Tom Graff is a fixed income strategist for Brown Advisory, an independent investment advisory firm in Baltimore, Md. Graff is also the manager of the Brown Advisory Tactical Bond Fund (BATBX), a long/short fixed income fund.Expand

Prior to joining Brown, Graff was a managing director and taxable fixed-income trader for Cavanaugh Capital Management in Baltimore. Graff earned a CFA charter in 2002.

The opinions expressed here are Graff's own and in no way the statements of Brown Advisory, and may or may not reflect the strategies being pursued for clients of Brown Advisory.

Graff welcomes your questions and can be reached at tomgraff@brownadvisory.com.Collapse

It wants the market to think a September rate hike is a real possibility, but won't put that into words.
It wants the market to think a September rate hike is a real possibility, but won't put that into words.
As the FOMC prepares its regular meeting next week, here’s how to spot which rate-hike bird is likely to take flight.
An increase as early as September is possible, though it depends on whether inflation shows up.
It is possible that 2 or 3 really strong non-farm payroll reports could put the Fed back into play.
There are two major possibilities, plus one that I'm going to dismiss.
We could hit a stall speed and job growth could go to zero.
A weak report will have everyone grabbing for yield.
A rebuttal to Doug Kass' short thesis on bonds.  
It's going to be even more in demand, and no one wants to sell the yield they have.

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