The Daily Dose: Locked and Loaded

 | Nov 25, 2013 | 9:00 AM EST
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I will not be watching the markets very intensely this holiday-shortened week. That decision is not because I am a firm believer that stocks will never, ever go down again. It's that holiday coverage is about to be created and analyzed.

If you would like an outline of where to catch me this week, please send an email to; I promise not to disappoint. So as a result of the strategic shift in focus, I wanted to stuff your brain with three bigger picture topics.

Topic #1: Sector Rotation Spotted?

In putting together a couple charts on Starbucks (SBUX) for a client report this weekend, I noticed that the stock and fellow highflyer Dunkin Brands (DNKN) has  underperformed the Dow since the middle stages of November. Is this because of investors lighting up on year-to-date winners with full valuations and rotating into names that could lead in January because they lagged in 2013? Is this a sign of a last stage in the recent major market move higher, where greed is so rampant it finds its way to slow growers? Or, is this initial stage of a first half 2014 negative growth surprise due to approaching political shenanigans? Three valid questions, but no answer yet.


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Topic #2: Google and  Apple Fight for Retailer Love

Below is a test of a Google (GOOG) shop-in-shop at Best Buy (BBY). How do I know? I often talk with the company and they told me to be on the lookout! In my view, the battle to show edited, premium technology products on large retailer floors is the new one to be waged in 2014. The economics of opening a cool-looking shop with the best product range and a dedicated employee trained by the company is better than testing a 5,000-square-foot shop in Bumbleweed, NY. Win Best Buy, Google, Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT).


Topic #3: What Makes a Winning Holiday Investment From Retail?

I mentioned last week that my firm's top holiday trade is Nike (NKE). The company then came out with a 14% dividend hike. Seeing as I am on a hot streak, Foot Locker's (FL) quarter contained three essentials for a potentially winning holiday season trade. They included:

  1. One seriously in demand product: Jordan everything is flying off the shelves, globally.
  2. Sales are truly healthy: Average selling prices are on the rise (thanks to Nike...) with no material detriment to units or store traffic.
  3. Today is good: November-to-date sales are running positive alongside strong demand for other items in the mall, such as gaming consoles and tablets.

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we like this chart here, it appears ready to move higher. BOUGHT BZUN OCT 35 CALL AT 3.40
Large-cap, high-quality McKesson (MCK) is too cheap now, at $147.51 or so. The stock hit $243.60 more than 2.5...



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