Fixed Income

I don't see much scope for rates to keep falling without a meaningful change in Fed expectations.
Certainties have deteriorated amid GOP infighting and Russia issues.
After decades of gains, Treasuries are finally set for a sustained decline.
After decades of gains, Treasuries are finally set for a sustained decline.
The jobs report was stronger than expected, though the Fed still must be careful with how far and how fast it pushes the rate hike envelope.
For the moment, emerging European countries seem the best for bond investors once the Fed resumes its tightening in earnest.
Leaving out dividend income and its effect on total return is a mortal sin.
The U.K. consumer is showing signs of fatigue; budget revenues may fall.

Intermediate Trade: TLT Real Money Pro($)

Consider a bearishly biased put spread on the 20+ year U.S. Treasury bond-tracking ETF.
If weak firms no longer are propped up by low rates, productivity is set to improve.


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