Allergan PLC (AGN)

neg -0.64
Today's Range: 224.87 - 226.66 | AGN Avg Daily Volume: 3,318,100
Last Update: 10/25/16 - 3:22 PM EDT
Volume: 1,301,149
YTD Performance: -27.70%
Open: $225.18
Previous Close: $225.93
52 Week Range: $195.50 - $322.68
Oustanding Shares: 395,952,199
Market Cap: 91,255,103,304
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for AGN
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
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Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 9 9 9 9
Moderate Buy 3 3 3 2
Hold 3 3 3 4
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rec. 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.63
Latest Dividend: 0.05
Latest Dividend Yield: 0.08%
Dividend Ex-Date: 02/25/15
Price Earnings Ratio: 18.63
Price Earnings Comparisons:
AGN Sector Avg. S&P 500
18.63 22.80 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-9.26% -15.87% 54.30%
Revenue 15.40 1.60 0.36
Net Income 0.00 -30.20 0.00
EPS 0.00 12.00 1.33
Earnings for AGN:
Revenue 15.07B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (09/16) Qtr (12/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $3.60 $4.09 $13.95 $16.95
Number of Analysts 9 7 10 11
High Estimate $4.00 $4.33 $14.09 $17.47
Low Estimate $3.44 $3.94 $13.77 $16.52
Prior Year $3.48 $3.41 $13.43 $13.95
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 3.54% 19.86% 3.85% 21.55%
Chart Benchmark
Average Frequency Timeframe
Indicator Chart Scale  
Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
The U.S. dollar strengthened (as shareholders of Kimberly Clark (KMB) rudely found out today). The price of crude oil suffered but off of the day's lows. Gold fell by $3.40. No oomph for now in precious metals. Ag commodities weakened. Wheat down $0.011, corn down $0.375, soybeans up $0.775 and oats down $0.06. Lumber was flat. For the first day in the last four or five days, bonds were lower in price and higher in yield. Intermediate and long yields rose by two to three basis points. The 2s/10s spread rose by one basis point to nearly 92 basis points. Municipals got hit but closed end muni bond funds were slightly higher in price. Junk was flat. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) diverged, up $0.08. Banks continued to wander higher and now sit at multi month highs. Insurance advanced. Long fav Hartford Financial (HIG) , +1%. But so were my shorts, Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) , up a similar amount. Brokerages mixed. Diversified financial doing better -- led by long fav Oaktree Capital (OAK) . Old tech behaved like new tech -- iShares S&P NA Tech. Sec. Idx. Fd. ETF (IGM)  , Comcast (CSCO) , Microsoft (MSFT) markedly higher. As mentioned above, autos were in second gear today. Biotech continues to disappoint. Allergan (AGN) weaker and value traps Gilead Sciences (GILD) and Celgene (CELG) flat to down. Spec biotech got hit. Energy stocks flat-lined. Retail was on sale, again JC Penney (JCP) conspicuously weak (down $0.25). (T)FANG the world's fair Only Netflix (NFLX) flat. Here are some value added contributions on the site today: 1. Jim "El Capitan" Cramer says yuck to AT&T (T) - Time Warner (TWX) proposal. 2. Jeremy LaKosh chimes in on the merger. 3. Bret
This sector is one of the few areas of the market where you'll find myriad compelling values.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar weakened. The price of crude oil declined by four bits to $49.86. Gold flatlined. Ag commodities rallied: wheat up $0.02, corn up $0.01, soybeans up $0.16 and oats up $0.02. Lumber fell an outsized $9 and closed at a multi-week low. Peak housing? Bonds rallied (I covered a large portion of my bond short early in the day). Yields fell by two to three basis points The 10-year U.S. note yield fell below 1.77% -- though Tepper was quite bearish on bonds. The 2s/10s spread was flat at 95 basis points. Municipals were actually slightly higher in price, but that didn't keep closed-end municipal bond funds from getting schmeissed. the lack of liquidity in that asset class was a subject I wrote about midday. Look at BlackRock Inv. Quality Munic. Trust (BKN) , Invesco Pennsylvania Value Mncpl Incm Tr (VPV) , Etrion (ETX) , BlackRock Municipal Income Trust II (BLE) (more declines of 1.5% to 3%) after a similar drop on Friday! This is supposed to be a conservative asset class, but these funds have lost nearly their annual dividend yields in two days! Junk bonds were slightly weaker but, again, Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) had an outsized decline. Stay far from both closed end municipal bond funds and BGB. Banks were disappointing for the second day in a row. I have expressed my views here. Short JPMorgan Chase (JPM) , Citigroup (C) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF is my Trade of the Week -- down a dime from my cost on the day). See Jim's good columns on sector below. Surprising executive departure at Visa causes price weakness. Insurance was unchanged to lower but brokerages got hit after Friday's strength. Old tech was uneventful. IBM (IBM) down $1 after a slight beat. Retail was a conspicuous market blemish across the board weakness. Home Depot (HD) , Lowe's (LOW)  , Macy's (M) and Nordstrom (JWN) featured losers. Biotech after a very weak Friday. Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl (VRX) (Ackman) new low, Allergan (AGN)  down $4, but Celgene (CELG)  up $1. Big pharma down small. Consumer staples weakened. Core short, Coca-Cola (KO) , a new low. Autos lower -- Ford at another low. Ag equipment down modestly. (T)FANG mixed. Netflix (NFLX) up big on a nice beat (I remain small short the name) Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) lower. Here are some value-added contributions on our site: 1. Jim "El Capitan" Cramer had several posts on banks.
The markets are nervous again, but investors should look at fundamentals.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar soared, something I highlighted very early in the morning as an important factor in my short-term negative view of the equity market. The price of crude oil fell by $0.56 to $50.79 after several days of strength. Gold was down $4.30 to $1,256 after a better start earlier in the day. I plan to add on weakness. I don't expect a December rate increase (see below) and more central bank lunacy and limited fiscal flexibility in a partisan Washington next year. Ag commodities: wheat up $0.03; corn up $0.02; soybeans down $0.01; and oats up 2 $0.02. Bonds rallied in yield but declined in price. The 10- and 30-year note and bond climbed by 3 basis points in yield. The 2s/10s spread (yield curve) rose to 90 basis points. Munis were sold and junk bonds weakened more considerably. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB)  was down only $0.02. Banks held up fairly well under the circumstances as bond yields rose. I haven't pulled the trigger on short Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) , but I am close as the yield curve remains flat. However insurance and brokerages got hit. Last week's short pickups in Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) turned out well. Autos and energy lower. Retail was on sale. Warm weather hit the sector's earnings in the soon to be released quarter, but this is starting to be discounted as the turn in weather (colder) now could bode well for the important Christmas/holiday quarter. Biotech got schmeissed -- something I warned readers to expect (after Illumina (ILMN) issued lower guidance) in my "Takeaways" last night. Celgene (CELG) , Gilead Sciences (GILD) (everyone's very value biotech, I see it as a value trap; today it hit a year low) and Allergen (AGN) all much lower. Speculative biotech tanked. Trump's rogue actions today and Clinton's overwhelming strength in the polls may have also contributed to today's train wreck in biotech. Ag equipment stalled despite a Goldman Sachs (GS) upgrade. Old media lower, led by losses in IBM (IBM) and Intel (INTC) . Fertilizers not so crappy with gains in Monsanto (MON) and Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (POT) . Media under assault again. All four components of (T)FANG were lower, but far less than the market' drop. Netflix (NFLX) , my only short, looks to be breaking down. In terms of individual stocks, Oaktree Financial (OAK) was a sap, but I added, as was JCP, which I also added to. In the latter retailer the colder weather is a plus but the third quarter will likely have been hit (along with other retailers) by the unseasonably warm weather. At $9 I expect the market might look through a disappointment. Unconfirmed rumors that Prince Alaweed might raise his position in Twitter buoyed the shares as did continued Salesforce (CRM) takeover chatter (albeit at a lower price). Here are some value-added contributions on our site. 1. Jim "El Capitan" Cramer clearly doesn't agree with my negativity in " Nowhere to Run, Nowhere to Hide." Jim sees the absence of new money as an integral factor today - while I have more fundamental issues that I raised in my opener, "The Market Outlook Worsen." 2
Despite markets at record highs, companies are satisfying their appetites to grow and find value by buying others.
Problems have hit some favorite names, but opportunities are becoming apparent.

My Takeaways and Observations Real Money Pro($)

The U.S. dollar flat-lined. The price of crude oil increased by $2 a barrel to $46.67 on the OPEC chatter, previously mentioned. Gold fell by $4.60 to $1,325 ... not trading well. Agricultural commodities mostly lower: wheat was down $0.02, corn down $0.02, soybeans down $0.07 and oats down $0.01. Lumber up $1. Bonds were unchanged, with little movement in yields. The 10-year yield was up 1, and the long bond was flat. 2s/10s (yield curve) flat at 81 basis points. Municipals flat, but junk bond prices ripped after OPEC and closed much higher on the day. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) rose $0.13 to nearly $15. I would sell this strength. Banks rallied despite the lousy publicity: Congressional uproar and California state's temporary cancellation of its business relationship with Wells Fargo. More in my opening missive. The canary in the coal mine, DB, rallied after weeks of weakness. My view? Neidermeyer, dead. Deutsch Bank (DB) dead.  REITs fell small, after broad gains in the last few days. I added to my iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF (IYR) short. Insurance and brokerages rallied -- albeit modestly. Staying long HIG and short Morgan Stanley (MS) , Goldman Sachs (GS) , Metlife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) . Biotech under-performed. Allergan (AGN) , Gilead Sciences (
Charts show 'hedge hogs' shouldn't dump AAPL and some other big-caps.

A Good Day to be Short Real Money Pro($)

Why I sold Twitter on Friday. Why upside/downside targets are my investing religion.  Why it would be Goofy for Disney (DIS) to buy Twitter. Remember media companies, unlike Google and Salesforce, are bounded by EPS and cash flow. Disney has its own problems. I remain short.  A contrary view: Don't bank on the banks. As I mentioned (and added to my aforementioned thesis to avoid financials) to Jimmy Cramer in an email late this afternoon:   Jim, It is clear the Fed WANTS to raise in December. It is also clear that the rate of growth in domestic economy is slowing. If the Fed raises and the economy remains moribund, we risk a flatter curve rather than a steeper curve -- which is bad for banks and goes against the meme that a rate rise will help improve NIM and lead to improved valuations.   Fertilizer stocks trade like crap. Stay away. I am.   Damn, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) ! ($20 in last three days) I was impatient and

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