Roger Arnold is the chief economist for ALM Advisors, a Pasadena, Calif.-based money management firm specializing in income-generating portfolios. Concurrent with his other business responsibilities, Arnold was a radio talk show host for 15 years. He focuses on behavioral economics and chaos theory, better known as the "butterfly effect." He explains the relationships between political, economic and social systems, and how they are all reflected in the financial markets -- stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate.

The various economic narratives are universally positive for gold.
It's time to put globalization on hold as nationalist blowback increases.
Tough choice: a tuna sandwich or a pair of shoelaces.
A prevalent strategy appears to be 'shoot first and ask questions later.'
Never mind what happened in 2013; they're the best options available for retail investors.
The current narrative is leading to mental, and even physical, fatigue in bond traders and income seekers.
The bank does not have a business strategy for growth.
It likely will take an economic crisis to provide the cover for the political establishment to enact a domestic infrastructure program.
Here's how the Fed could support fiscal reform but not expand its balance sheet.
Monetary policy impacts the real economy as a “last in, first out” scheme.

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