Roger Arnold is the chief economist for ALM Advisors, a Pasadena, Calif.-based money management firm specializing in income-generating portfolios. Concurrent with his other business responsibilities, Arnold was a radio talk show host for 15 years. He focuses on behavioral economics and chaos theory, better known as the "butterfly effect." He explains the relationships between political, economic and social systems, and how they are all reflected in the financial markets -- stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate.

Their bread and butter may instead take a hit.
That could require selling securities purchased with loan proceeds.
A big question is how the market will respond to a rate hike.
Delinquencies and defaults of commercial and industrial loans have increased substantially this year.
It's a matter of what the banks want vs. what the economy needs.
It has to do with oil companies and banks.
Fed actions aren't helping the issue.
Janet Yellen is making a binary bet -- and an enormous one.
Staff economists' irritation with Fed governors' overstatement of U.S. economic performance grows.
Borrowers do not respond well to a Fed rate hike.

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