversation/video with Jim and Jack. Some of speculative biotech annihilated (see Cempra down 60% today). Big Pharma continues lower. (T)FANG breaking down, and this is potentially important. Tesla (TSLA) (on Best Ideas, short) approaching another low, Amazon (AMZN) down $20, Alphabet (GOOGL) down $17. It's never a good signpost when market leadership is rolling over badly. Apple (AAPL) with a dead fruit bounce after yesterday's shellacking.  The Mighty Oak's (Oaktree Capital (OAK) ) leaves are falling off and, frankly, after digging I don't know why. I have a call into management. Radian (RDN) approaching my buy zone of $12 to $13. I will be patient (my cost basis is $10), but I do like this as an investment for several years. My fav large-cap long, DuPont (DD)  is Du Lovely, up in a down tape. Here are some value added contributions on our site today: 1. In " Chicago Beats Cleveland and I Don't Mean the World Series," Jim "El Capitan" Cramer scores big!   2. Christopher "Not the Designer"
A signaled earnings miss by L Brands (LB) is another strike against the retail sector.

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