Roger Arnold is the chief economist for ALM Advisors, a Pasadena, Calif.-based money management firm specializing in income-generating portfolios. Concurrent with his other business responsibilities, Arnold was a radio talk show host for 15 years. He focuses on behavioral economics and chaos theory, better known as the "butterfly effect." He explains the relationships between political, economic and social systems, and how they are all reflected in the financial markets -- stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate.

Homebuilders, REITS and commodities plays are all being looked at through the lens of an imminent rate rise.
It doesn't seem to matter whether hiking interest rates could lead to a recession.
There is likely to be a domino effect no matter what decision the Fed makes on interest rates.
As the central bank's GPS goes on the fritz, members want to know who's driving.
Federal Reserve bank presidents have begun promoting the need for fiscal stimulus measures.
It looks like U.S. alternative oil sector, not the Saudis, is determining prices.
Rising costs of benefits affects employees and employers.
The problem is that it has no tools capable of correcting this situation.
First-time buyers can't afford both mortgages and medical care.
And more on what that means for first-time home-buying trends.

Columnist Conversations

FIBOCALL: The SPX-cash after Ms. Yellen speaks. The "markets" actually moved today after the FED spoke. Fir...
Finally going to hear the latest views of Yellen today and the market and investor have largely been on hold b...
The BLS revised second quarter 20-16 GDP lower by 0.1% to 1.1%. This should provide adequate cover for the Fe...

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