Roger Arnold is the chief economist for ALM Advisors, a Pasadena, Calif.-based money management firm specializing in income-generating portfolios. Concurrent with his other business responsibilities, Arnold was a radio talk show host for 15 years. He focuses on behavioral economics and chaos theory, better known as the "butterfly effect." He explains the relationships between political, economic and social systems, and how they are all reflected in the financial markets -- stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate.

The economy is on a recessionary track, despite the Fed's bond purchases.
The growth of health care expenditures takes an unsustainable path.
In the short term, insurers and providers should continue to benefit from Obamacare.
They are still very early in their rapid growth phase.
| Apr 09, 2014
| 7:56 AM EDT
I wrote yesterday about the almost universal surge in US traded Chinese ETF's and ADR's. I couldn't figure out...
Home sales and mortgage lending are declining into the spring buying season.
| Apr 08, 2014
| 2:49 PM EDT
All 15 of the Chinese ETF's I track are up today; most by between 2% and 4%. They cover multiple different sec...
Problems in its growth rate are becoming evident.
| Apr 03, 2014
| 3:43 PM EDT
I applaud Michael Lewis for making the attempt to introduce a subject as complex as high frequency trading in ...
| Apr 02, 2014
| 8:16 PM EDT
Welcome Back Tim! Good to have you back too! Looking forward to your insights!

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The new Fed Chief said this at a recent meeting of the Economic Club of NY ... "We have indeed had a disappoin...


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