Ford Motor Co (F)

F (NYSE:Automotive) EQUITY
$11.52
pos +0.17
+1.50%
Today's Range: 11.39 - 11.50 | F Avg Daily Volume: 37,905,400
Last Update: 02/10/16 - 10:21 AM EST
Volume: 5,532,624
YTD Performance: -19.45%
Open: $11.46
Previous Close: $11.35
52 Week Range: $10.44 - $16.74
Oustanding Shares: 3,968,630,174
Market Cap: 45,996,423,717
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for F
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 6 6 6 6
Moderate Buy 1 1 1 1
Hold 5 6 6 6
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 1 1 1 1
Mean Rec. 2.15 2.21 2.21 2.21
Latest Dividend: 0.40
Latest Dividend Yield: 5.18%
Dividend Ex-Date: 01/27/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 9.66
Price Earnings Comparisons:
F Sector Avg. S&P 500
9.66 9.70 26.96
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-20.80% -28.71% -13.36%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue -1.90 0.06 0.02
Net Income -55.40 -0.84 -0.46
EPS -55.00 -0.85 -0.46
Earnings for F:
EBITDA 11.17B
Revenue 144.08B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (03/16) Qtr (06/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.45 $0.56 $1.96 $2.03
Number of Analysts 7 6 11 10
High Estimate $0.56 $0.62 $2.00 $2.25
Low Estimate $0.31 $0.52 $1.87 $1.82
Prior Year $0.23 $0.47 $1.93 $1.96
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 96.27% 19.50% 1.41% 3.46%
Chart Benchmark Timeframe
Average Frequency Indicator Chart
Scale Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
As days go these days, stocks were on the quiet side. Up down up down up, thus far. The U.S. dollar's weakness has accelerated. Oil vey, more crude weakness -- dropping by $1.46 to $28.23. Gold fell $3.70 for a change, but the strong uptrend remains intact. As I mentioned yesterday, I had reams of analysis but I just couldn't process it in time for the ramp, which is disappointing as I was leaning to go long. In agricultural commodities, wheat, corn and soybeans were flattish. Lumber fell by 0.5%. Government bonds show limited movement, with yields down one or two basis points. Municipal bond prices and yields showed little change, though closed-end municipal bond funds showed some life, with several rising by almost 1%!. High yield was junky, with iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) down 45 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) down 21 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) continued to get hit mildly. Banks exhibited little movement. I added to Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (MS) and Bank of America (BAC) today. New Best Ideas List entrants, banks BB&T (BBT) and Regions Financial (RF), traded in the green.  Life insurance stocks were flat; Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) was up a beaner. Retail was mixed. Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) bounced back after several days of  schmeissing. Wal-Mart (WMT) saw some profit taking and apparel still is weak. Macy's (M) and Bed, Bath and Beyond (BBBY) were slightly higher, but Best Buy (BBY) was a bit lower. The continued fall from grace of Sears Holdings (SHLD) on disappointing results -- it's down around 7% today -- should be a concern to real estate and mall owners. Biotech was uninspiring after recent declines. Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) continues under distribution. Speculative Intrexon (XON) got hit. Allergan (AGN) rallied after yesterday's fall. Regarding autos: I covered my Ford (F) short, but still am short General Motors (GM), which is on my Best Ideas List as a short. Old tech was mixed, with IBM (IBM) a standout loser, down more than $2. Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC) managed small gains. Media was awful, with Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS) lower; the latter's earnings are today. Energy stocks got hit with the commodity. Though I covered Schlumberger (SLB) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) shorts for great gains, I should have held those shorts. But who knew $28 oil? Brokerages reversed after being much lower. They're now up on the day. In  "A Few of My Favorite Things," I again highlighted DuPont (DD), which is up another $1, and Procter & Gamble (PG), which is flat. (T)FANG, the object of my scorn in yesterday's opener, had a dead-cat bounce that was unimpressive by any standard. Amazon (AMZN) is still down on the day, and Tesla (TSLA) is barely higher. Alphabet (GOOGL) is unchanged.  NOSH had all four components higher, led by HD (mentioned previously). CRABBY was as flat as the desert. Radian Group (RDN) traded a tad higher, and other stocks made modest moves. Twitter (TWTR) moved ever lower, and the masochist in me purchased it in my pension plan, as I did C, BAC and MS at reasonably good prices. As mentioned, I added to a number of existing longs and re-established a SPY long rental and added a new iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) long. I likely will end the day between small and medium net long. It's lonely being long -- hopefully, my buys become green.

Ford Short Now Covered Real Money Pro($)

I am still a believer in Peak Autos, but shares of Ford (F) have begun to discount this likelihood.
In other words, these seemingly cheap stocks are actually very expensive. 
Again, I am endeavoring to be opportunistic (trading) in a market that is fragile,  too volatile and unpredictable to be comfortable with an abundance of many longer-term investments. At the bottom this afternoon, things looked dreadful. It was not easy to make a long trading rental and add to existing shorts. The S&P 500 ended at 1853, very close to my fair market value of 1860. The U.S. dollar weakened a bit after a five day period of consolidating against the euro. Bonds dropped by nearly 10 basis points in yield at the intermediate- and longer-term maturities. Non taxables were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds were slightly higher on the day. High yield was junky, reflecting systemic concerns in the European Union and China (large reserve pull down). iShares iBoxx $ High Yield  Corporate Bond Fund (HYG) was down 91 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was down 40 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) got pulled down and traded poorly. Gold fell from its highs but still closed $32.70 to the good. Silver was up 55 cents. I had been working on a positive thesis on gold but other projects got in the way, and I blew the opportunity as the price has risen on eight out of the 10 last trading days.   In agricultural commodities, wheat got schmeissed (down eight cents) and corn was down three cents. Lumber was flat. Crude closed down 84 cents, at $30.25, but natural gas was up six cents. Energy stocks, including Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB), prospered today, despite a depressed commodity price. It might be foreshadowing better oil prices; we will see. Banks again were weaker as European institutions took a nosedive. I added to my large position. But life insurance wasn't any better, falling from the pressure of lower yields. I covered some MetLife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) shorts. Brokerages got caught in the systemic rumors and concerns and were lower on the day; I added to Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS). Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) ended the day fractionally higher. Retail that I owned wasn't half bad; Best Buy (BBY) and Bed, Bath and Beyond (BBBY) closed higher, but Macy's (M) retreated by 60 cents. That said, remodeling favs Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) continued the thrashing that accelerated on Friday. After the close, The Gap (GPS) reported that same-store sales were down 8%. However, its guidance was better than expected and the stock is rallying a small fraction after hours. Lululemon (LULU), Coach (COH) and Under Armour (UA) were all much weaker in a poor apparel space. Autos were mixed; Ford (F) was higher and General Motors (GM) lower. I wonder, after great gains on the short side, whether I am outstaying my welcome. But, I have taken down these shorts to small. Media was awful -- even good performer Comcast (CMCSA) faltered. New lows for Disney (DIS). Old tech was weak, led by Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC), but bounced off their lows along with the rest of the market. Staples were broadly higher, led by PG, which embodies the flight to safety.  Biotech was decimated. Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) was down by another $6.50 and my spec fav Intrexon (XON) was down by a beaner. Allergan (AGN) hit a new recent low at $266. (T)FANG weakness and future were chronicled in my opening missive today. The acronym was lower, but Alphabet (GOOGL) and Netflix (NFLX) managed to rise modestly. Tesla (TSLA) got hit badly (down $14), as did Facebook (FB) and, to a lesser degree, Amazon (AMZN). NOSH was starving; Nike (NKE), O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and Home Depot (HD) were down bigtime. Starbucks (SBUX) rallied off the lows to end the day flat. CRABBY was mixed, led to the downside by Citigroup (C); I added it. Disease-like laggards Potash (POT) and Twitter (TWTR), which reports Wednesday, continued to lag.  iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) -- a Best Ideas List participant as a short -- doesn't have an uptick in it.  Apple's (AAPL) strength was conspicuous , up $1.20. During the day I added to many of my existing longs and added to new banks Regions Financial (RF) and BB&T (BBT); I put them on the Best Ideas List. Again, i see banks as multiyear plays and not as short-term trades. I also covered small positions in a broad list of my core shorts, including DIS, MET and LNC. As mentioned, I day traded an aggressive position in SPY for a profit. I will continue to try to accomplish that feat. I ended the day at market neutral. For the time being and assuming no change in fundamentals, I remain a SPY buyer between the capitulation low (two Wednesdays ago at $181.25 and about $183.50) and I remain a seller on strength above $185. I know that's a pretty tight range, which likely will be resolved s
There's so much that has to go right to get to a bottom in stocks
Stocks are divorcing themselves from the fundamentals.

The End of a Nasty Day Is Near Real Money Pro($)

The market is not getting any better as we approach the last hour-plus of trading. 

Stocks Look a Little Better Real Money Pro($)

Markets have gotten a bit better since my last update, and I found one interesting, positive tidbit in this morning's jobs report.
I came in small-size short -- average cost of about $194 shorting SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -- and ended the day at market-neutral exposure. Covered my short SPY from yesterday at reasonably good levels (see Columnist Conversations). It's not about the Benjamins, it's all about the quants.  A year of surprises lies ahead, 'cause baby it's cold outside.  Watch housing, because it could be the next shoe to drop.  The U.S. dollar weakened against the euro. Gold was unchanged. I'm working on a memo on the asset class. Silver down a nickel. Oil vey. Crude oil equals schmeissburger. Down by $1.60 a barrel. In agricultural commodities, wheat up a penny, corn up two cents, soybeans up a nickel and OJ futures up $2.50. Lumber up $8.50. Bonds were the world's fair, with most maturities down by 10 basis points between five and 30 years. The 10-year yield is back down to 1.85%. My advice? Refinance! I am. Nontaxables were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds followed their asset class higher. High yield acted like stocks, junky. Near the close, iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 55 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was down 30 cents. But no worse than yesterday. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) got hit for a few pennies after a solid three-day run. Peak autos, I tell ya. General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) down by 60 cents each. Both on my Best Ideas List.  Peak Ferrari.  Retail was hit after a good run. Consumer staples weakened despite a lower currency. Old tech was crippled; a broad-based decline with Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC), IBM (IBM) and Cisco (CSCO) leading to the downside. Biotech gave back their recent gains, with primary and secondary stocks getting clipped. My spec Intrexon (XON) got punished. Banks give up all of Friday's gains. I've given my reasons for this performance. As well, there seem to be fears of a possible Sanders nod, which still seems an unlikely event. If he is the Democratic nominee, I would not be surprised to see Mike Bloomberg enter the fray. If Bloomberg did not enter, a Sanders Democratic presidential nominee likely improves the chances of a Republican presidential victory, which would be friendly to bank stocks. LIfe insurance stocks at new lows -- I gotta tell you my Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) shorts are killing it. But I am slowly adding to Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) against 'em. (T)FANG was a schmeissburgter, except stock du jour Alphabet (GOOGL). Tesla (TSLA) was down another $15 and Amazon (AMZN) another $23 and within $2 of my short cover from the other day. NOSH was broadly lower, led by O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and Home Depot (HD) to the downside. CRABBY was only slight lower, with Citigroup (C) and Allegheny (Y) down a large percentage on the day.  Radian Group (RDN) had another weak day, down a quarter of a beaner; I am still exploring under the hood Potash (POT) gave up the ghost after some stabilization. New Best Ideas long duPont (DD) had a breathtaking response to Dow Chemical's (DOW) earnings beat.   I am trading conservatively around the zero line becaus
Charts say FB is close to a sell, while AAPL is approaching a buy.

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