Dollar General Corp (DG)

pos +0.00
Today's Range: 67.09 - 68.23 | DG Avg Daily Volume: 4,166,500
Last Update: 10/21/16 - 4:04 PM EDT
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: -5.48%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $67.98
52 Week Range: $59.75 - $96.88
Oustanding Shares: 281,744,265
Market Cap: 19,152,975,135
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for DG
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 9 9 9 13
Moderate Buy 2 2 2 2
Hold 9 7 3 1
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 1 1 0 0
Mean Rec. 2.12 2.03 1.54 1.22
Latest Dividend: 0.25
Latest Dividend Yield: 1.47%
Dividend Ex-Date: 09/12/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 15.88
Price Earnings Comparisons:
DG Sector Avg. S&P 500
15.88 15.90 29.40
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-27.76% 0.56% 15.29%
Revenue 7.70 0.30 0.08
Net Income 9.40 0.20 0.07
EPS 13.20 0.40 0.11
Earnings for DG:
Revenue 20.37B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (10/16) Qtr (01/17) FY (01/17) FY (01/18)
Average Estimate $0.93 $1.47 $4.50 $4.88
Number of Analysts 11 10 12 11
High Estimate $0.98 $1.52 $4.61 $5.17
Low Estimate $0.89 $1.42 $4.40 $4.65
Prior Year $0.88 $1.30 $3.96 $4.50
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 5.79% 12.85% 13.57% 8.59%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands

The Value of a Dollar (Tree) Real Money Pro($)

Dollar Tree's 2015 purchase of Family Dollar Stores should unlock plenty of value.
The highly elusive Cleveland Research is putting the screws to Fitbit.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

 The U.S. dollar strengthened. The price of crude oil rose by $0.64 to $50.47. Gold stunk up the joint, closing down by $15 to $1,253. Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) sliced through the 200-day moving average. As I have stated, large gap downs in gold have usually taken two to three days to stabilize and begin recovering. Tomorrow could be the third day. I am still small SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) as a portfolio hedge against central bank lunacy. I want to be there but the only question is price and entry level. I suspect we are close after the two-day panic (and loss of $60/oz). Agricultural commodities: wheat down $0.09, corn down $0.07, soybeans up $0.03 and oats up $0.04. Lumber up $2.50. Bonds continued to roll over on lower prices, higher yields. The 10-year U.S. note yield rose by three basis points and closed at 1.744%. The long bond yield moved similarly. I remain large short in the iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond ETF (TLT) (which was down $0.75). It is now $7 lower than when I introduced it to my Best Ideas List (short) and wrote about A Generational Bottom in yields in July. The 2s/10s spread steepened 1.5 basis points to 89 basis points (well off of the recent 81 basis point low). Municipals and junk bonds exhibited little price change despite the decline in Treasuries. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB)  down $0.06. I would avoid. Banks continued strong, extending recent gains. Insurance better (led by MET). I am now scaling into shorts after being quite small after covering most weeks/months ago. Good reduce yesterday in Hartford Financial Services (HIG) , this week's Trade of the Week after a 5% rise from Monday.
Discount retailers slide on downbeat comments from the enigmatic Cleveland Research.
These stocks were technically overextended, but the recent selloff has corrected that.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar retreated. The price of crude oil got schmeissed for the second day in a row, down by $1.22 to $43.68. Gold was up$2.20. I still look for a technical break under current support of $1,300 to $1,310. Agricultural commodities: wheat +2, corn +2 and soybeans flat after this week's schmeissing. No change for lumber. Bonds rallied a bit after recent weakness. I wouldn't be surprised if the small rally continues, but I stand on my "generational bottom in yIelds" thesis, as 1.60% on the 10-year remains support now The 10-year U.S. note yield (1.70%) dropped by four basis points and the long bond by two basis points. The 2s/10s spread dropped by one basis points to 93 basis points. Municipals and junk bonds moved little. Banks continued to weaken as the Wells Fargo (WFC) news worsens. I covered my Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) short yesterday. Insurance and brokerages showed little in either direction. REITS continue to trade poorly -- a fractional gain after being manhandled over the last week. iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) has broken down. Energy stocks fell for the second day in a row -- good for my U.S. Oil Fund (USO) , Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB) shorts. I'm sticking with them.  Biotech strengthened on the heels of Allergan (AGN) . A former member of my Biotech Basket, Aerie Pharmaceuticals (AERI) , is up nearly 64% after hours on positive drug news. Paradise lost! Autos stalled. Retail rallied small. Dead-cat bounces in Dollar Tree (DLTR) , Dollar General (DG) and Home Depot (HD) , me thinkst. Agricultural equipment was mixed. My short, Caterpillar (CAT) , rose. Deere (DE) "Prudence" fell. Entertainment was slightly lower. Popular Disney (DIS) continues to be a great short. Staples were lower. My core short, Coca-Cola (KO) , made a new 2016 low. (T)FANG traded as flat as my Grandma Koufax's potato pancakes. In individual stocks, Radian Group (RDN) and DuPont (DD) were catching their collective breath. Twitter was better on some new product news. Here are some great value-added contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer says demand is down but not out.  Divine Ms M made another great call.  "Cousin" Gary Morrow doesn't like Ford's (F) technicals. And i don't like the company's fundamentals! Rev hates the macro monkeys.  Tim "Not Judy or Phil" Collins on a balanced view.   
The global bond market, including taxable-bond plays like the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) , non-taxables like the iShares S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Fund (MUB) and high-yield securities like the iShares iBoxx U.S. Dollar High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) . I would not be long any closed-end municipal bond funds or junk-bond funds, e.g. (BGG)  (down $0.15). All bond surrogates. That includes real estate investment trusts like the iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF (IYR) recently placed on Best Ideas List, consumer staples and utilities. Growth stocks like Amazon, (AMZN) , Netflix (NFLX)  and Tesla (TSLA) . Banks, despite the general drop in bond prices. Retail plays, including Home Depot (HD) , Nordstroms (JWN) , Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) . The price of crude oil and oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB) . Fertilizer companies like Monsanto (MON) and Potash (POT) . Media stocks like Walt Disney (DIS) . Consumer-discretionary stocks, including Starbucks (SBUX) . Consumer staples such as Coca-Cola (KO) . Autos, including Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) . The S&P 500 (SPY) .
DG charts and indicators are quite bearish, but it still has further down to go.
All I can say is, this group needs to snap out of its funk, or the stocks will just get worse.
You might recall that I recently wrote a negative thesis on dollar stores.


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