Fixed Income

Leaving out dividend income and its effect on total return is a mortal sin.
The U.K. consumer is showing signs of fatigue; budget revenues may fall.

Intermediate Trade: TLT Real Money Pro($)

Consider a bearishly biased put spread on the 20+ year U.S. Treasury bond-tracking ETF.
If weak firms no longer are propped up by low rates, productivity is set to improve.
They have become a referendum on Trump's plans for lower corporate taxes.
A lot of post-Brexit risks for U.K. debt just aren't priced in.
Be cautious on betting which particular tax proposals get implemented.
Be cautious on betting which particular tax proposals get implemented.
This could put tremendous buying pressure on prices, leading to a potentially massive rally.
This is a scalp, and nothing more.

Columnist Conversations

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